Florida International at Middle Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -10.5 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 40 - Florida International: 6  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (20 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FIU coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -9   (SP+ MTSU -12)

Projected Score: FIU: 21 - MTSU: 30 (52)
MTSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
FIU Travel: 783 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (32 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Florida International at Louisiana Tech+12.057.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/2 Florida International vs Maine-15.046.0W 14 - 12UN
Sat 9/9 Florida International vs North Texas+10.551.5W 46 - 39OY
Sat 9/16 Florida International at UConn+7.043.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Florida International vs Liberty+10.054.0L 6 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 Florida International at New Mexico State+6.549.5L 17 - 34ON
Wed 10/11 Florida International vs UTEP+1.544.0L 14 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Florida International at Sam Houston+6.042.0W 33 - 27OY
Wed 10/25 Florida International vs Jacksonville State+9.048.0L 16 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.550.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 11/18 Florida International at Arkansas+27.549.5L 20 - 44OY
Sat 11/25 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+11.554.0L 28 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Middle Tennessee at Alabama+39.552.0L 7 - 56ON
Sat 9/9 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+21.047.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Middle Tennessee vs Murray State-34.551.0W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State-3.550.0L 23 - 31ON
Thu 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+6.561.0L 10 - 31UN
Wed 10/4 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State-2.552.0L 30 - 45ON
Tue 10/10 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-3.053.5W 31 - 23OY
Tue 10/17 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+16.056.5L 35 - 42OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+3.055.5L 7 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.550.5W 40 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 Middle Tennessee vs UTEP-8.548.5W 34 - 30ON
Sat 11/25 Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston-3.549.5L 20 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#117 (.09)37% (120)20.140% (104)2.67 (126)9035% (119)2303.21 (113)#84 (.2)40% (46)31.840% (39)42% (73)3.34 (26)50.61.81
MTSU#95 (.14)39% (104)24.341% (93)3.08 (74)12639% (94)2663.2 (115)#60 (.17)43% (81)28.145% (88)42% (78)4.13 (100)56.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1220.119.536.8%3.211.815320902302.944%55%40%35%20%.09
MTSU Defense1228.124.842.9%4.131.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense1231.830.740.4%3.341 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%12%.2
MTSU Offense1224.332.239.4%3.21.8193911262663.942%57%41%39%17%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1227:1615.328%48%5.850.61.815.11125.8
Middle Tennessee1228:3219.340%45%6.856.31.81.35.81.9028.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1244% (106)40% (104)31.790.32.917 (81).05 (119)2.67 (126)69% (99)13% (125)1.05 (40)
MTSU Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1251% (90)40% (39) - - - - .1 (39)3.08 (64)90% (131)9% (91)1.03 (89)
MTSU Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1255% (28)35% (119)18.331.92307.212.612 (113)12 (85).17 (102)1.6 (69)35% (115)24% (121).24 (95)6% (78)2 (86)
MTSU Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1248% (45)42% (73) - - - - - - 6 (120).36 (110)1.8 (119)35% (31)29% (47).29 (56)3% (133)2.2 (119)
MTSU Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.87 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.87   Middle Tennessee: -5.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -20.9   Middle Tennessee: -9.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 30
Florida International 21


Total Points: 52

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Florida International35Middle Tennessee24Florida InternationalFlorida International -9.5Florida International50.5Over
202311/11Middle Tennessee40Florida International6Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -10.5Middle Tennessee50.5Under
202211/26Florida International28Middle Tennessee33Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -19.5Florida International54.5Over
202111/13Middle Tennessee50Florida International10Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -10.5Middle Tennessee54.0Over
202010/10Florida International28Middle Tennessee31Middle TennesseeFlorida International -7.0Middle Tennessee57.0Over
201910/26Middle Tennessee50Florida International17Middle TennesseeFlorida International -1Middle Tennessee58.5Over
201810/13Florida International24Middle Tennessee21Florida InternationalFlorida International -2Florida International61.0Under
201710/07Middle Tennessee37Florida International17Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -9Middle Tennessee53.5Over
201610/29Florida International35Middle Tennessee42Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -17Florida International62.5Over
201510/17Middle Tennessee42Florida International34Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -7Middle Tennessee52.5Over
201411/15Florida International38Middle Tennessee28Florida InternationalMiddle Tennessee -3Florida International0
201311/09Middle Tennessee48Florida International0Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -17Middle Tennessee0
201210/13Florida International30Middle Tennessee34Middle Tennessee
201111/26Middle Tennessee18Florida International31Florida International
201012/04Florida International27Middle Tennessee28Middle Tennessee
200911/07Middle Tennessee48Florida International21Middle Tennessee
200810/11Florida International31Middle Tennessee21Florida International
200709/29Middle Tennessee47Florida International6Middle Tennessee
200608/31Middle Tennessee7Florida International6Middle Tennessee
200512/03Florida International35Middle Tennessee31Florida International
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee1478 Overs
Florida International652 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 611 - 17 - 14 - 0
Road Teams6 - 141 - 110 - 41 - 7

(#114) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -8.87 #114
Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80


Florida International has lost 1 straight
Florida International has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Highlights
Florida International defense is really good in red zone (#31)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International has a really bad Offense
Florida International Can Not Run the Ball (#36)
Florida International offense is really bad (#81)
Florida International Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#74)
Florida International offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#57)
Florida International run game is really bad (#51)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida International Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Florida International does not Sack the QB (#64)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMTSUFIU
OverallOver#104#101
OffenseOff#104#101
DefenseDef#82#79
Special TeamsST#36#67
PassingPass#46#94
RushingRush#68#85
Run BlockRBLK#103#95
Pass BlockPBLK#49#98
Route RunningWR Rt#100#65
TacklingTkl#80#89
Run DefenseR Def#82#86
Pass Rush DefPRush#61#76
Coverage DefCov#81#61

Rematch from Week 11
Middle Tennessee -10.5 (50.5)
Middle Tennessee won vs Florida International this year (40-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee last year (35-24)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2023 (40-6)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2022 (33-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | MTSU
Depth Chart: FIU | MTSU
Rosters: FIU | MTSU
(#101) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90


Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee offense is explosive (#58)
Middle Tennessee defense does not give up big plays (#102)

Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)


  
Florida International's OC David Yost
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins19433258%242211117.3
Grayson James193751%218115.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)12556644.567
Kejon Owens8045355.747
Keyone Jenkins1175060.423
Antonio Patterson143312.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Mitchell641118717.580
Dean Patterson28423115.140
Eric Rivers (Tr)32343210.748
Jalen Bracey31316110.245

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Manuel9812012
Reggie Peterson897310
D'Verick Daniel572001
Jamal Potts535102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Nobles358350
Reggie Peterson897310
Jeramy Passmore234220
Jack Daly203231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses330004
Donovan Manuel9812012
Jamal Potts535102

Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato28642867%308723137.2
DJ Riles7888%78009.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaiden Credle (Tr)8942724.871
Nick Vattiato13940222.930
Frank Peasant8230643.737
Terry Wilkins1814618.175
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Holden Willis (Tr)46697515.262
Elijah Metcalf54634611.771
Justin Olson (Tr)43450110.542
DJ England-Chisolm28347312.472

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield827480
Jakobe Thomas713005
Tra Fluellen643013
Parker Hughes537321
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield827480
Richard Kinley207333
Zaylin Wood164322
Parker Hughes537321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quindarius Dunnigan349258
Tyrell Raby (Tr)290006
De'Arre McDonald184106