Middle Tennessee at Nevada Game Matchup

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Nevada Wolf Pack

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Mackay Stadium - Reno, NV

Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)

MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Nevada -2.5 (SP+ NEV -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 25 - NEV: 27 (53)
NEV Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 1836 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Wolf Pack (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Choate (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#120)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-6
Sat 9/6	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin	+27.5
Sat 9/13	Middle Tennessee at Nevada	+2.5
Sat 9/20	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	-2
Sat 9/27	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State	-0.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State	-3.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Delaware	+3.5
Wed 10/29	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-4
Sat 11/8	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+0
Sat 11/15	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+8.5
Sat 11/22	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston	-2
Sat 11/29	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Nevada's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Nevada at Penn State	+45.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Nevada vs Sacramento State	-6
Sat 9/13	Nevada vs Middle Tennessee	-2.5
Sat 9/20	Nevada at Western Kentucky	+8
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Nevada at Fresno State	+13.5
Sat 10/11	Nevada vs San Diego State	+2.5
Sat 10/18	Nevada at New Mexico	+3.5
Sat 10/25	Nevada vs Boise State	+24.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Nevada at Utah State	+4
Sat 11/15	Nevada vs San José State	+10
Sat 11/22	Nevada at Wyoming	+6.5
Sat 11/29	Nevada vs UNLV	+9.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	18.1	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	34.3	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
NEV	#55 (.21)	45% (46)	23.1	47% (33)	3.06 (59)	164	42% (65)	213	3.88 (73)	#110 (.24)	46% (117)	28.8	49% (121)	43% (92)	4.33 (114)	73.1	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	14.2	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13
NEV Defense	13	28.8	26.6	46.4%	4.33	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	49%	43%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	35.8	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32
NEV Offense	13	23.1	27.6	44.5%	3.88	1.2	19	377	164	213	4.6	53%	47%	47%	42%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2
Nevada	13	31:02	19.5	45%	52%	7.6	73.1	1.2	1	4.2	1.1	1	26.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (100)	0.98 (62)
NEV Defense	13	56% (126)	49% (121)	-	-	-	-	.27 (130)	3.17 (91)	80% (109)	8% (119)	1.08 (107)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (107)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)
NEV Offense	13	53% (47)	47% (33)	35.4	164.2	4.6	21 (59)	.16 (51)	3.06 (59)	69% (93)	10% (81)	0.97 (64)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (83)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (84)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (113)
NEV Defense	13	44% (11)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.2 (50)	1.5 (49)	30% (103)	39% (130)	.46 (119)	7% (47)	1.9 (42)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)
NEV Offense	13	47% (87)	42% (65)	19	28.2	212.6	7.6	11.2	19 (65)	8 (40)	.27 (57)	1.6 (71)	32% (69)	32% (60)	.42 (29)	6% (74)	2.1 (59)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -18.76 Nevada: -14.845

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -16.4 Nevada: -16.3

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -14.845 #117
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.33 #110
Nevada's Defense Rating: 25.72 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Nevada's 2025 Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1
Nevada's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.3 #124
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #119

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 505.83
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Nevada 27
Middle Tennessee 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6

Nevada's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	0	0	0 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#118) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Middle Tennessee Notes
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl

Middle Tennessee Ratings Matchup Nevada

Power #118

#117

Off #104

#110

Def #128

#121

Talent #120

#114

SP+ #125

#124

SP+ Off #130

#114

SP+ Def #107

#119

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | NEV
Depth Chart: MTSU | NEV
Rosters: MTSU | NEV

(#117) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.845 #117
Offense Rating: 7.33 #110
Defense Rating: 25.72 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.3 #124
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #114
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #119
Talent Rating: 476.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 3.9 - 8.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Nevada Notes
(4/9) RBs meh. Some options, Turner (USU) added
(4/9) WR Smith/Bellon good. 3 portal adds. Impressive
(4/9) OL 3/5 back, avg LY. Only 1 portal (FCS)
(4/9) Def ugly LY, return nothing. 10 portals. Yikes
(4/9) Choate got year 0. New OC, pass game better TY
(3/29) QB Purdy vs Blanco, not much playing exp

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Roman Gagliano	2	5	0	2.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24
Gamarion Carter	12	123	0	10.3	27

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Shakai Woods	42	4	1	1	0
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Abdul Muhammad	12	0	0	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Nevada's OC David Gilbertson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chubba Purdy	18	25	72%	239	1	1	9.6
AJ Bianco	16	24	67%	173	1	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Herschel Turner (Tr)	79	405	4	5.1	43
Caleb Ramseur	32	110	0	3.4	33
Chubba Purdy	13	60	0	4.6	19
Marcus Bellon	9	37	0	4.1	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Bellon	39	522	4	13.4	63
Jordan Brown (Tr)	11	140	0	12.7	42
Nick Rempert (Tr)	11	127	1	11.5	40
Caleb Ramseur	8	106	1	13.3	44

View Nevada's Full Roster

Nevada's DC Kane Ioane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Stone Combs	58	3	1	0
Austin Harnetiaux	44	2	0	1
Thomas Witte	34	2	0	1
Dylan Labarbera	31	2	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jonathan Maldonado	17	3	2	1
Stone Combs	58	3	1	0
Jason Douglas Jr.	1	1	1	0
DJ Warnell	4	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Edward Rhambo (Tr)	22	1	0	2
Charles Brown	2	0	0	1
Kaden Johnson	17	1	1	1