Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee

Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee - 2022 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, October 15th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (67.5)
Western Kentucky 35 - Middle Tennessee: 17 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (23 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (36 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU is playing their 7th straight game
WKU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ WKU -8.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 31 - MTSU: 30 (61)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WKU Travel: 79 miles

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Western Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-32.5	72.0	W 38 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/3	Western Kentucky at Hawai'i	-16.5	67.5	W 49 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Western Kentucky at Indiana	+7.0	61.0	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Western Kentucky vs Florida International	-31.0	65.0	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Western Kentucky vs Troy	-5.0	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Western Kentucky at UTSA	+6.5	72.5	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee	-7.5	67.5	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Fri 10/21	Western Kentucky vs UAB	-1.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Western Kentucky vs North Texas	-10.0	70.0	L 13 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/5	Western Kentucky at Charlotte	-14.5	72.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Western Kentucky vs Rice	-13.5	61.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Western Kentucky at Auburn	+5.0	54.0	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/26	Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic	-7.5	62.5	W 32 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/21	Western Kentucky vs South Alabama	+4.0	58.0	W 44 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.28	44%	36.4	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	23.4	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9
MTSU	.14	40%	28.8	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	27.7	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	36.4	35.7	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28
MTSU Defense	13	27.7	24.2	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	23.4	25.3	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11
MTSU Offense	13	28.8	33.8	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2022 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.7 #65
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #52
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #84

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: Middle Tennessee: -0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: 1.7 Middle Tennessee: -6.9

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -0.95 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 36.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.7
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Western Kentucky's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
Middle Tennessee 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 33
Western Kentucky 31

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 31
Middle Tennessee 28

Total Points: 59

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Western Kentucky	42	Middle Tennessee	26	Western Kentucky -13.5	Western Kentucky	51.5	Over
2024	09/14	Middle Tennessee	21	Western Kentucky	49	Western Kentucky -10.5	Western Kentucky	53.5	Over
2023	09/28	Western Kentucky	31	Middle Tennessee	10	Western Kentucky -6.5	Western Kentucky	61.0	Under
2022	10/15	Middle Tennessee	17	Western Kentucky	35	Western Kentucky -7.5	Western Kentucky	67.5	Under
2021	11/06	Western Kentucky	48	Middle Tennessee	21	Western Kentucky -17.5	Western Kentucky	66.5	Over
2020	10/03	Middle Tennessee	17	Western Kentucky	20	Western Kentucky -7.0	Middle Tennessee	52.5	Under
2019	11/30	Western Kentucky	31	Middle Tennessee	26	Western Kentucky -10.5	Middle Tennessee	46.0	Over
2018	11/02	Middle Tennessee	29	Western Kentucky	10	Middle Tennessee -13.5	Middle Tennessee	53.0	Under
2017	11/17	Western Kentucky	41	Middle Tennessee	38	Middle Tennessee -1	Western Kentucky	56.0	Over
2016	10/15	Middle Tennessee	43	Western Kentucky	44	Middle Tennessee -2.5	Western Kentucky	75.0	Over
2015	10/10	Western Kentucky	58	Middle Tennessee	28	Western Kentucky -7.5	Western Kentucky	69.5	Over
2014	09/13	Middle Tennessee	50	Western Kentucky	47	Middle Tennessee -1	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	11/01	Western Kentucky	29	Middle Tennessee	34
2011	10/06	Middle Tennessee	33	Western Kentucky	36
2010	11/20	Western Kentucky	26	Middle Tennessee	27
2009	10/24	Middle Tennessee	62	Western Kentucky	24
2008	11/15	Western Kentucky	10	Middle Tennessee	21
2007	09/20	Middle Tennessee	17	Western Kentucky	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	6	4	7 Overs
Western Kentucky	12	8	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 9	8 - 4	6 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 9	4 - 8	2 - 2	2 - 6

(#) WKU at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#59	#110
OffenseOff	#49	#131
DefenseDef	#83	#43
Spec TeamsST	#43	#64
TalentTal	#81	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#78	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#8	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#84
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	#117	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 73° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Western Kentucky 7.5 (67.5)
Western Kentucky won at Middle Tennessee this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee last year (49-21)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-10)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (35-17)

WKU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD