Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium - Bowling Green, KY (Conference USA)
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
WKU coming off BYE
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -20.5 (SP+ WKU -21)
Projected Score: MTSU: 16 - WKU: 36 (52)
WKU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 79 miles
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -20.5 (SP+ WKU -21)
Projected Score: MTSU: 16 - WKU: 36 (52)
WKU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 79 miles
Hilltoppers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (48 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tyson Helton (48 - 31)
Avg Score : 39 - 25 (48 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#41)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
| Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay | -14.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin | +28.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Middle Tennessee at Nevada | +9.0 | 50.0 | W 14 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Middle Tennessee vs Marshall | +2.5 | 46.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Middle Tennessee at Delaware | +16 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky | +20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State | +10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Western Kentucky's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston | -9.5 | 60.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 8/30 | Western Kentucky vs North Alabama | -27.5 | 60.5 | W 55 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Western Kentucky at Toledo | +8.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Western Kentucky vs Nevada | -10.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Western Kentucky at Missouri State | -12 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | Western Kentucky at Delaware | -2 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | Western Kentucky vs Florida International | -6.5 | |||||
| Tue 10/21 | Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State | -13 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Western Kentucky at LSU | +29.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State | -7 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #127 (-.01) | 36% (119) | 12.7 | 41% (88) | 2.86 (83) | 61 | 33% (119) | 188 | 1.89 (129) | #120 (.29) | 42% (86) | 29.7 | 36% (45) | 51% (123) | 4.58 (109) | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| WKU | #80 (.16) | 42% (83) | 39 | 37% (112) | 2.71 (96) | 110 | 45% (59) | 358 | 5 (32) | #91 (.18) | 35% (37) | 25 | 39% (67) | 32% (30) | 3.08 (53) | 64 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| WKU | #66 (.19) | 42% (83) | 38% (117) | 2.78 (108) | 110 | 45% (33) | 265 | 3.83 (78) | #95 (.21) | 45% (102) | 48% (113) | 40% (60) | 3.66 (54) | 41.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 12.7 | 12 | 36% | 1.89 | 0.7 | 17 | 249 | 61 | 188 | 2.3 | 37% | 61% | 41% | 33% | 17% | -.01 |
| WKU Defense | 3 | 25 | 15 | 35.2% | 3.08 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 39% | 32% | 17% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 29.7 | 27.5 | 42.4% | 4.58 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 36% | 51% | 16% | .29 |
| WKU Offense | 3 | 39 | 48 | 42.1% | 5 | 1.3 | 23 | 468 | 110 | 358 | 3.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% | 45% | 12% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 27:17 | 16.7 | 28% | 29% | 5 | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 29:54 | 23.3 | 49% | 20% | 6 | 64 | 1.3 | 1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.5 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 37% (129) | 41% (88) | 26.7 | 60.7 | 2.3 | 1 (127) | -.06 (122) | 2.86 (83) | 40% (133) | 11% (99) | 0.99 (58) |
| WKU Defense | 3 | 51% (77) | 39% (67) | - | - | - | - | .19 (108) | 3.03 (94) | 71% (72) | 10% (76) | 1.27 (121) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 58% (118) | 36% (45) | - | - | - | - | .1 (83) | 2.95 (86) | 86% (112) | 12% (42) | 1.02 (83) |
| WKU Offense | 3 | 34% (136) | 37% (112) | 31.7 | 109.7 | 3.5 | 4 (79) | -.16 (131) | 2.71 (96) | 60% (103) | 7% (44) | 0.8 (107) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 61% (9) | 33% (119) | 21.3 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 8.8 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .04 (124) | 1.5 (83) | 35% (111) | 29% (90) | .38 (59) | 7% (104) | 2.2 (44) |
| WKU Defense | 3 | 49% (58) | 32% (30) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .19 (61) | 1.6 (77) | 37% (28) | 15% (12) | -.01 (20) | 7% (44) | 1.8 (51) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 42% (21) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .56 (127) | 1.7 (113) | 35% (42) | 34% (104) | .47 (110) | 4% (110) | 2.1 (95) |
| WKU Offense | 3 | 66% (1) | 45% (59) | 29 | 43 | 358 | 8.3 | 12.3 | 11 (5) | 1 (23) | .32 (63) | 1.7 (28) | 34% (105) | 37% (35) | .1 (117) | 5% (63) | 1.7 (108) |
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -20.97 Western Kentucky: -1.28
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0 Western Kentucky: -2.5
Middle Tennessee: -20.97 Western Kentucky: -1.28
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0 Western Kentucky: -2.5
Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Western Kentucky's 2025 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Western Kentucky's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 36
Middle Tennessee 16
Total Points: 52
Western Kentucky 36
Middle Tennessee 16
Total Points: 52
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 15
Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 39 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 15
Western Kentucky's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/14 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | Western Kentucky | 49 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -10.5 | Western Kentucky | 53.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/28 | Western Kentucky | 31 | Middle Tennessee | 10 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -6.5 | Western Kentucky | 61.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/15 | Middle Tennessee | 17 | Western Kentucky | 35 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -7.5 | Western Kentucky | 67.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Western Kentucky | 48 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -17.5 | Western Kentucky | 66.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/03 | Middle Tennessee | 17 | Western Kentucky | 20 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -7.0 | Middle Tennessee | 52.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Western Kentucky | 31 | Middle Tennessee | 26 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -10.5 | Middle Tennessee | 46.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/02 | Middle Tennessee | 29 | Western Kentucky | 10 | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee -13.5 | Middle Tennessee | 53.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/17 | Western Kentucky | 41 | Middle Tennessee | 38 | Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee -1 | Western Kentucky | 56.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Middle Tennessee | 43 | Western Kentucky | 44 | Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee -2.5 | Western Kentucky | 75.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Western Kentucky | 58 | Middle Tennessee | 28 | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky -7.5 | Western Kentucky | 69.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/13 | Middle Tennessee | 50 | Western Kentucky | 47 | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee -1 | Middle Tennessee | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/01 | Western Kentucky | 29 | Middle Tennessee | 34 | Middle Tennessee | ||||
| 2011 | 10/06 | Middle Tennessee | 33 | Western Kentucky | 36 | Western Kentucky | ||||
| 2010 | 11/20 | Western Kentucky | 26 | Middle Tennessee | 27 | Middle Tennessee | ||||
| 2009 | 10/24 | Middle Tennessee | 62 | Western Kentucky | 24 | Middle Tennessee | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Western Kentucky | 10 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | Middle Tennessee | ||||
| 2007 | 09/20 | Middle Tennessee | 17 | Western Kentucky | 20 | Western Kentucky |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 11 | 7 | 6 Overs |
| Middle Tennessee | 6 | 4 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 9 | 7 - 4 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 8 | 4 - 7 | 2 - 2 | 2 - 5 |
(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 6 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 6 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | WKU | MTSU |
| OverallOver | #47 | #105 |
| OffenseOff | #60 | #112 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #68 |
| Special TeamsST | #4 | #100 |
| PassingPass | #44 | #84 |
| RushingRush | #64 | #87 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #109 | #108 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #73 | #121 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #104 |
| TacklingTkl | #94 | #28 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #91 | #47 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #22 | #90 |
| Coverage DefCov | #57 | #77 |
Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee last year (49-21)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-10)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (35-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | WKU
Depth Chart: MTSU | WKU
Rosters: MTSU | WKU
(#91) Western Kentucky Info
Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Western Kentucky has lost 7 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky is Undefeated at Home
Western Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)
Power Rating: -1.28 #91
Offense Rating: 7.41 #91
Defense Rating: 12.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #81
Talent Rating: 620.00 #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 66%, Run: 34%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 45%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.08 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 32%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Western Kentucky has lost 7 straight
Western Kentucky has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Western Kentucky Notes
(8/2) Over Bet Watch, McIvor off great, Def rough
(7/25) Def portal adds include 11 DL, 3 LB, 8 DBs.
(7/25) WR complete rebuild. Took 7 portals + 2 TEs
(7/25) OL rebuild. 10 portal adds. Will take some time
(7/11) Portal hits big, 2 starters back. 46 portals signed
(7/11) QB McIvor (3k yds/30 TD) combo w/ OC McIvor
(5/2) WR Henry (FCS W Ill) 1,179 yds, 6 TD LY
(3/22) Def avg CUSA, but must rebuild most
(3/22) Almost 60% new roster, new OC/DC.
(3/22) New OC Bowie (Alb. Chr.) brought QB McIvor
Western Kentucky Highlights
Western Kentucky is Undefeated at Home
Western Kentucky is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Western Kentucky offense is explosive (#19)
Western Kentucky offense is good on 3rd downs
Western Kentucky has a good pass defense (#30)
Western Kentucky Deficiencies
Western Kentucky Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Western Kentucky Can Not Run the Ball (#117)
Western Kentucky Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#114)
Western Kentucky run game is really bad (#112)
Western Kentucky gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#105)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 62 | 111 | 56% | 548 | 4 | 2 | 4.9 |
| Roman Gagliano | 1 | 1 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail Middlebrook | 33 | 142 | 0 | 4.3 | 42 |
| Rickey Hunt | 16 | 67 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Stanley Anderson-Lofton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.0 | 15 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahzae Cox | 14 | 170 | 3 | 12.1 | 37 |
| Myles Butler | 12 | 116 | 0 | 9.7 | 23 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 11 | 87 | 0 | 7.9 | 12 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 5 | 63 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Muaaz Byard | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakai Woods | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeion Simpson-Smith | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Damonte Smith | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Buckner | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Howse IV | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Lowe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Abdul Muhammad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick McIvor (Tr) | 80 | 120 | 67% | 941 | 10 | 1 | 7.8 |
| Rodney Tisdale Jr. | 6 | 8 | 75% | 94 | 1 | 0 | 11.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvis Parrish | 23 | 93 | 0 | 4.0 | 22 |
| Jaden McGill (Tr) | 16 | 63 | 1 | 3.9 | 15 |
| George Hart III | 17 | 59 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| La'Vell Wright (Tr) | 11 | 39 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Barry | 11 | 210 | 0 | 19.1 | 48 |
| Matthew Henry (Tr) | 11 | 198 | 3 | 18.0 | 55 |
| K.D. Hutchinson | 12 | 184 | 3 | 15.3 | 78 |
| Marvis Parrish | 14 | 100 | 1 | 7.1 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Herard | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Lewis (Tr) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jaylen Wester (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dylan Flowers | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Holloman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Dominic Oliver (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Gray (Tr) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jaden Hardy (Tr) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Holloman | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Al-Ma'Hi Ali (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Lataj Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |