Marshall at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup
Marshall logo Marshall Thundering Herd at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium"" - Murfreesboro, TN

 
Thundering Herd (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (28 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#120)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
MRSH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -2   (SP+ MRSH -7)
Projected Score: MRSH: 26 - MTSU: 28 (54)
MTSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MRSH Travel: 281 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
 
Marshall's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Marshall at Georgia+39.50.0
Sat 9/6 Marshall vs Missouri State-3.5
Sat 9/13 Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky-6.5
Sat 9/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee+2
Sat 9/27 Marshall at Louisiana+13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Marshall vs Old Dominion+4.5
Sat 10/18 Marshall vs Texas State+10
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Marshall at Coastal Carolina+8.5
Sat 11/8 Marshall vs James Madison+16.5
Sat 11/15 Marshall at Georgia State+3
Sat 11/22 Marshall at App State+5.5
Sat 11/29 Marshall vs Georgia Southern+11

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay-6
Sat 9/6 Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin+27.5
Sat 9/13 Middle Tennessee at Nevada+2.5
Sat 9/20 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall-2
Sat 9/27 Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State-0.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Delaware+3.5
Wed 10/29 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State-4
Sat 11/8 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+0
Sat 11/15 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+8.5
Sat 11/22 Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston-2
Sat 11/29 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)31.845% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)23.143% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)18.138% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)34.350% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Offense1331.82842.9%3.930.7203842031815.259%41%45%40%13%.21
MTSU Defense1234.332.849.4%4.610.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%49%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MRSH Defense1323.125.440%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%46%43%37%19%.13
MTSU Offense1218.120.339.4%31.618352912613.241%59%38%40%19%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Marshall1328:3919.840%59%5.442.50.71.56.62.6231.1
Middle Tennessee1230:1518.238%48%7.361.31.60.84.61.7125.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense1359% (12)45% (47)38.8202.55.221 (59).22 (27)3.35 (18)76% (49)8% (32)1.06 (39)
MTSU Defense1254% (104)50% (124) - - - - .19 (107)3.19 (97)72% (61)9% (100)0.97 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense1353% (99)43% (75) - - - - .17 (93)2.95 (57)70% (50)12% (30)1.11 (118)
MTSU Offense1241% (123)38% (114)27.990.53.210 (122).04 (110)2.82 (104)56% (132)11% (100)0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense1341% (123)40% (88)14.925.6181.17.112.127 (20)4 (1).23 (82)1.7 (36)30% (36)30% (84).25 (98)5% (52)2 (76)
MTSU Defense1246% (33)49% (127) - - - - - - 5 (117).47 (129)1.6 (90)27% (127)34% (109).53 (128)5% (101)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense1346% (37)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).13 (23)1.6 (58)34% (37)26% (14).24 (40)7% (25)2.2 (102)
MTSU Offense1259% (11)40% (83)22.835.6261.17.311.516 (87)10 (63).19 (95)1.5 (102)32% (84)25% (123).17 (121)7% (112)1.9 (113)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -25.00 #134
Marshall's Offense Rating: 1.32 #131
Marshall's Defense Rating: 26.32 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 478.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #110

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 527
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -25.00   Middle Tennessee: -15.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -9.4   Middle Tennessee: -16.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -15.08 #118
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Marshall Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.4

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 28
Marshall 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/02Middle Tennessee34Marshall28Middle TennesseeMarshall -11Middle Tennessee66.0Under
202011/14Marshall42Middle Tennessee14MarshallMarshall -23.5Marshall55.5Over
201910/05Middle Tennessee24Marshall13Middle TennesseeMarshall -5Middle Tennessee53.5Under
201810/05Marshall24Middle Tennessee34Middle TennesseeMarshall -3Middle Tennessee50.5Over
201710/20Middle Tennessee10Marshall38MarshallMarshall -1.5Marshall49.0Under
201611/12Marshall42Middle Tennessee17MarshallMiddle Tennessee -11.5Marshall60.0Under
201511/07Middle Tennessee27Marshall24Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -2Middle Tennessee56.0Under
201410/11Marshall49Middle Tennessee24MarshallMarshall -21.5Marshall0
201310/24Middle Tennessee51Marshall49Middle TennesseeMarshall -10.5Middle Tennessee0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee552 Overs
Marshall445 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 27 - 23 - 14 - 1
Road Teams2 - 72 - 71 - 41 - 3

(#134) Marshall Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -25.00 #134
Offense Rating: 1.32 #131
Defense Rating: 26.32 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #110
Talent Rating: 478.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Marshall Notes
(3/22) 47 portals: 6 QB, 7 WR, 6 OL, 7 DL, 6 LB, 8 DB
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
(3/22) RB Houston back, Barbie (McNeese) added
(3/22) WR complete rebuild, 7 portals, Harmon (MSU)
(3/22) OL 2/5 back, 6 portal adds.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 21 portal adds
(3/22) Shameful '24, bowl decline, Huff pushed out
(3/22) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
Marshall     Ratings Matchup     Middle Tennessee
Power #134
#118
Off #131
#104
Def #125
#128
Talent #113
#120
SP+ #99
#125
SP+ Off #87
#130
SP+ Def #110
#107

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MRSH | MTSU
Depth Chart: MRSH | MTSU
Rosters: MRSH | MTSU
(#118) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.08 #118
Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Middle Tennessee Notes
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl


  
Marshall's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Turner (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Houston11159225.345
Michael Allen (Tr)1910805.736
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)51302.64
Zion Turner (Tr)1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Houston13173113.375
Toby Payne1716869.932
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)884010.517
Bryan Robinson882010.320

View Marshall's Full Roster
Marshall's DC Shannon Morrison
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvae Myers-Glover (Tr)411004
TyQaze Leggs386162
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)230010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
RaQuan Thompson203120
Monroe Beard173100
Braydin Ward142101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marvae Myers-Glover (Tr)411004
Jadarius Green-McKnight381113
TyQaze Leggs386162

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Roman Gagliano2502.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544
Jekail Middlebrook2216317.424
Gamarion Carter12123010.327

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
Shakai Woods424110
Brandon Buckner374350
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
Aidan Butts102202
Damonte Smith254231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Butts102202
Abdul Muhammad120002
Damonte Smith254231