Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Wednesday, October 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium"" - Murfreesboro, TN (Conference USA)

Gamecocks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Charles Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (34 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#116)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 10)

JVST coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -4 (SP+ JVST -6)
Projected Score: JVST: 27 - MTSU: 31 (57)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
JVST Travel: 144 miles

Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 8/27	Jacksonville State at UCF	+16.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+16.5
Sat 9/13	Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern	+18
Sat 9/20	Jacksonville State vs Murray State	-4.5
Sat 9/27	Jacksonville State at Southern Miss	+13
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	+4.5
Wed 10/15	Jacksonville State vs Delaware	-0
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/29	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+4
Sat 11/8	Jacksonville State at UTEP	+7.5
Sat 11/15	Jacksonville State vs Kennesaw State	-4
Sat 11/22	Jacksonville State vs Florida International	+6.5
Sat 11/29	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-6
Sat 9/6	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin	+27.5
Sat 9/13	Middle Tennessee at Nevada	+2.5
Sat 9/20	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	-2
Sat 9/27	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State	-0.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State	-3.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Delaware	+3.5
Wed 10/29	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-4
Sat 11/8	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+0
Sat 11/15	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+8.5
Sat 11/22	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston	-2
Sat 11/29	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	#22 (.27)	45% (35)	36	49% (18)	3.36 (17)	254	40% (95)	189	4.85 (3)	#55 (.14)	43% (84)	26.1	44% (79)	43% (85)	3.81 (70)	58.4	1.1	1.6
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	18.1	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	34.3	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	14	36	33.8	45.2%	4.85	1.1	23	443	254	189	5.5	64%	36%	49%	40%	11%	.27
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	32.8	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	14	26.1	31.2	43.2%	3.81	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	44%	43%	16%	.14
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	20.3	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	14	26:57	22.6	41%	54%	6	58.4	1.1	1.6	5.6	1.7	1	28.5
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	14	64% (4)	49% (18)	45.9	253.6	5.5	51 (1)	.25 (15)	3.36 (17)	67% (107)	8% (23)	1.07 (32)
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (107)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	14	54% (108)	44% (79)	-	-	-	-	.09 (52)	3.01 (72)	63% (20)	10% (59)	0.88 (22)
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (100)	0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	14	36% (131)	40% (95)	13.4	22.3	189.4	8.5	14.1	14 (108)	7 (26)	.33 (35)	1.9 (5)	27% (10)	32% (65)	.33 (72)	3% (8)	2.1 (51)
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	14	46% (27)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.21 (55)	1.5 (56)	30% (102)	33% (105)	.36 (92)	6% (63)	2 (45)
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (83)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (84)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (113)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -27.75 #136
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 2.13 #129
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 29.88 #134
2025 Talent Rating: 330.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Jacksonville State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Jacksonville State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #104
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #105
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -27.75 Middle Tennessee: -15.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -10.4 Middle Tennessee: -16.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -15.08 #118
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Jacksonville State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 31
Jacksonville State 27

Projected Total Points: 57

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/23	Jacksonville State	42	Middle Tennessee	20	Jacksonville State	Jacksonville State -20.5	Jacksonville State	64.5	Under
2023	10/04	Middle Tennessee	30	Jacksonville State	45	Jacksonville State	Middle Tennessee -2.5	Jacksonville State	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	0	0	1 Overs
Jacksonville State	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#136) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -27.75 #136
Offense Rating: 2.13 #129
Defense Rating: 29.88 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #104
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #99
Talent Rating: 330.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Jacksonville State Notes
(5/11) #2 least exp'd OL & no exp'd portal adds
(4/17) RB Cook (TCU) had a great spring, likely RB1
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. Cook (TCU)/Paul (UGA)
(3/24) WR return some good prod, 1 portal
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, good LY. No portal adds
(3/24) Def bad LY, shootouts. Least exp'd D in CFB
(3/24) Kelly has years of SEC exp. Good hire
(3/24) CUSA champs likely in for a transition year
(3/24) QB Wimsatt (UK) better improve or not start

Jacksonville State Ratings Matchup Middle Tennessee

Power #136

#118

Off #129

#104

Def #134

#128

Talent #128

#120

SP+ #104

#125

SP+ Off #105

#130

SP+ Def #99

#107

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Middle Tennessee last year (42-20)
Jacksonville State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (45-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: JVST | MTSU
Depth Chart: JVST | MTSU
Rosters: JVST | MTSU

(#118) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.08 #118
Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Middle Tennessee Notes
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl

Jacksonville State's OC Clint Trickett

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	16	39	41%	287	3	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook (Tr)	119	460	9	3.9	19
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	49	183	2	3.7	24
Andrew Paul	38	166	4	4.4	28
Michael Pettway	5	17	0	3.4	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Pettway	25	454	3	18.2	92
Brock Rechsteiner	16	241	2	15.1	85
Caleb Coombs (Tr)	8	123	0	15.4	27
Cam Cook (Tr)	18	75	0	4.2	12

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Brian Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jawaun Campbell	47	8	2	1	2
Patrick Taylor	34	0	0	0	0
Talan Carter	26	3	1	0	0
Darrell Prater	25	2	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jawaun Campbell	47	8	2	1	2
Talan Carter	26	3	1	0	0
Travis Franklin Jr.	19	1	1	0	1
Shane Payton Hodges	4	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jawaun Campbell	47	8	2	1	2
Gharin Stansbury	21	2	0	1	1
Travis Franklin Jr.	19	1	1	0	1

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Roman Gagliano	2	5	0	2.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24
Gamarion Carter	12	123	0	10.3	27

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Shakai Woods	42	4	1	1	0
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Abdul Muhammad	12	0	0	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1