Middle Tennessee at Miami - 2022 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Miami Hurricanes(#4)

Saturday, September 24th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Miami -25.5 (53.5)
Middle Tennessee 45 - Miami: 31

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Shower Predicted
MIAMI is playing their 4th straight game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ MIAMI -4)
Projected Score: MTSU: 23 - MIAMI: 32 (55)
MIAMI Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
MTSU Travel: 774 miles, 1 hrs behind

Hurricanes (5 - 7) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (28 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Miami's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.5	60.5	W 70 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Miami vs Southern Miss	-27.5	51.0	W 30 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/17	Miami at Texas A&M	+6.5	45.5	L 9 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Miami vs Middle Tennessee	-25.5	53.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Miami vs North Carolina	-4.0	67.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami at Virginia Tech	-9.0	48.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Miami vs Duke	-10.0	59.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Miami at Virginia	-3.0	48.5	W 14 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/5	Miami vs Florida State	+6.5	54.0	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/12	Miami at Georgia Tech	+2.0	43.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Miami at Clemson	+19.0	47.5	L 10 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/26	Miami vs Pittsburgh	+5.5	43.0	L 16 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	40%	28.8	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	27.7	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8
MIAMI	.13	44%	23.6	48%	3.09	128	42%	240	3.5	.15	41%	26.8	43%	40%	3.76	59.6	2.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	28.8	25.9	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14
MIAMI Defense	12	26.8	32	41.3%	3.76	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	27.7	30.9	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1
MIAMI Offense	12	23.6	27.9	44.3%	3.5	2.1	21	368	128	240	3.7	45%	54%	48%	42%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8
Miami	12	30:42	21.2	40%	41%	7	59.6	2.1	2.1	6.9	3.1	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1
MIAMI Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.81	68%	14%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95
MIAMI Offense	12	45%	48%	34.5	128.1	3.7	12	.09	3.09	70%	11%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9
MIAMI Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.8	32%	34%	.29	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2
MIAMI Offense	12	54%	42%	21.3	34.4	239.9	7	11.3	18	12	.2	1.5	31%	32%	.29	7%	1.8

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Miami: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -6.9 Miami: -2.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami's 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #76
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #81
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.9
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 32
Middle Tennessee 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 36
Middle Tennessee 18

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 29
Miami 28

Total Points: 57

Miami Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Miami's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/24	Miami	31	Middle Tennessee	45	Miami -25.5	Middle Tennessee	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	0	0	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#56
OffenseOff	#131	#96
DefenseDef	#43	#16
Spec TeamsST	#64	#74
TalentTal	#103	#13
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#16
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#117	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#11
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#25
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 79°Rain: 0.071

Rematch from Week 4
Miami -25.5 (53.5)
Middle Tennessee won at Miami this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Miami in 2022 (45-31)

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIAMI's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Kevin Steele (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD