Hawai'i at Middle Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview
Hawai Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, December 24th 2016 (8:00 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -4.5 (70.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Hawai'i 52 - Middle Tennessee: 35  (HAWAI'I BOWL)

 
Rainbow Warriors (7 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 37 (19 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4  (SP+ MTSU -8)
Projected Score: HAW: 24 - MTSU: 39 (63)
MTSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 9 miles
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 36 (48 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Hawai'i's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/26 Hawai'i vs California+23.066.0L 31 - 51OY
Sat 9/3 Hawai'i at Michigan+40.555.0L 3 - 63ON
Sat 9/10 Hawai'i vs UT Martin-18.5
Sat 9/17 Hawai'i at Arizona+23.063.0L 28 - 47OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Hawai'i vs Nevada+3.555.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Hawai'i at San José State+3.562.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 10/15 Hawai'i vs UNLV-10.054.0L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Hawai'i at Air Force+17.558.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/29 Hawai'i vs New Mexico-3.065.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/5 Hawai'i at San Diego State+19.550.5L 0 - 55ON
Sat 11/12 Hawai'i vs Boise State+16.562.5L 16 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Hawai'i at Fresno State-2.554.5W 14 - 13UN
Sat 11/26 Hawai'i vs Massachusetts-10.557.0W 46 - 40ON
Sat 12/24 Hawai'i vs Middle Tennessee+4.570.0W 52 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee vs Alabama A&M-47.0
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Vanderbilt+5.051.0L 24 - 47ON
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green-3.573.0W 41 - 21UY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech-4.069.5W 38 - 34ON
Sat 10/1 Middle Tennessee at North Texas-16.065.0W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-2.575.0L 43 - 44ON
Sat 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Missouri+4.072.0W 51 - 45OY
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-17.062.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA-19.064.0L 25 - 45ON
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee at Marshall-11.560.0L 17 - 42UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte-6.055.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-12.564.0W 77 - 56OY
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW.2143%28.342%2.6916442%2284.2346%37.347%43%4.171.61.81.2
MTSU.3447%39.749%3.3719244%3264.02.1846%35.850%41%4.4956.21.61.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HAW#82 (.17)44% (52)46% (45)3.29 (26)9944% (50)2683.81 (81)#81 (.19)42% (71)45% (85)40% (58)4.15 (103)70.31.60.9
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Offense1428.318.842.9%41.8193911642284.849%50%42%42%18%.21
MTSU Defense1335.835.846.1%4.491.5 - - - - - 52%47%50%41%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HAW Defense1437.33746.4%4.11.2 - - - - - 56%42%47%43%14%.23
MTSU Offense1339.747.647.2%4.021.625518192326640%58%49%44%15%.34

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Hawai'i1429:3318.835%60%8.371.61.81.26.62.3128.7
Middle Tennessee1328:0724.845%29%656.21.61.54.92.2230.2
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Offense1449%42%34.1163.84.825.172.6969%9%1.11
MTSU Defense1352%50% - - - - .223.1876%8%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HAW Defense1456%47% - - - - .232.8977%10%1.05
MTSU Offense1340%49%32.1191.8626.273.3772%8%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Offense1450%42%18.431.3227.57.312.42515.271.630%30%.269%1.8
MTSU Defense1347%41% - - - - - - 11.161.528%30%.218%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HAW Defense1442%43% - - - - - - 11.261.632%38%.34%1.6
MTSU Offense1358%44%26.842.8325.87.612.13915.411.732%38%.537%2.1

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: NR
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Hawai'i's 2016 Expected Record: -
Hawai'i's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.1  #102
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #71
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.8  #123

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i:    Middle Tennessee: -0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -10.1   Middle Tennessee: -1.9




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -0.95 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #74
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #33
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #110

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 37.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Hawai'i's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 39
Hawai'i 24

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 37
Hawai'i 18

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 41
Hawai'i 30

Total Points: 71
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.6
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/24Middle Tennessee35Hawai'i52Middle Tennessee -4.5Hawai'i70.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee001 Overs
Hawai'i110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Hawai'i Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016I Bowl Hawai'i vs Middle Tennessee+4.570.0W 52 - 35
2010Hawaii Bowl Hawai'i vs Tulsa  L 35 - 62
Middle Tennessee Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016I Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52
2015Bahamas Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Western Michigan+3.0L 31 - 45
2013Forces Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Navy+7.057.5L 6 - 24
2010Com Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Miami (OH)  L 21 - 35
  
(#) HAW at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHAWMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #74
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #105 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Hawai'i on Offense
CategoryCat
HAW OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Hawai'i Run Game
CategoryCat
HAW OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Hawai'i Pass Game
CategoryCat
HAW OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffHAW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #123
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffHAW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffHAW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aloha Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Middle Tennessee -4.5 (70.0)
Hawai'i won at Middle Tennessee this year (52-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
HAW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MTSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD