Middle Tennessee at Delaware - 2025 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Delaware Blue HensDelaware logo
Wednesday, October 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Delaware Stadium - Newark, DE

 
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Delaware -16   (SP+ DEL -9)

Projected Score: MTSU: 18 - DEL: 34 (52)
DEL Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 637 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Hens (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Ryan Carty (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (40 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay-14.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin+28.545.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/13 Middle Tennessee at Nevada+9.050.0W 14 - 13UY
Sat 9/20 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+2.546.5
Sat 9/27 Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State+5.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State+1.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Delaware+16
Wed 10/29 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State+6.5
Sat 11/8 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+11.5
Sat 11/15 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+20.5
Sat 11/22 Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston+1
Sat 11/29 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Delaware's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Delaware vs Delaware State-30.555.5W 35 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Delaware at Colorado+23.549.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/13 Delaware vs UConn+8.552.5W 44 - 41OY
Sat 9/20 Delaware at Florida International+6.055.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Delaware vs Western Kentucky+2
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/15 Delaware at Jacksonville State-2
Wed 10/22 Delaware vs Middle Tennessee-16
Sat 11/1 Delaware at Liberty+8.5
Sat 11/8 Delaware vs Louisiana Tech-1.5
Sat 11/15 Delaware at Sam Houston-7.5
Sat 11/22 Delaware at Wake Forest+13.5
Sat 11/29 Delaware vs UTEP-1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Delaware's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#127 (-.01)36% (119)12.741% (88)2.86 (83)6133% (119)1881.89 (129)#120 (.29)42% (86)29.736% (45)51% (123)4.58 (109)41.70.71.3
DEL#58 (.22)47% (44)28.747% (54)3.36 (33)7447% (47)1953.5 (96)#106 (.21)42% (85)29.737% (52)48% (114)3.73 (73)28.710.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
DEL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense312.71236%1.890.717249611882.337%61%41%33%17%-.01
DEL Defense329.72942.4%3.730.7 - - - - - 51%49%37%48%21%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense329.727.542.4%4.581.3 - - - - - 58%42%36%51%16%.29
DEL Offense328.739.547%3.511526974195443%57%47%47%18%.22

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee327:1716.728%29%541.70.71.37.32031
Delaware318:231543%60%328.710.762.3123.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense337% (129)41% (88)26.760.72.31 (127)-.06 (122)2.86 (83)40% (133)11% (99)0.99 (58)
DEL Defense351% (81)37% (52) - - - - .28 (125)2.89 (81)75% (80)16% (8)1.47 (130)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense358% (118)36% (45) - - - - .1 (83)2.95 (86)86% (112)12% (42)1.02 (83)
DEL Offense343% (113)47% (54)18.37441 (127)-.01 (110)3.36 (33)71% (67)10% (83)0.68 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense361% (9)33% (119)21.33818858.84 (72)2 (60).04 (124)1.5 (83)35% (111)29% (90).38 (59)7% (104)2.2 (44)
DEL Defense349% (66)48% (114) - - - - - - 2 (56).14 (51)1.5 (70)38% (20)42% (128).71 (131)5% (80)2.6 (130)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense342% (21)51% (123) - - - - - - 3 (28).56 (127)1.7 (113)35% (42)34% (104).47 (110)4% (110)2.1 (95)
DEL Offense357% (21)47% (47)16.326.7194.77.311.94 (72)1 (23).4 (45)1.6 (58)34% (104)33% (54).46 (46)8% (125)2.2 (49)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -20.97   Delaware: -5.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0   Delaware: -13.8




Delaware's Power Ratings
Delaware's Power Rating: -5.93 #87
Delaware's Offense Rating: 8.85 #87
Delaware's Defense Rating: 11.91 #89
2025 Talent Rating: 282.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Delaware's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Delaware's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #118
Delaware's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #110
Delaware's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Delaware 34
Middle Tennessee 18


Total Points: 52

Delaware Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Delaware's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Delaware000 Overs
Middle Tennessee000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Middle Tennessee has lost 3 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl

Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatDELMTSU
OverallOver#71#105
OffenseOff#67#112
DefenseDef#76#68
Special TeamsST#54#100
PassingPass#79#84
RushingRush#30#87
Run BlockRBLK#79#108
Pass BlockPBLK#48#121
Route RunningWR Rt#66#104
TacklingTkl#98#28
Run DefenseR Def#63#47
Pass Rush DefPRush#102#90
Coverage DefCov#81#77

Weather Forecast
Playing in Delaware Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | DEL
Depth Chart: MTSU | DEL
Rosters: MTSU | DEL
(#87) Delaware Info
Power Rating: -5.93 #87
Offense Rating: 8.85 #87
Defense Rating: 11.91 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 282.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Delaware has lost 3 straight
Delaware has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Delaware Notes
(9/9) QB Minicucci 18/36 for 312 yds at Colorado
(8/29) QB Minicucci v good vs Del St, run def awful
(7/15) WR has some pieces, need to see how they fit
(7/12) Could be successful in 1st year w/ return prod
(7/11) OL has good size, impressive for FBS jump
(7/11) Def has a lot back, good production.
(3/24) QBs Marker/Minicucci both played a lot LY
(3/24) RB Silver/St. Fleur exp'd. Depth?
(3/24) HC Carty successful, runs spread/tempo Off

Delaware Highlights
Delaware is Undefeated at Home
Delaware is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Delaware Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Delaware commits very few Penalties (#6)

Delaware Deficiencies
Delaware Can Not Run the Ball (#129)
Delaware gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#120)


  
Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato6211156%548424.9
Roman Gagliano11100%5005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jekail Middlebrook3314204.342
Rickey Hunt166704.215
Stanley Anderson-Lofton3903.015
Cam'Ron Lacy1505.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nahzae Cox14170312.137
Myles Butler1211609.723
Jekail Middlebrook118707.912
Cam'Ron Lacy563012.642

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Hughes212011
Muaaz Byard172000
Shakai Woods133100
Anthony Bynum131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeion Simpson-Smith62200
Damonte Smith95100
Brandon Buckner122100
John Howse IV81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Lowe101002
Parker Hughes212011
Abdul Muhammad60001

Delaware's OC Terence Archer
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Minicucci6910665%828517.8
Zach Marker3838%21002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'Nathan Silver3226028.170
Viron Ellison Jr.229404.313
Nick Minicucci346942.013
Saeed St. Fleur32709.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyre Duplessis17263215.568
Jake Thaw11177116.150
Ja'Carree Kelly9124113.867
Sean Wilson10118011.832

View Delaware's Full Roster
Delaware's DC Manny Rojas
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KT Seay241000
Gavin Moul223001
Dillon Trainer193210
Mysonne Pollard161000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Trainer193210
Kaeden Singleton11100
Trace Scott72100
Nate Evans61101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamarion Kolagbodi30002
Anthony Crenshaw121001
Jason Scott100001