Middle Tennessee at Florida International - 2024 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
Florida International -9.5 (50.5) (-425)  Open: -9.0 | 51.5
Florida International 35 - Middle Tennessee: 24  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Florida International -13   (SP+ FIU -12)
Projected Score: MTSU: 19 - FIU: 32 (52)
FIU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MTSU Travel: 783 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-11.5
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss+42.560.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+10.553.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+14.551.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+27.062.0L 7 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+5.048.0L 21 - 48ON
Tue 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-8.550.0W 14 - 5UY
Wed 10/23 Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State+20.564.5L 20 - 42UN
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.048.0W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Liberty+12.554.5L 17 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State-3.554.0L 21 - 36ON
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+9.550.5L 24 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 3

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Florida International's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Florida International at Indiana+20.550.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/7 Florida International vs Central Michigan+3.551.5W 52 - 16OY
Sat 9/14 Florida International at Florida Atlantic+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 Florida International vs Monmouth-12.559.5L 42 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Florida International vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.0W 17 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8 Florida International at Liberty+15.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Wed 10/16 Florida International at UTEP-7.047.0L 21 - 30ON
Tue 10/22 Florida International vs Sam Houston+5.047.0L 7 - 10UY
Tue 10/29 Florida International vs New Mexico State-7.043.5W 34 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Florida International at Jacksonville State+12.558.5L 31 - 34OY
Sat 11/23 Florida International at Kennesaw State-9.042.5L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/30 Florida International vs Middle Tennessee-9.550.5W 35 - 24OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 5

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#95 (.14)39% (104)18.141% (93)3.08 (74)12639% (94)2663.2 (115)#60 (.17)43% (81)34.345% (88)42% (78)4.13 (100)56.31.81.3
FIU#117 (.09)37% (120)26.340% (104)2.67 (126)9035% (119)2303.21 (113)#84 (.2)40% (46)25.840% (39)42% (73)3.34 (26)50.61.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1218.114.239.4%3.21.8193911262663.942%57%41%39%17%.14
FIU Defense1225.825.840.4%3.341 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1234.335.842.9%4.131.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%17%.17
FIU Offense1226.326.336.8%3.211.815320902302.944%55%40%35%20%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1228:3219.340%45%6.856.31.81.35.81.9028.8
Florida International1227:1615.328%48%5.850.61.815.11125.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)
FIU Defense1251% (90)40% (39) - - - - .1 (39)3.08 (64)90% (131)9% (91)1.03 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)
FIU Offense1244% (106)40% (104)31.790.32.917 (81).05 (119)2.67 (126)69% (99)13% (125)1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)
FIU Defense1248% (45)42% (73) - - - - - - 6 (120).36 (110)1.8 (119)35% (31)29% (47).29 (56)3% (133)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)
FIU Offense1255% (28)35% (119)18.331.92307.212.612 (113)12 (85).17 (102)1.6 (69)35% (115)24% (121).24 (95)6% (78)2 (86)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.28   Florida International: -11.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4   Florida International: -12.1




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -11.375 #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
2024 Talent Rating: 458.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 32
Middle Tennessee 19


Projected Total Points: 52
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Florida International35Middle Tennessee24Florida InternationalFlorida International -9.5Florida International50.5Over
202311/11Middle Tennessee40Florida International6Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -10.5Middle Tennessee50.5Under
202211/26Florida International28Middle Tennessee33Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -19.5Florida International54.5Over
202111/13Middle Tennessee50Florida International10Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -10.5Middle Tennessee54.0Over
202010/10Florida International28Middle Tennessee31Middle TennesseeFlorida International -7.0Middle Tennessee57.0Over
201910/26Middle Tennessee50Florida International17Middle TennesseeFlorida International -1Middle Tennessee58.5Over
201810/13Florida International24Middle Tennessee21Florida InternationalFlorida International -2Florida International61.0Under
201710/07Middle Tennessee37Florida International17Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -9Middle Tennessee53.5Over
201610/29Florida International35Middle Tennessee42Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -17Florida International62.5Over
201510/17Middle Tennessee42Florida International34Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -7Middle Tennessee52.5Over
201411/15Florida International38Middle Tennessee28Florida InternationalMiddle Tennessee -3Florida International0
201311/09Middle Tennessee48Florida International0Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -17Middle Tennessee0
201210/13Florida International30Middle Tennessee34Middle Tennessee
201111/26Middle Tennessee18Florida International31Florida International
201012/04Florida International27Middle Tennessee28Middle Tennessee
200911/07Middle Tennessee48Florida International21Middle Tennessee
200810/11Florida International31Middle Tennessee21Florida International
200709/29Middle Tennessee47Florida International6Middle Tennessee
200608/31Middle Tennessee7Florida International6Middle Tennessee
200512/03Florida International35Middle Tennessee31Florida International
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International658 Overs
Middle Tennessee1472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 611 - 17 - 14 - 0
Road Teams6 - 141 - 110 - 41 - 7

(#130) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Florida International
Power #130
#104
Off #105
#77
Def #131
#65
Talent #119
#109
SP+ #131
#112
SP+ Off #131
#110
SP+ Def #122
#99

Rematch from Week 14
Florida International -9.5 (50.5)
Florida International won vs Middle Tennessee this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee last year (35-24)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2023 (40-6)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2022 (33-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | FIU
Depth Chart: MTSU | FIU
Rosters: MTSU | FIU
(#104) Florida International Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.375 #104
Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99
Talent Rating: 458.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.44 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.49 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Florida International Notes
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?


  
Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Terry Wilkins5421414.023
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Frank Peasant104924.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)53869416.471
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544
Jekail Middlebrook2216317.424

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
John Howse IV (Tr)514101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
James Gillespie102200
Damonte Smith254231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrell Raby160006
Marvae Myers-Glover411004
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003

Florida International's OC David Yost
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins18830462%25572288.4
Chayden Peery71258%58104.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens9239254.326
Devonte Lyons4328826.721
Shomari Lawrence4717713.815
Keyone Jenkins7513021.734
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Rivers6211721218.962
Dean Patterson50685713.752
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)2220919.522
Juju Lewis (Tr)593218.642

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travion Barnes12911340
JoJo Evans933017
CJ Christian803003
Hezekiah Masses381004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Keegan Davis304400
Travion Barnes12911340
Dwight Nunoo132120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Evans933017
Brian Blades291006
Hezekiah Masses381004