Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -20 (55.0)
Virginia Tech 35 - Middle Tennessee: 14

Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ VT -6)
Projected Score: MTSU: 26 - VT: 25 (51)
VT Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
MTSU Travel: 344 miles, 1 hrs behind

Hokies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Fuente (40 - 27)
Avg Score : 24 - 25 (28 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth	-8.5	58.5	W 50 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech	+20.0	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+11.5	60.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	+2.5	55.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+11.0	66.0	W 34 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+20.0	59.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22	Middle Tennessee at UConn	-14.0	54.0	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss	-12.5	47.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+17.5	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/13	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	54.0	W 50 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion	-3.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	49.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Virginia Tech vs North Carolina	+5.5	63.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	55.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia Tech at West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Virginia Tech vs Richmond	-29.0	50.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame	-1.0	46.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/16	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	55.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/23	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-3.5	45.5	L 36 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/5	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-1.0	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Virginia Tech vs Duke	-13.5	50.5	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Virginia Tech at Miami	+7.0	55.5	L 26 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Virginia Tech at Virginia	+7.0	63.5	W 29 - 24	U	Y
Wed 12/29	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	38%	29.8	39%	3.03	124	38%	238	4.08	.16	42%	25.7	47%	39%	3.65	56.6	1.6	2.5
VT	.18	41%	23.7	44%	3.21	186	36%	176	3.27	.23	42%	25.3	46%	38%	3.89	45.9	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
VT	#75 (.18)	42% (87)		44% (66)	3.01 (76)	173	39% (102)	178	4.22 (40)	#18 (.09)	39% (34)		42% (56)	36% (15)	2.97 (7)	46.3	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	29.8	24.4	38.3%	4.08	1.6	20	362	124	238	3.5	43%	56%	39%	38%	26%	.14
VT Defense	13	25.3	21.7	42%	3.89	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	38%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	25.7	31.9	42%	3.65	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	47%	39%	28%	.16
VT Offense	13	23.7	27.6	41%	3.27	0.9	19	362	186	176	4.5	59%	41%	44%	36%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	30:13	19.8	31%	48%	6.6	56.6	1.6	2.5	6.8	2.5	5	31.4
Virginia Tech	13	29:57	18.8	41%	50%	5.4	45.9	0.9	1.2	5.2	1.9	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	43%	39%	35.2	123.7	3.5	15	.07	3.03	60%	17%	1.07
VT Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.28	67%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	42%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.42	74%	16%	0.97
VT Offense	13	59%	44%	40.8	185.5	4.5	16	.12	3.21	73%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	56%	38%	22.8	35.6	238.5	6.7	10.5	28	13	.23	1.6	33%	28%	.3	9%	2.2
VT Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	29%	.34	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.27	1.6	34%	34%	.26	11%	1.9
VT Offense	13	41%	36%	13.3	24.3	176.4	7.3	13.3	17	5	.27	1.9	34%	31%	.36	5%	2.1

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Virginia Tech: 3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0 Virginia Tech: 2.4

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 3.7 NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #70
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #86
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.9

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 26
Virginia Tech 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 25
Virginia Tech 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Virginia Tech 27
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 53

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.7

Virginia Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Virginia Tech	35	Middle Tennessee	14	Virginia Tech -20	Virginia Tech	55.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	1	1	0 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) MTSU at (#) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#70
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#83
OffenseOff	#116	#59
DefenseDef	#53	#106
Spec TeamsST	#124	#97
TalentTal	#80	#39
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#106
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#128	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#53
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#57	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#12	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74°

Rematch from Week 2
Virginia Tech -20.0 (55.0)
Virginia Tech won vs Middle Tennessee this year (35-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VT's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Justin Hamilton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD