Middle Tennessee at Florida International

Middle Tennessee at Florida International - 2024 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Florida International Golden Panthers

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
Florida International -9.5 (50.5) (-425) Open: -9.0 | 51.5
Florida International 35 - Middle Tennessee: 24 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Florida International -13 (SP+ FIU -12)
Projected Score: MTSU: 20 - FIU: 33 (53)
FIU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MTSU Travel: 783 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech	-11.5
Sat 9/7	Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss	+42.5	60.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/14	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+10.5	53.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Middle Tennessee vs Duke	+14.5	51.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Memphis	+27.0	62.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	+5.0	48.0	L 21 - 48	O	N
Tue 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-8.5	50.0	W 14 - 5	U	Y
Wed 10/23	Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State	+20.5	64.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/2	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.0	48.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Middle Tennessee vs Liberty	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-3.5	54.0	L 21 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/30	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+9.5	50.5	L 24 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Florida International's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Florida International at Indiana	+20.5	50.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/7	Florida International vs Central Michigan	+3.5	51.5	W 52 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Florida International at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	44.5	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	Florida International vs Monmouth	-12.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Florida International vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/8	Florida International at Liberty	+15.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Wed 10/16	Florida International at UTEP	-7.0	47.0	L 21 - 30	O	N
Tue 10/22	Florida International vs Sam Houston	+5.0	47.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Tue 10/29	Florida International vs New Mexico State	-7.0	43.5	W 34 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Florida International at Jacksonville State	+12.5	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Florida International at Kennesaw State	-9.0	42.5	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/30	Florida International vs Middle Tennessee	-9.5	50.5	W 35 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#95 (.14)	39% (104)	22.4	41% (93)	3.08 (74)	126	39% (94)	266	3.2 (115)	#60 (.17)	43% (81)	30.9	45% (88)	42% (78)	4.13 (100)	56.3	1.8	1.3
FIU	#117 (.09)	37% (120)	28.5	40% (104)	2.67 (126)	90	35% (119)	230	3.21 (113)	#84 (.2)	40% (46)	30	40% (39)	42% (73)	3.34 (26)	50.6	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	12	22.4	20.8	39.4%	3.2	1.8	19	391	126	266	3.9	42%	57%	41%	39%	17%	.14
FIU Defense	12	30	28	40.4%	3.34	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	12	30.9	29.3	42.9%	4.13	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	42%	17%	.17
FIU Offense	12	28.5	30.5	36.8%	3.21	1.8	15	320	90	230	2.9	44%	55%	40%	35%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	12	28:32	19.3	40%	45%	6.8	56.3	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	0	28.8
Florida International	12	27:16	15.3	28%	48%	5.8	50.6	1.8	1	5.1	1	1	25.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	12	42% (117)	41% (93)	32	125.5	3.9	13 (108)	.1 (93)	3.08 (74)	79% (22)	11% (95)	1.08 (28)
FIU Defense	12	51% (90)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.1 (39)	3.08 (64)	90% (131)	9% (91)	1.03 (89)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	12	47% (30)	45% (88)	-	-	-	-	.06 (24)	2.97 (43)	71% (57)	10% (65)	0.85 (13)
FIU Offense	12	44% (106)	40% (104)	31.7	90.3	2.9	17 (81)	.05 (119)	2.67 (126)	69% (99)	13% (125)	1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	12	57% (18)	39% (94)	24.6	36.5	265.6	7.3	10.8	23 (51)	13 (97)	.24 (84)	1.6 (59)	34% (101)	26% (110)	.24 (94)	6% (70)	2.3 (6)
FIU Defense	12	48% (45)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.36 (110)	1.8 (119)	35% (31)	29% (47)	.29 (56)	3% (133)	2.2 (119)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	12	52% (104)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (96)	1.5 (47)	30% (104)	32% (90)	.35 (88)	7% (31)	2.2 (100)
FIU Offense	12	55% (28)	35% (119)	18.3	31.9	230	7.2	12.6	12 (113)	12 (85)	.17 (102)	1.6 (69)	35% (115)	24% (121)	.24 (95)	6% (78)	2 (86)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.28 Florida International: -11.375

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4 Florida International: -12.1

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -11.375 #104
Florida International's Offense Rating: 19.00 #77
Florida International's Defense Rating: 9.00 #65
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Florida International's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Florida International's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #99

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Florida International 33
Middle Tennessee 20

Projected Total Points: 53

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Middle Tennessee	30	Florida International	56	Middle Tennessee -1.5	Florida International	50.5	Over
2024	11/30	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	24	Florida International -9.5	Florida International	50.5	Over
2023	11/11	Middle Tennessee	40	Florida International	6	Middle Tennessee -10.5	Middle Tennessee	50.5	Under
2022	11/26	Florida International	28	Middle Tennessee	33	Middle Tennessee -19.5	Florida International	54.5	Over
2021	11/13	Middle Tennessee	50	Florida International	10	Middle Tennessee -10.5	Middle Tennessee	54.0	Over
2020	10/10	Florida International	28	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida International -7.0	Middle Tennessee	57.0	Over
2019	10/26	Middle Tennessee	50	Florida International	17	Florida International -1	Middle Tennessee	58.5	Over
2018	10/13	Florida International	24	Middle Tennessee	21	Florida International -2	Florida International	61.0	Under
2017	10/07	Middle Tennessee	37	Florida International	17	Middle Tennessee -9	Middle Tennessee	53.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -17	Florida International	62.5	Over
2015	10/17	Middle Tennessee	42	Florida International	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Middle Tennessee	52.5	Over
2014	11/15	Florida International	38	Middle Tennessee	28	Middle Tennessee -3	Florida International	0
2013	11/09	Middle Tennessee	48	Florida International	0	Middle Tennessee -17	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	10/13	Florida International	30	Middle Tennessee	34
2011	11/26	Middle Tennessee	18	Florida International	31
2010	12/04	Florida International	27	Middle Tennessee	28
2009	11/07	Middle Tennessee	48	Florida International	21
2008	10/11	Florida International	31	Middle Tennessee	21
2007	09/29	Middle Tennessee	47	Florida International	6
2006	08/31	Middle Tennessee	7	Florida International	6
2005	12/03	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	7	6	9 Overs
Middle Tennessee	14	7	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 7	11 - 2	7 - 2	4 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 14	2 - 11	0 - 4	2 - 7

(#130) MTSU at (#104) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	FIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#130	#104
SP+SP+	#131	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#61
OffenseOff	#125	#85
DefenseDef	#129	#31
Spec TeamsST	#120	#102
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Middle Tennessee Notes(8/3) Will start 1-4, watch after bye on Oct 3
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
(7/30) A D Mason team has to win with Off? Sept rough
Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida International Notes(12/10) Hired HC Simmons (Duke, RB-FAMU, 45-13)
(12/1) HC MacIntyre fired after 12-24 in 3 years
(11/18) Nearly upset Jax St, Jenkins/Rgame good, D bad
(10/29) Killed NMSU, 400+ yds, Rgame still awful
(10/23) Rgame a bit better. Put 4th QB Peery in, tough L
(10/21) Starting QB Jenkins to start vs Sam Houston
(10/17) Can't run, WR good in space, Def bad vs UTEP
(10/17) Top 2 QB's knocked out of UTEP game
(10/8) Great fight @ Lib. QB Jenkins was good, R-D not
(10/4) Bottom 10 Rgame, Off awful, TO issues, Def trying
(9/25) Bad, crazy L to Mon. Def awful TW, 361/197, 42 pts?
(9/8) Big W over CMU, forced 6 TOs. 185 yds rush
Florida International Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#31
SuccessSuc	#104	#46
ExplosiveExp	#14	#114
PPAPPA	#95	#84
PowerPwr	#105	#65
SP+SP+	#131	#99
Pts POPPO	#115	#26
HavocHav	#89	#129

Middle Tennessee Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#77	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	#93	#39
Run ExplRExp	#28	#89
PPAExp	#93	#39
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	#74	#64
Stuff RateStuff	#87	#57
TackleTak	-	#27

Middle Tennessee Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#94	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#59	#119
PPAExp	#84	#110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#136	#48
F7 HavocF7	#95	#91
DB HavocDB	#70	#133

Florida International on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#85	#129
SuccessSuc	#120	#81
ExplosiveExp	#46	#23
PPAPPA	#117	#60
PowerPwr	#77	#131
SP+SP+	#110	#122
Pts POPPO	#113	#100
HavocHav	#118	#49

Florida International Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#114	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#104	#88
Run ExplRExp	#40	#13
PPAExp	#119	#24
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#43
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#31
TackleTak	-	#83

Florida International Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#78
Pass ExplPExl	#69	#47
PPAExp	#102	#96
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#124	#131
F7 HavocF7	#125	#65
DB HavocDB	#78	#31

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Pitbull Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Florida International -9.5 (50.5)
Florida International won vs Middle Tennessee this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee last year (56-30)
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee in 2024 (35-24)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2023 (40-6)

MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle	109	471	4	4.3	66
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Terry Wilkins	54	214	1	4.0	23
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis	53	871	6	16.4	61
Omari Kelly (Tr)	53	869	4	16.4	71
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Brian Stewart (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrell Raby	16	0	6
Marvae Myers-Glover	41	1	4
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	3

FIU's OC David Yost (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	188	304	62%	2557	22	8	8.4
Chayden Peery	7	12	58%	58	1	0	4.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kejon Owens	92	392	5	4.3	26
Lexington Joseph	82	308	3	3.8	35
Devonte Lyons	43	288	2	6.7	21
Shomari Lawrence	47	177	1	3.8	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Rivers	62	1172	12	18.9	62
Dean Patterson	50	685	7	13.7	52
Nazeviah Burris (Tr)	22	209	1	9.5	22
Josiah Miamen	10	120	0	12.0	23

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travion Barnes	129	11	3	4	0
Elijah Anderson-Taylor	94	2	1	2	1
JoJo Evans	93	3	0	1	7
Jamal Potts	81	4	1	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)	30	6	5	3	1
Keegan Davis	30	4	4	0	0
Travion Barnes	129	11	3	4	0
Jeramy Passmore	35	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JoJo Evans	93	3	0	1	7
Jamal Potts	81	4	1	2	6
Brian Blades	29	1	0	0	6