Florida International at Middle Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -10.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 40 - Florida International: 6 (Conference USA)

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -9 (SP+ MTSU -12)
Projected Score: FIU: 22 - MTSU: 31 (53)
MTSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
FIU Travel: 783 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (24 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Florida International at Louisiana Tech	+12.0	57.5	L 17 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Florida International vs Maine	-15.0	46.0	W 14 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida International vs North Texas	+10.5	51.5	W 46 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	43.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida International vs Liberty	+10.0	54.0	L 6 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	Florida International at New Mexico State	+6.5	49.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Wed 10/11	Florida International vs UTEP	+1.5	44.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Florida International at Sam Houston	+6.0	42.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Wed 10/25	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+10.5	50.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida International at Arkansas	+27.5	49.5	L 20 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	+11.5	54.0	L 28 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+39.5	52.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+21.0	47.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Middle Tennessee vs Murray State	-34.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State	-3.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	N
Thu 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+6.5	61.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Wed 10/4	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Tue 10/10	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Tue 10/17	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+16.0	56.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.0	55.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	50.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Middle Tennessee vs UTEP	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/25	Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston	-3.5	49.5	L 20 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	.1	39%	28.5	40%	2.86	104	39%	219	3.06	.28	47%	30	49%	46%	4.16	53.3	1.7	1.6
MTSU	.14	40%	22.4	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	30.9	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	12	28.5	22.4	38.7%	3.06	1.7	18	323	104	219	3.5	39%	59%	40%	39%	18%	.1
MTSU Defense	13	30.9	32.5	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	12	30	29.8	47.4%	4.16	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	46%	14%	.28
MTSU Offense	13	22.4	24	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	12	27:09	18	29%	46%	6.2	53.3	1.7	1.6	5.4	1.8	1	28.1
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	12	39%	40%	29.7	104.2	3.5	11	.13	2.86	69%	10%	1.05
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	12	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.25	76%	9%	0.94
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	12	59%	39%	22.6	39	218.8	5.6	9.7	16	16	.15	1.5	37%	29%	.22	9%	2
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	12	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.37	1.6	30%	36%	.54	5%	2.2
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.87 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 487.50 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.87 Middle Tennessee: -5.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -20.9 Middle Tennessee: -9.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 487.98 #90
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 31
Florida International 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Middle Tennessee	30	Florida International	56	Middle Tennessee -1.5	Florida International	50.5	Over
2024	11/30	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	24	Florida International -9.5	Florida International	50.5	Over
2023	11/11	Middle Tennessee	40	Florida International	6	Middle Tennessee -10.5	Middle Tennessee	50.5	Under
2022	11/26	Florida International	28	Middle Tennessee	33	Middle Tennessee -19.5	Florida International	54.5	Over
2021	11/13	Middle Tennessee	50	Florida International	10	Middle Tennessee -10.5	Middle Tennessee	54.0	Over
2020	10/10	Florida International	28	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida International -7.0	Middle Tennessee	57.0	Over
2019	10/26	Middle Tennessee	50	Florida International	17	Florida International -1	Middle Tennessee	58.5	Over
2018	10/13	Florida International	24	Middle Tennessee	21	Florida International -2	Florida International	61.0	Under
2017	10/07	Middle Tennessee	37	Florida International	17	Middle Tennessee -9	Middle Tennessee	53.5	Over
2016	10/29	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -17	Florida International	62.5	Over
2015	10/17	Middle Tennessee	42	Florida International	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Middle Tennessee	52.5	Over
2014	11/15	Florida International	38	Middle Tennessee	28	Middle Tennessee -3	Florida International	0
2013	11/09	Middle Tennessee	48	Florida International	0	Middle Tennessee -17	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	10/13	Florida International	30	Middle Tennessee	34
2011	11/26	Middle Tennessee	18	Florida International	31
2010	12/04	Florida International	27	Middle Tennessee	28
2009	11/07	Middle Tennessee	48	Florida International	21
2008	10/11	Florida International	31	Middle Tennessee	21
2007	09/29	Middle Tennessee	47	Florida International	6
2006	08/31	Middle Tennessee	7	Florida International	6
2005	12/03	Florida International	35	Middle Tennessee	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	14	7	9 Overs
Florida International	7	6	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 7	11 - 2	7 - 2	4 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 14	2 - 11	0 - 4	2 - 7

(#114) FIU at (#101) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#114	#101
SP+SP+	#127	#100
Perf GradeGrade	#122	#125
OffenseOff	#118	#122
DefenseDef	#103	#107
Spec TeamsST	#84	#43
TalentTal	#91	#90
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Florida International Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#107
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#117	#69
SP+SP+	#120	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#119	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#93

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#114	#78
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#122	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#109	#84
SP+SP+	#92	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#96	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#135	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#56	#99
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Middle Tennessee -10.5 (50.5)
Middle Tennessee won vs Florida International this year (40-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee last year (56-30)
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee in 2024 (35-24)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2023 (40-6)

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	194	332	58%	2422	11	11	7.3
Grayson James	19	37	51%	218	1	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)	125	566	4	4.5	67
Kejon Owens	80	453	5	5.7	47
Keyone Jenkins	117	50	6	0.4	23
Antonio Patterson	14	33	1	2.4	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kris Mitchell	64	1118	7	17.5	80
Dean Patterson	28	423	1	15.1	40
Eric Rivers (Tr)	32	343	2	10.7	48
Jalen Bracey	31	316	1	10.2	45

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
D'Verick Daniel	57	2	0	0	1
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Nobles	35	8	3	5	0
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
Jeramy Passmore	23	4	2	2	0
Jack Daly	20	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hezekiah Masses	33	0	0	0	4
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	286	428	67%	3087	23	13	7.2
DJ Riles	7	8	88%	78	0	0	9.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	89	427	2	4.8	71
Nick Vattiato	139	402	2	2.9	30
Frank Peasant	82	306	4	3.7	37
Terry Wilkins	18	146	1	8.1	75

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis (Tr)	46	697	5	15.2	62
Elijah Metcalf	54	634	6	11.7	71
Justin Olson (Tr)	43	450	1	10.5	42
DJ England-Chisolm	28	347	3	12.4	72

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Brumfield	82	7	4	8	0
Jakobe Thomas	71	3	0	0	5
Tra Fluellen	64	3	0	1	3
Parker Hughes	53	7	3	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Brumfield	82	7	4	8	0
Richard Kinley	20	7	3	3	3
Zaylin Wood	16	4	3	2	2
Parker Hughes	53	7	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quindarius Dunnigan	34	9	2	5	8
Tyrell Raby (Tr)	29	0	0	0	6
De'Arre McDonald	18	4	1	0	6