Middle Tennessee at UTSA - 2021 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo   Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at UTSA Roadrunners  UTSA logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -11.5 (60.0)
UTSA 27 - Middle Tennessee: 13  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
UTSA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ UTSA -11)
Projected Score: MTSU: 25 - UTSA: 35 (60)
UTSA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MTSU Travel: 832 miles
Roadrunners (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (10 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth-8.558.5W 50 - 15OY
Sat 9/11 Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech+20.055.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Middle Tennessee at UTSA+11.560.0L 13 - 27UN
Fri 9/24 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte+2.555.5L 39 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+11.066.0W 34 - 28UY
Sat 10/9 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+20.059.0L 13 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22 Middle Tennessee at UConn-14.054.0W 44 - 13OY
Sat 10/30 Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss-12.547.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/6 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+17.566.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 11/13 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.554.0W 50 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion-3.048.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic+3.549.5W 27 - 17UY
Fri 12/17 Middle Tennessee vs Toledo+10.050.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
UTSA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 UTSA at Illinois+4.552.0W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/11 UTSA vs Lamar-38.065.0W 54 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 UTSA vs Middle Tennessee-11.560.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 UTSA at Memphis+3.066.5W 31 - 28UY
Sat 10/2 UTSA vs UNLV-21.555.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 10/9 UTSA at Western Kentucky+3.571.0W 52 - 46OY
Sat 10/16 UTSA vs Rice-17.053.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 UTSA at Louisiana Tech-5.559.5W 45 - 16OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 UTSA at UTEP-12.053.5W 44 - 23OY
Sat 11/13 UTSA vs Southern Miss-32.554.0W 27 - 17UN
Sat 11/20 UTSA vs UAB-3.554.0W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/27 UTSA at North Texas-8.560.0L 23 - 45ON
Fri 12/3 UTSA vs Western Kentucky+3.074.5W 49 - 41OY
Tue 12/21 UTSA vs San Diego State+3.048.0L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1442%22.440%2.6313443%2303.58.2545%30.947%43%4.5452.21.81.6
UTSA.1540%35.539%3.0521541%2003.7.1641%28.844%38%3.5766.911.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense922.420.841.6%3.581.8203641342303.747%52%40%43%17%.14
UTSA Defense1228.825.541.2%3.571.6 - - - - - 53%47%44%38%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense930.929.345.2%4.541.6 - - - - - 51%49%47%43%13%.25
UTSA Offense1235.545.839.7%3.71224152152005.254%46%39%41%14%.15

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee929:192042%50%5.752.21.81.652.1028.6
UTSA1229:3221.844%53%766.911.67.12.1129.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense947%40%35.9133.63.711.022.6364%11%0.98
UTSA Defense1253%44% - - - - .112.8881%13%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense951%47% - - - - .233.2583%8%1.02
UTSA Offense1254%39%41.3215.45.224.153.0571%9%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense952%43%22.834.6230.46.710.11310.251.433%35%.426%2.1
UTSA Defense1247%38% - - - - - - 11.211.733%34%.295%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense949%43% - - - - - - 8.271.630%36%.395%2.1
UTSA Offense1246%41%18.530.8199.96.510.8168.161.631%31%.255%2.1

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    UTSA: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0   UTSA: 6.5




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
UTSA's Offense Rating: NR
UTSA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTSA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UTSA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #58
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 35
Middle Tennessee 25

Projected Total Points: 60
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/30Middle Tennessee30UTSA45UT San Antonio -4.5UTSA64.0Over
202109/18UTSA27Middle Tennessee13UT San Antonio -11.5UTSA60.0Under
202009/25UTSA37Middle Tennessee35UT San Antonio -6Middle Tennessee59.0Over
201611/05Middle Tennessee25UTSA45Middle Tennessee -19UTSA64.0Over
201511/28UTSA7Middle Tennessee42Middle Tennessee -11Middle Tennessee59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA433 Overs
Middle Tennessee122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 24 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#) MTSU at (#) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUUTSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #58
Perf GradeGrade #101 #42
OffenseOff #116 #34
DefenseDef #53 #79
Spec TeamsST #124 #55
TalentTal #80 #77
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #79
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRun #128 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePass #95 #113
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #50
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTSA on Offense
CategoryCatUTSA OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #34 #53
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTSA Run Game
CategoryCat
UTSA OffMTSU Def
Run GameRun #49 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #56 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #42
UTSA Pass Game
CategoryCatUTSA OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePass #33 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #94 #125
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
UTSA -11.5 (60.0)
UTSA won vs Middle Tennessee this year (27-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UTSA's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp / Rod Wright (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD