Middle Tennessee at Delaware - 2025 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Delaware Blue Hens

Wednesday, October 22nd 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Delaware -9.5 (55.5) (-340) Open: -10.5 | 52.5
Delaware 31 - Middle Tennessee: 28 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)

MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Delaware -9.5 (SP+ DEL -5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 24 - DEL: 33 (57)
DEL Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MTSU Travel: 637 miles, 1 hrs behind

Blue Hens (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Carty (26 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (37 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
DEL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-14.5	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/6	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin	+28.5	45.5	L 10 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/13	Middle Tennessee at Nevada	+9.0	50.0	W 14 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+2.5	46.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/27	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State	+7.0	54.5	L 16 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State	+2.5	52.5	L 20 - 22	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Delaware	+9.5	55.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Wed 10/29	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	+4.5	54.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-1.5	50.5	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/15	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+13.5	51.5	L 26 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/22	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston	-6.5	53.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.5	52.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Delaware's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Delaware vs Delaware State	-30.5	55.5	W 35 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/6	Delaware at Colorado	+23.5	49.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/13	Delaware vs UConn	+8.5	52.5	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Delaware at Florida International	+4.0	54.5	W 38 - 16	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	Delaware vs Western Kentucky	-2.5	62.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/15	Delaware at Jacksonville State	-3.0	55.5	L 25 - 38	O	N
Wed 10/22	Delaware vs Middle Tennessee	-9.5	55.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/1	Delaware at Liberty	+3.5	52.5	L 30 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/8	Delaware vs Louisiana Tech	+5.5	57.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Delaware vs Sam Houston	-11.5	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/22	Delaware at Wake Forest	+17.5	49.5	L 14 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/29	Delaware vs UTEP	-4.5	55.5	W 61 - 31	O	Y
Wed 12/17	Delaware vs Louisiana	+1.5	60.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Delaware's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	22.4	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	30.9	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
DEL		0%	29	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	31	0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
DEL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	12	22.4	20.8	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13
DEL Defense	0	31	28	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	12	30.9	29.3	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32
DEL Offense	0	29	36.7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2
Delaware	0	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (100)	0.98 (62)
DEL Defense	0	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (107)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)
DEL Offense	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (83)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (84)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (113)
DEL Defense	0	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)
DEL Offense	0	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -12.58 #111
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 9.44 #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 22.02 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #127
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #110
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #128

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -12.58 Delaware: -4.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -16.0 Delaware: -10.9

Delaware's Power Ratings
Delaware's Power Rating: -4.73 #77
Delaware's Offense Rating: 11.65 #76
Delaware's Defense Rating: 15.21 #81
2025 Talent Rating: 282.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Delaware's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Delaware's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.9 #109
Delaware's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #73
Delaware's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Delaware 33
Middle Tennessee 24

Projected Total Points: 57

Delaware Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Delaware's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/22	Delaware	31	Middle Tennessee	28	Delaware -9.5	Middle Tennessee	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Delaware	1	0	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#111) MTSU at (#77) DEL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	DEL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#111	#77
SP+SP+	#127	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#114	#68
OffenseOff	#122	#66
DefenseDef	#72	#56
Spec TeamsST	#131	#81
TalentTal	#124	#133
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Middle Tennessee Notes(10/22) Bottom 5 in CFB in scoring opps both Off & Def
(10/8) Turning ugly, Mason playing for 50 yd GW FG in L
(9/24) Offense throws it 65%, but success #'s in 120s
(9/24) Hung w/ Marshall until 21 pt 4th Q, Def is awful
(9/24) Offense is improving, wonder how they progress
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Delaware Notes(10/22) QB Nick Minicucci knocked out of MTSU game
(10/4) Blew WKU game w/ 2 awful TOs, missed 4th & FG
(9/20) Killed FIU on road, Minicucci good, Def enough
(9/17) Have real issues at kicker, likely 4th down atts
(9/9) QB Minicucci 18/36 for 312 yds at Colorado
(8/29) QB Minicucci v good vs Del St, run def awful
(7/15) WR has some pieces, need to see how they fit
(7/12) Could be successful in 1st year w/ return prod
(7/11) OL has good size, impressive for FBS jump
(7/11) Def has a lot back, good production.
(3/24) QBs Marker/Minicucci both played a lot LY
(3/24) RB Silver/St. Fleur exp'd. Depth?
Delaware Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	DEL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#122	#56
SuccessSuc	#105	NR
ExplosiveExp	#53	NR
PPAPPA	#107	NR
PowerPwr	#91	#81
SP+SP+	#110	#126
Pts POPPO	#128	NR
HavocHav	#113	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	DEL Def
Run GameRun	#86	#45
Run SuccessRSuc	#114	NR
Run ExplRExp	#62	NR
PPAExp	#110	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#125	NR
TackleTak	-	#57

Middle Tennessee Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	DEL Def
Pass GamePass	#52	#49
Pass SuccessPSuc	#83	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#102	NR
PPAExp	#95	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#128	#107
F7 HavocF7	#100	NR
DB HavocDB	#112	NR

Delaware on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	DEL Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#72
SuccessSuc	NR	#130
ExplosiveExp	NR	#71
PPAPPA	NR	#129
PowerPwr	#76	#122
SP+SP+	#73	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	#126
HavocHav	NR	#108

Delaware Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	DEL Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#117	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#124
Run ExplRExp	NR	#59
PPAExp	NR	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#97
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#62
TackleTak	-	#26

Delaware Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	DEL Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#127
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#90
PPAExp	NR	#129
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#30	#75
F7 HavocF7	NR	#100
DB HavocDB	NR	#101

Program Comparison
DEL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Delaware Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Delaware -9.5 (55.5)
Delaware won vs Middle Tennessee this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Delaware beat Middle Tennessee last year (31-28)

MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	219	357	61%	2157	16	7	6.0
Roman Gagliano	78	135	58%	1011	7	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook	140	752	4	5.4	72
DJ Taylor	26	199	2	7.7	64
Roman Gagliano	38	160	2	4.2	64
Rickey Hunt	34	111	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam'Ron Lacy	38	529	3	13.9	68
Myles Butler	52	518	2	10.0	52
Nahzae Cox	40	473	5	11.8	43
Jekail Middlebrook	40	412	3	10.3	48

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Brian Stewart (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	89	3	0	2	2
Anthony Bynum	63	6	3	8	4
Shakai Woods	48	7	3	3	1
Korey Smith	38	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	35	7	5	1	2
Reggie Johnson	35	10	4	7	2
Damonte Smith	33	11	3	4	2
Zeion Simpson-Smith	19	3	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
De'Arre McDonald	29	0	7
Abdul Muhammad	29	0	7
Jackson Lowe	36	2	4

DEL's OC Terence Archer (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Minicucci	322	514	63%	3671	23	7	7.1
Braden Streeter	12	19	63%	98	1	1	5.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jo'Nathan Silver	119	652	5	5.5	70
Viron Ellison Jr.	117	462	4	3.9	20
Nick Minicucci	112	235	10	2.1	29
Greg Spiller	22	110	1	5.0	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyre Duplessis	63	863	5	13.7	68
Sean Wilson	66	850	3	12.9	51
Jake Thaw	31	359	3	11.6	51
Ja'Carree Kelly	32	304	1	9.5	67

View Delaware's Full Roster

DEL's DC Manny Rojas (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gavin Moul	112	7	2	2	3
KT Seay	91	6	0	0	1
Mysonne Pollard	66	3	0	0	1
Blake Matthews	54	4	0	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Keyshawn Hunter	29	7	4	2
Trace Scott	19	4	3	2
James Yelbert Jr.	21	4	3	8
Dillon Trainer	30	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamarion Kolagbodi	28	1	0	0	6
Nate Evans	37	1	1	0	6
Gavin Moul	112	7	2	2	3