Middle Tennessee at Charlotte - 2021 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Charlotte 49ers

Friday, September 24th 2021 (6:30 PM EDT)
Charlotte -2.5 (55.5)
Charlotte 42 - Middle Tennessee: 39 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 3rd straight Road Game
CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ MTSU -9.5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 26 - CHAR: 28 (54)
CHAR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 318 miles, 1 hrs behind

49ers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Will Healy (11 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 34 (30 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
CHAR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth	-8.5	58.5	W 50 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech	+20.0	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+11.5	60.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	+2.5	55.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+11.0	66.0	W 34 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+20.0	59.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22	Middle Tennessee at UConn	-14.0	54.0	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss	-12.5	47.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+17.5	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/13	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	54.0	W 50 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion	-3.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	49.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Charlotte's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Charlotte vs Duke	+6.0	60.0	W 31 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Charlotte vs Gardner-Webb	-23.0	58.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Charlotte at Georgia State	+4.5	62.5	L 9 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/24	Charlotte vs Middle Tennessee	-2.5	55.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Charlotte at Illinois	+10.0	54.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Charlotte at Florida International	-3.5	61.0	W 45 - 33	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	58.0	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/30	Charlotte at Western Kentucky	+19.5	71.5	L 13 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/6	Charlotte vs Rice	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Charlotte at Louisiana Tech	+7.0	58.0	L 32 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Charlotte vs Marshall	+14.0	62.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/27	Charlotte at Old Dominion	+8.5	55.5	L 34 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	38%	29.8	39%	3.03	124	38%	238	4.08	.16	42%	25.7	47%	39%	3.65	56.6	1.6	2.5
CHAR	.25	45%	27.2	44%	3.13	150	46%	254	3.92	.38	48%	34	47%	49%	4.38	53	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
CHAR	#116 (.1)	37% (122)		39% (110)	2.75 (113)	119	35% (120)	224	3.9 (70)	#113 (.25)	45% (107)		48% (111)	42% (83)	3.87 (81)	65.3	1.8	1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	29.8	24.4	38.3%	4.08	1.6	20	362	124	238	3.5	43%	56%	39%	38%	26%	.14
CHAR Defense	12	34	31.3	47.8%	4.38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	47%	49%	14%	.38

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	25.7	31.9	42%	3.65	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	47%	39%	28%	.16
CHAR Offense	12	27.2	29.8	45.1%	3.92	1.7	22	404	150	254	4.2	49%	51%	44%	46%	18%	.25

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	30:13	19.8	31%	48%	6.6	56.6	1.6	2.5	6.8	2.5	5	31.4
Charlotte	12	32:13	22.1	40%	63%	6.4	53	1.7	1.2	4.3	1.3	2	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	43%	39%	35.2	123.7	3.5	15	.07	3.03	60%	17%	1.07
CHAR Defense	12	56%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.31	80%	9%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	42%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.42	74%	16%	0.97
CHAR Offense	12	49%	44%	35.8	150.4	4.2	13	.17	3.13	69%	11%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	56%	38%	22.8	35.6	238.5	6.7	10.5	28	13	.23	1.6	33%	28%	.3	9%	2.2
CHAR Defense	12	44%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.49	1.7	30%	39%	.6	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.27	1.6	34%	34%	.26	11%	1.9
CHAR Offense	12	51%	46%	20.6	32.8	253.7	7.7	12.3	27	10	.35	1.5	32%	32%	.32	7%	2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Charlotte: -4.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0 Charlotte: -13.7

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -4.35 NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Charlotte's 2021 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #115
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #77
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.2 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.9

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Charlotte 28
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Charlotte 27
Middle Tennessee 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 30
Charlotte 29

Total Points: 59

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.8
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

Charlotte's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	Middle Tennessee	24	Charlotte	14	Middle Tennessee -10	Push	67.0	Under
2021	09/24	Charlotte	42	Middle Tennessee	39	Charlotte -2.5	Charlotte	55.5	Over
2019	11/02	Charlotte	34	Middle Tennessee	20	Middle Tennessee -5	Charlotte	65.0	Under
2018	10/20	Middle Tennessee	21	Charlotte	13	Middle Tennessee -17	Charlotte	50.5	Under
2017	11/11	Charlotte	21	Middle Tennessee	35	Middle Tennessee -15.5	Charlotte	49.5	Over
2016	11/19	Charlotte	31	Middle Tennessee	38	Middle Tennessee -6	Middle Tennessee	55.5	Over
2015	09/19	Middle Tennessee	73	Charlotte	14	Middle Tennessee -19.5	Middle Tennessee	66.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Charlotte	2	4	4 Overs
Middle Tennessee	5	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	4 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	2 - 4	1 - 2	1 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) CHAR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	CHAR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#119
OffenseOff	#116	#83
DefenseDef	#53	#133
Spec TeamsST	#124	#66
TalentTal	#80	#88
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Charlotte Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CHAR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#133
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#128
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#128	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#128

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#130
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#83	#53
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#77	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#93	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#107	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63°

Rematch from Week 4
Charlotte -2.5 (55.5)
Charlotte won vs Middle Tennessee this year (42-39)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Charlotte in 2022 (24-14)

MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CHAR's OC Mark Carney (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Brandon Cooper (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD