UTEP at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup

UTEP Miners at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 34 - UTEP: 30 (Conference USA)

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (15 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
UTEP coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -8 (SP+ MTSU -7)
Projected Score: UTEP: 21 - MTSU: 29 (52)
MTSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
UTEP Travel: 1188 miles, 1 hrs behind

Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTEP Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+39.5	52.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+21.0	47.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Middle Tennessee vs Murray State	-34.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State	-3.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	N
Thu 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+6.5	61.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Wed 10/4	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Tue 10/10	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Tue 10/17	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+16.0	56.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.0	55.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	50.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Middle Tennessee vs UTEP	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/25	Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston	-3.5	49.5	L 20 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	.15	41%	19.5	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	32.3	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9
MTSU	.14	40%	18.1	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	34.3	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Offense	12	19.5	14.7	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15
MTSU Defense	13	34.3	32.8	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Defense	12	32.3	34.9	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22
MTSU Offense	13	18.1	20.3	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.53 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.53 Middle Tennessee: -5.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -15.9 Middle Tennessee: -9.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.7
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 29
UTEP 21

Projected Total Points: 52

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	UTEP	13	Middle Tennessee	20	Middle Tennessee	UTEP -2	Middle Tennessee	48.0	Under
2023	11/18	Middle Tennessee	34	UTEP	30	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -8.5	UTEP	48.5	Over
2022	10/29	UTEP	13	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee	UTEP -2.5	Middle Tennessee	52.0	Under
2018	11/10	UTEP	32	Middle Tennessee	48	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -13.5	Middle Tennessee	49.0	Over
2017	11/04	Middle Tennessee	30	UTEP	3	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -20	Middle Tennessee	50.0	Under
2014	11/29	UTEP	24	Middle Tennessee	21	UTEP	UTEP -3	Push	0
2013	11/30	Middle Tennessee	48	UTEP	17	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -21	Middle Tennessee	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	6	5	2 Overs
UTEP	1	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 3	2 - 4	2 - 3	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 4	4 - 2	1 - 0	3 - 2

(#123) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.53 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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UTEP Ratings Matchup Middle Tennessee

Power #123

#101

Off #77

#109

Def #116

#69

Talent #130

#124

SP+ #120

#100

SP+ Off #116

#92

SP+ Def #100

#89

Rematch from Week 12
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (48.5)
Middle Tennessee won vs UTEP this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP last year (20-13)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2023 (34-30)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2022 (24-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | MTSU
Depth Chart: UTEP | MTSU
Rosters: UTEP | MTSU

(#101) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90

Team Profile

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UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcus Bellon	1	2	50%	44	1	0	22.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Torrance Burgess Jr.	60	367	2	6.1	57
Deion Hankins	62	272	2	4.4	47
Marcus Bellon	9	37	0	4.1	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Bellon	39	522	4	13.4	63
Kelly Akharaiyi	25	391	2	15.6	49
Marcus Vinson	12	113	2	9.4	52
Torrance Burgess Jr.	10	111	0	11.1	22

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Neal	50	2	0	1	1
Bryton Thompson	39	6	2	1	0
Trez Moore	26	3	0	2	4
Torey Richardson	23	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bryton Thompson	39	6	2	1
Sione Tonga'Uiha	20	4	2	0
RaQuan Thompson	20	3	1	2
Tevita Tafuna	16	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trez Moore	26	3	2	4
Torey Richardson	23	1	0	3
James Neal	50	2	1	1

Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle Lowe	3	7	43%	18	1	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	109	471	4	4.3	66
Kyle Lowe	9	57	1	6.3	56
DJ Riles	2	27	0	13.5	17
Jayce Gardner	1	8	0	8.0	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis (Tr)	53	871	6	16.4	61
Elijah Metcalf	20	194	3	9.7	28
DJ Riles	20	172	0	8.6	27
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	27	125	0	4.6	19

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Sam Brumfield	61	3	2	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	1
Jakobe Thomas	22	3	1	2
Chris Johnson	18	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raquon Hartley	13	4	3	0	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1
Sam Brumfield	61	3	2	0	1
Zaylin Wood	7	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Johnson	18	1	0	3
James Shellman	13	0	0	3
Jakobe Thomas	22	3	1	2