UTEP at Middle Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
UTEP logo UTEP Miners at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 34 - UTEP: 30  (Conference USA)

 
Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 29 (21 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
UTEP coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -8   (SP+ MTSU -7)

Projected Score: UTEP: 21 - MTSU: 29 (50)
MTSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
UTEP Travel: 1188 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (32 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTEP's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 UTEP at Jacksonville State-1.554.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 UTEP vs Incarnate Word-7.557.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UTEP at Northwestern+1.040.0L 7 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 UTEP at Arizona+18.057.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 UTEP vs UNLV-1.049.5L 28 - 45ON
Fri 9/29 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.5L 10 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11 UTEP at Florida International-1.544.0W 27 - 14UY
Wed 10/18 UTEP vs New Mexico State+3.048.5L 7 - 28UN
Wed 10/25 UTEP at Sam Houston+4.038.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/4 UTEP vs Western Kentucky+9.554.5L 13 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UTEP at Middle Tennessee+8.548.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/25 UTEP vs Liberty+18.054.5L 28 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Middle Tennessee at Alabama+39.552.0L 7 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+21.047.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Middle Tennessee vs Murray State-34.551.0W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State-3.550.0L 23 - 31ON
Thu 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+6.561.0L 10 - 31UN
Wed 10/4 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State-2.552.0L 30 - 45ON
Tue 10/10 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-3.053.5W 31 - 23OY
Tue 10/17 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+16.056.5L 35 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+3.055.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.550.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Middle Tennessee vs UTEP-8.548.5W 34 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston-3.549.5L 20 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#80 (.17)39% (103)19.943% (62)3.05 (83)14436% (113)2183.59 (93)#109 (.25)43% (88)28.548% (122)38% (23)4.62 (127)58.81.51
MTSU#95 (.14)39% (104)24.341% (93)3.08 (74)12639% (94)2663.2 (115)#60 (.17)43% (81)28.145% (88)42% (78)4.13 (100)56.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Offense1219.920.839.5%3.591.5183621442183.953%46%43%36%16%.17
MTSU Defense1228.124.842.9%4.131.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTEP Defense1228.52843.4%4.621 - - - - - 57%43%48%38%15%.25
MTSU Offense1224.332.239.4%3.21.8193911262663.942%57%41%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTEP1231:2518.333%45%6.858.81.514.32126.1
Middle Tennessee1228:3219.340%45%6.856.31.81.35.81.9028.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense1253% (42)43% (62)37.3144.33.916 (89).09 (105)3.05 (83)76% (44)9% (51)0.89 (119)
MTSU Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense1257% (126)48% (122) - - - - .28 (127)3.35 (113)76% (89)9% (106)1.1 (112)
MTSU Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense1246% (94)36% (113)14.827.5217.77.914.713 (111)12 (85).29 (68)1.9 (6)32% (82)29% (82).34 (65)7% (104)2.1 (37)
MTSU Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense1243% (8)38% (23) - - - - - - 6 (120).26 (61)1.7 (104)32% (67)31% (87).48 (126)7% (50)2.3 (128)
MTSU Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.53 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.53   Middle Tennessee: -5.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -15.9   Middle Tennessee: -9.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 29
UTEP 21


Total Points: 50

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02UTEP13Middle Tennessee20Middle TennesseeUTEP -2Middle Tennessee48.0Under
202311/18Middle Tennessee34UTEP30Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -8.5UTEP48.5Over
202210/29UTEP13Middle Tennessee24Middle TennesseeUTEP -2.5Middle Tennessee52.0Under
201811/10UTEP32Middle Tennessee48Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -13.5Middle Tennessee49.0Over
201711/04Middle Tennessee30UTEP3Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -20Middle Tennessee50.0Under
201411/29UTEP24Middle Tennessee21UTEPUTEP -3Push0
201311/30Middle Tennessee48UTEP17Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -21Middle Tennessee0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee652 Overs
UTEP113 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 32 - 42 - 30 - 1
Road Teams3 - 44 - 21 - 03 - 2

(#123) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -11.53 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


UTEP has lost 1 straight
UTEP has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UTEP Highlights
UTEP has a good pass defense (#85)

UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP has a really bad Offense
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UTEP has a bad defensive line (#42)
UTEP has a bad red zone defense (#61)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMTSUUTEP
OverallOver#104#46
OffenseOff#104#46
DefenseDef#82#55
Special TeamsST#36#26
PassingPass#46#95
RushingRush#68#49
Run BlockRBLK#103#11
Pass BlockPBLK#49#2
Route RunningWR Rt#100#63
TacklingTkl#80#98
Run DefenseR Def#82#93
Pass Rush DefPRush#61#4
Coverage DefCov#81#64

Rematch from Week 12
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (48.5)
Middle Tennessee won vs UTEP this year (34-30)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP last year (20-13)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2023 (34-30)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2022 (24-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTEP | MTSU
Depth Chart: UTEP | MTSU
Rosters: UTEP | MTSU
(#101) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90


Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee offense is explosive (#58)
Middle Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#102)

Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)


  
UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McConnell9217254%1437648.4
Gavin Hardison7312957%947577.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Hankins15781255.254
Torrance Burgess Jr.12462025.040
Mike Franklin4518034.021
Ezell Jolly155303.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelly Akharaiyi481033721.580
Jeremiah Ballard34551116.250
Torrance Burgess Jr.17227013.451
Tyrin Smith19191110.124

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrice Knight11313436
James Neal672142
Kobe Hylton471014
Maurice Westmoreland349842
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland349842
Praise Amaewhule246572
Kanious Vaughn196510
Tyrice Knight11313436
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Odums (Tr)301007
Tyrice Knight11313436
Torey Richardson263106

Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato28642867%308723137.2
DJ Riles7888%78009.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaiden Credle (Tr)8942724.871
Nick Vattiato13940222.930
Frank Peasant8230643.737
Terry Wilkins1814618.175
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Holden Willis (Tr)46697515.262
Elijah Metcalf54634611.771
Justin Olson (Tr)43450110.542
DJ England-Chisolm28347312.472

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield827480
Jakobe Thomas713005
Tra Fluellen643013
Parker Hughes537321
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield827480
Richard Kinley207333
Zaylin Wood164322
Parker Hughes537321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quindarius Dunnigan349258
Tyrell Raby (Tr)290006
De'Arre McDonald184106