Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Nevada Wolf Pack
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (5:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -9.0 (50.0) (-350) Open: -8.5 | 46.5
Middle Tennessee 14 - Nevada: 13
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Nevada -7.5 (SP+ NEV -9)
Projected Score: MTSU: 18 - NEV: 26 (44)
NEV Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
MTSU Travel: 1836 miles, 2 hrs ahead
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Nevada -7.5 (SP+ NEV -9)
Projected Score: MTSU: 18 - NEV: 26 (44)
NEV Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
MTSU Travel: 1836 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (17 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 15 - 26 (17 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
| Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay | -14.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin | +28.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Middle Tennessee at Nevada | +9.0 | 50.0 | W 14 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Middle Tennessee vs Marshall | +2.5 | 46.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Middle Tennessee at Delaware | +16 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky | +20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State | +10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Nevada's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Nevada at Penn State | +45.5 | 58.5 | L 11 - 46 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Nevada vs Sacramento State | -8.0 | 56.0 | W 20 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Nevada vs Middle Tennessee | -9.0 | 50.0 | L 13 - 14 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Nevada at Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 54.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Nevada at Fresno State | +13.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Nevada vs San Diego State | +9 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Nevada at New Mexico | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Nevada vs Boise State | +19 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | Nevada at Utah State | +7 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Nevada vs San José State | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Nevada at Wyoming | +14 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Nevada vs UNLV | +13 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #127 (-.01) | 36% (119) | 12.7 | 41% (88) | 2.86 (83) | 61 | 33% (119) | 188 | 1.89 (129) | #120 (.29) | 42% (86) | 29.7 | 36% (45) | 51% (123) | 4.58 (109) | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| NEV | #131 (-.01) | 42% (79) | 14.7 | 44% (75) | 2.41 (116) | 184 | 40% (92) | 145 | 2.3 (127) | #116 (.26) | 49% (124) | 25.7 | 51% (123) | 47% (108) | 4.38 (101) | 43.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| NEV | #55 (.21) | 45% (46) | 47% (33) | 3.06 (59) | 164 | 42% (65) | 213 | 3.88 (73) | #110 (.24) | 46% (117) | 49% (121) | 43% (92) | 4.33 (114) | 73.1 | 1.2 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 12.7 | 12 | 36% | 1.89 | 0.7 | 17 | 249 | 61 | 188 | 2.3 | 37% | 61% | 41% | 33% | 17% | -.01 |
| NEV Defense | 3 | 25.7 | 15.5 | 49% | 4.38 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 51% | 47% | 13% | .26 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 29.7 | 27.5 | 42.4% | 4.58 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 36% | 51% | 16% | .29 |
| NEV Offense | 3 | 14.7 | 16.5 | 42.3% | 2.3 | 2.3 | 17 | 329 | 184 | 145 | 4.9 | 68% | 31% | 44% | 40% | 18% | -.01 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 27:17 | 16.7 | 28% | 29% | 5 | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Nevada | 3 | 29:18 | 17.3 | 31% | 57% | 4.7 | 43.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 27.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 37% (129) | 41% (88) | 26.7 | 60.7 | 2.3 | 1 (127) | -.06 (122) | 2.86 (83) | 40% (133) | 11% (99) | 0.99 (58) |
| NEV Defense | 3 | 56% (110) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | .28 (124) | 3.27 (118) | 78% (100) | 11% (52) | 0.87 (54) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 58% (118) | 36% (45) | - | - | - | - | .1 (83) | 2.95 (86) | 86% (112) | 12% (42) | 1.02 (83) |
| NEV Offense | 3 | 68% (6) | 44% (75) | 37.7 | 183.7 | 4.9 | 1 (127) | .13 (72) | 2.41 (116) | 86% (22) | 13% (126) | 1.02 (53) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 61% (9) | 33% (119) | 21.3 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 8.8 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .04 (124) | 1.5 (83) | 35% (111) | 29% (90) | .38 (59) | 7% (104) | 2.2 (44) |
| NEV Defense | 3 | 44% (30) | 47% (108) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .24 (77) | 1.4 (43) | 30% (93) | 26% (44) | .32 (84) | 2% (134) | 1.8 (49) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 42% (21) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .56 (127) | 1.7 (113) | 35% (42) | 34% (104) | .47 (110) | 4% (110) | 2.1 (95) |
| NEV Offense | 3 | 31% (131) | 40% (92) | 12.3 | 22.3 | 145 | 6.5 | 11.8 | 2 (102) | 5 (129) | -.21 (135) | 1 (134) | 32% (86) | 29% (89) | -.19 (136) | 4% (45) | 1.4 (127) |
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -20.97 Nevada: -14.405
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0 Nevada: -14.3
Middle Tennessee: -20.97 Nevada: -14.405
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0 Nevada: -14.3
Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -14.405 #128
Nevada's Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Nevada's Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Nevada's Power Rating: -14.405 #128
Nevada's Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Nevada's Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 533.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nevada 26
Middle Tennessee 18
Total Points: 44
Nevada 26
Middle Tennessee 18
Total Points: 44
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.5
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.5
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/13 | Nevada | 13 | Middle Tennessee | 14 | Middle Tennessee | Nevada -9.0 | Middle Tennessee | 50.0 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Middle Tennessee | 1 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NEV | MTSU |
| OverallOver | #69 | #105 |
| OffenseOff | #87 | #112 |
| DefenseDef | #51 | #68 |
| Special TeamsST | #99 | #100 |
| PassingPass | #97 | #84 |
| RushingRush | #79 | #87 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #34 | #108 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #85 | #121 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #99 | #104 |
| TacklingTkl | #75 | #28 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #64 | #47 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #12 | #90 |
| Coverage DefCov | #73 | #77 |
(#128) Nevada Info
Power Rating: -14.405 #128
Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 68%, Pass: 31%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Nevada has won 1 straight
Nevada has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Nevada Notes
(8/1) Def ugly LY, return 1 starter. 14 portals. Yikes
(8/1) 0-6 finish, Def abysmal esp vs run. Bad vibes
(8/1) One of most penalized teams LY, 950+ yds
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
(4/9) OL 3/5 back, avg LY. Only 1 portal (FCS)
(4/9) Choate got year 0. New OC, pass game better TY
(3/29) QB Purdy vs Blanco, not much playing exp
Nevada Highlights
Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a really bad Offense at Home
Nevada has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Nevada throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Nevada offense is not Explosive (#126)
Nevada Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#121)
Nevada offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#127)
Nevada offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada Does Not Stuff Runs (#128)
Nevada has a bad defensive line (#118)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)
Power Rating: -14.405 #128
Offense Rating: 2.19 #120
Defense Rating: 21.69 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.3 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 486.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
Team Profile
Option Offense 68%, Pass: 31%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.3 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Nevada has won 1 straight
Nevada has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Nevada Notes
(8/1) Def ugly LY, return 1 starter. 14 portals. Yikes
(8/1) 0-6 finish, Def abysmal esp vs run. Bad vibes
(8/1) One of most penalized teams LY, 950+ yds
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
(4/9) OL 3/5 back, avg LY. Only 1 portal (FCS)
(4/9) Choate got year 0. New OC, pass game better TY
(3/29) QB Purdy vs Blanco, not much playing exp
Nevada Highlights
Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a really bad Offense at Home
Nevada has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Nevada throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Nevada offense is not Explosive (#126)
Nevada Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#121)
Nevada offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#127)
Nevada offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Nevada has a bad defense (#124)
Nevada Does Not Stuff Runs (#128)
Nevada has a bad defensive line (#118)
Nevada has a bad red zone defense (#101)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 62 | 111 | 56% | 548 | 4 | 2 | 4.9 |
| Roman Gagliano | 1 | 1 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail Middlebrook | 33 | 142 | 0 | 4.3 | 42 |
| Rickey Hunt | 16 | 67 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Stanley Anderson-Lofton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.0 | 15 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahzae Cox | 14 | 170 | 3 | 12.1 | 37 |
| Myles Butler | 12 | 116 | 0 | 9.7 | 23 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 11 | 87 | 0 | 7.9 | 12 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 5 | 63 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Muaaz Byard | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakai Woods | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeion Simpson-Smith | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Damonte Smith | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Buckner | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Howse IV | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Lowe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Abdul Muhammad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chubba Purdy | 24 | 43 | 56% | 329 | 1 | 4 | 7.7 |
| AJ Bianco | 13 | 23 | 57% | 106 | 1 | 1 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chubba Purdy | 44 | 216 | 1 | 4.9 | 30 |
| Herschel Turner (Tr) | 31 | 153 | 0 | 4.9 | 64 |
| Caleb Ramseur | 23 | 93 | 0 | 4.0 | 26 |
| Ky Woods | 4 | 50 | 0 | 12.5 | 28 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bellon | 11 | 153 | 1 | 13.9 | 43 |
| Jordan Brown (Tr) | 11 | 145 | 0 | 13.2 | 28 |
| Ky Woods | 1 | 47 | 1 | 47.0 | 47 |
| Jett Carpenter | 6 | 41 | 0 | 6.8 | 12 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stone Combs | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dylan Labarbera | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Murvin Kenion III (Tr) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Harnetiaux | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Labarbera | 21 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Maldonado | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Cook (Tr) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nelson Ropati | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Rhambo (Tr) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bishop Turner | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Austin Harnetiaux | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |