Middle Tennessee at Colorado State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Colorado State Rams

Saturday, September 10th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Colorado State -13.5 (58.0)
Middle Tennessee 34 - Colorado State: 19

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ MTSU -15.5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 28 - CSU: 23 (51)
CSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
MTSU Travel: 1065 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rams (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 13 - 27 (15 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Colorado State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Colorado State at Michigan	+31.0	60.5	L 7 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/10	Colorado State vs Middle Tennessee	-13.5	58.0	L 19 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/17	Colorado State at Washington State	+17.0	51.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Colorado State vs Sacramento State	+4.5	59.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/7	Colorado State at Nevada	+3.5	44.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Colorado State vs Utah State	+14.0	45.5	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Colorado State vs Hawai'i	-6.0	46.0	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/29	Colorado State at Boise State	+25.0	42.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/5	Colorado State at San José State	+24.0	44.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Colorado State vs Wyoming	+8.5	42.5	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Colorado State at Air Force	+22.0	43.0	L 12 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Colorado State vs New Mexico	-7.5	36.0	W 17 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	40%	28.8	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	27.7	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8
CSU	.05	34%	13.2	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	26.9	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
CSU	#90 (.16)	42% (76)		43% (80)	2.88 (96)	162	41% (81)	192	3.56 (98)	#61 (.16)	42% (78)		42% (59)	43% (94)	4 (88)	47.3	1.2	1.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	28.8	25.9	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14
CSU Defense	12	26.9	19.8	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	27.7	30.9	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1
CSU Offense	12	13.2	14.8	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Colorado State: -8.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -6.9 Colorado State: -22.2

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -8.6 NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.2 #126
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8 #131
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #77

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.9
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 28
Colorado State 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 32
Colorado State 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 25
Colorado State 22

Total Points: 47

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 13.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 14.8
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Colorado State's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Middle Tennessee	23	Colorado State	31	Middle Tennessee -3.5	Colorado State	50.0	Over
2022	09/10	Colorado State	19	Middle Tennessee	34	Colorado State -13.5	Middle Tennessee	58.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	1	1	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) CSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	CSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#126
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#117
OffenseOff	#131	#133
DefenseDef	#43	#40
Spec TeamsST	#64	#121
TalentTal	#103	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Colorado State Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#40
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#77
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CSU Def
Run GameRun	#117	#86
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CSU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#19
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado State on Offense


CategoryCat	CSU Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#131	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado State Run Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#122	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#134	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Colorado State Pass Game


CategoryCat	CSU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Colorado State -13.5 (58.0)
Middle Tennessee won at Colorado State this year (34-19)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-23)
Middle Tennessee beat Colorado State in 2022 (34-19)

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD