Liberty Flames at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (1:00 PM EST)
Liberty -12.5 (54.5) (-500) Open: -10.5 | 54.5
Liberty 37 - Middle Tennessee: 17 (Conference USA)
Flames (8 - 4) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (13 - 1)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 4 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -22 (SP+ LIB -24.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 38 - MTSU: 16 (54)
LIB Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LIB Travel: 412 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: Liberty -22 (SP+ LIB -24.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 38 - MTSU: 16 (54)
LIB Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
LIB Travel: 412 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Liberty's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Liberty vs Campbell | -41.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Liberty at New Mexico State | -22.5 | 54.5 | W 30 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Liberty vs UTEP | -23.5 | 57.5 | W 28 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Liberty vs East Carolina | -7.5 | 55.0 | W 35 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/8 | Liberty vs Florida International | -15.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Liberty at Kennesaw State | -27.0 | 48.0 | L 24 - 27 | O | N | |
| Wed 10/30 | Liberty vs Jacksonville State | -2.5 | 64.0 | L 21 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Liberty at Middle Tennessee | -12.5 | 54.5 | W 37 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Liberty at Massachusetts | -17.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Liberty vs Western Kentucky | -1.0 | 56.5 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Liberty at Sam Houston | -2.5 | 47.5 | L 18 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 1/4 | Liberty vs Buffalo | +4.5 | 50.5 | L 7 - 26 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss | +42.5 | 60.5 | L 3 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 53.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Middle Tennessee vs Duke | +14.5 | 51.0 | L 17 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Middle Tennessee at Memphis | +27.0 | 62.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech | +5.0 | 48.0 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 14 - 5 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/23 | Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State | +20.5 | 64.5 | L 20 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Middle Tennessee at UTEP | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Middle Tennessee vs Liberty | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 17 - 37 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -3.5 | 54.0 | L 21 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 28.8 | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 23.5 | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 18.1 | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 34.3 | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | #24 (.26) | 50% (7) | 54% (2) | 3.56 (7) | 238 | 43% (60) | 161 | 4.21 (43) | #24 (.1) | 39% (39) | 39% (30) | 40% (66) | 3.68 (58) | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 28.8 | 28.8 | 49.9% | 4.21 | 1.3 | 22 | 400 | 238 | 161 | 5.7 | 63% | 36% | 54% | 43% | 14% | .26 |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 34.3 | 32.8 | 49.4% | 4.61 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 14% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 23.5 | 24.4 | 39.4% | 3.68 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 16% | .1 |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 18.1 | 20.3 | 39.4% | 3 | 1.6 | 18 | 352 | 91 | 261 | 3.2 | 41% | 59% | 38% | 40% | 19% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 12 | 28:42 | 22.1 | 45% | 50% | 6.7 | 64.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.6 | 0 | 28.5 |
| Middle Tennessee | 12 | 30:15 | 18.2 | 38% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 25.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 63% (5) | 54% (2) | 41.8 | 238.3 | 5.7 | 28 (25) | .25 (16) | 3.56 (7) | 76% (47) | 9% (43) | 0.91 (94) |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 54% (104) | 50% (124) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.19 (97) | 72% (61) | 9% (100) | 0.97 (59) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 55% (115) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .02 (20) | 2.68 (21) | 73% (62) | 10% (59) | 0.99 (68) |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 41% (123) | 38% (114) | 27.9 | 90.5 | 3.2 | 10 (122) | .04 (110) | 2.82 (104) | 56% (132) | 11% (100) | 0.98 (62) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Offense | 12 | 36% (130) | 43% (60) | 12.6 | 22.3 | 161.2 | 7.2 | 12.8 | 15 (98) | 6 (10) | .27 (56) | 1.5 (104) | 24% (2) | 36% (23) | .43 (26) | 5% (36) | 1.9 (107) |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 46% (33) | 49% (127) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .47 (129) | 1.6 (90) | 27% (127) | 34% (109) | .53 (128) | 5% (101) | 2.3 (128) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB Defense | 12 | 45% (19) | 40% (66) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .21 (51) | 1.6 (77) | 32% (73) | 31% (81) | .18 (17) | 6% (82) | 1.8 (9) |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 59% (11) | 40% (83) | 22.8 | 35.6 | 261.1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .19 (95) | 1.5 (102) | 32% (84) | 25% (123) | .17 (121) | 7% (112) | 1.9 (113) |
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty's Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Liberty's Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Liberty's Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Liberty's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Liberty's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.58 Middle Tennessee: -21.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Middle Tennessee: -24.4
Liberty: 0.58 Middle Tennessee: -21.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 0.2 Middle Tennessee: -24.4
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4
Liberty's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 38
Middle Tennessee 16
Total Points: 54
Liberty 38
Middle Tennessee 16
Total Points: 54
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Middle Tennessee | 17 | Liberty | 37 | Liberty | Liberty -12.5 | Liberty | 54.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/17 | Liberty | 42 | Middle Tennessee | 35 | Liberty | Liberty -16 | Middle Tennessee | 56.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Liberty | 41 | Middle Tennessee | 13 | Liberty | Liberty -20 | Liberty | 59.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Liberty | 3 | 2 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#60) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has lost 2 straight
Liberty has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
Power Rating: 0.58 #60
Offense Rating: 25.37 #17
Defense Rating: 6.21 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.2 #71
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 8.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 63%, Pass: 36%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.21 PPO
Great Run Success 54%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Liberty has lost 2 straight
Liberty has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Liberty Notes
(11/18) All. 263 (5.6 ypc) to UMass. Rgame good, Salter not
(10/30) All. 363 yds rush, 7.4 ypc vs Jax St in 2nd L
(10/23) Awful L to Ken St, Off awful outside of Salter
(10/8) Escape FIU, Rgame good, Salter avg, Pass D bad
(10/4) GOY vs App canceled. Play 1 game in entire month
(9/23) Great comeback W (ECU), Rgame good, 13-17 3rd
(9/20) WR is an issue, drops, inconsistent. Off step back
(9/8) Dogfight/Comeback W @ NMSU? 1-11 on 3rd down
(8/3) Roster/Talent vs who they play is a joke.
(7/30) 2nd Easiest sched, fav'd in all, need 13-0 for CFP
Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)
Liberty has a good run defense (#78)
Liberty Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#71)
Liberty Defensive Line is very good (#98)
Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Liberty offense is not Explosive (#38)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MTSU | LIB |
| OverallOver | #97 | #27 |
| OffenseOff | #101 | #20 |
| DefenseDef | #108 | #55 |
| Special TeamsST | #97 | #81 |
| PassingPass | #27 | #31 |
| RushingRush | #55 | #26 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #4 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #119 | #86 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #87 | #77 |
| TacklingTkl | #72 | #62 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #93 | #58 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #110 | #59 |
| Coverage DefCov | #105 | #50 |
Rematch from Week 11
Liberty 12.5 (54.5)
Liberty won at Middle Tennessee this year (37-17)
Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Middle Tennessee last year (37-17)
Liberty beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (42-35)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: LIB | MTSU
Depth Chart: LIB | MTSU
Rosters: LIB | MTSU
(#130) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaidon Salter | 147 | 261 | 56% | 1886 | 15 | 6 | 7.2 |
| Ryan Burger (Tr) | 8 | 19 | 42% | 88 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Cooley | 205 | 1254 | 13 | 6.1 | 44 |
| Billy Lucas | 123 | 720 | 5 | 5.9 | 55 |
| Kaidon Salter | 114 | 587 | 7 | 5.1 | 41 |
| Vaughn Blue | 35 | 207 | 1 | 5.9 | 45 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treon Sibley | 28 | 510 | 2 | 18.2 | 70 |
| Elijah Canion (Tr) | 25 | 354 | 3 | 14.2 | 50 |
| Reese Smith | 18 | 277 | 4 | 15.4 | 44 |
| Tyson Mobley (Tr) | 29 | 276 | 1 | 9.5 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Jerome Jolly Jr. | 55 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| CJ Bazile Jr. | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Quinton Reese | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush | 58 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| Joseph Carter | 88 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| A'Khori Jones | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 269 | 418 | 64% | 3092 | 16 | 10 | 7.4 |
| Roman Gagliano | 4 | 9 | 44% | 41 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Credle | 109 | 471 | 4 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 60 | 273 | 2 | 4.6 | 24 |
| Terry Wilkins | 54 | 214 | 1 | 4.0 | 23 |
| Nick Vattiato | 86 | 77 | 1 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Willis | 53 | 871 | 6 | 16.4 | 61 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 869 | 4 | 16.4 | 71 |
| Myles Butler | 30 | 366 | 3 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 20 | 190 | 0 | 9.5 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Buckner | 37 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aidan Butts | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Raby | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marvae Myers-Glover | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |