Middle Tennessee at James Madison - 2022 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at James Madison Dukes(#25)

Saturday, September 3rd 2022 (6:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -4.5 (60.5)
James Madison 44 - Middle Tennessee: 7

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -9 (SP+ JMU -13)
Projected Score: MTSU: 22 - JMU: 27 (49)
JMU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 450 miles, 1 hrs behind

Dukes (8 - 3) (7 - 4 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (33 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (41 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
JMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

James Madison's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	James Madison vs Middle Tennessee	-4.5	60.5	W 44 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	James Madison vs Norfolk State	-41.5	54.5	W 63 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	James Madison at App State	+6.0	57.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/1	James Madison vs Texas State	-22.0	51.5	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/8	James Madison at Arkansas State	-11.5	55.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/15	James Madison at Georgia Southern	-13.0	68.0	L 38 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	James Madison vs Marshall	-9.5	48.5	L 12 - 26	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	James Madison at Louisville	+6.5	53.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/12	James Madison at Old Dominion	-7.5	48.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	James Madison vs Georgia State	-10.0	51.5	W 42 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/26	James Madison vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	53.0	W 47 - 7	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	40%	28.8	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	27.7	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8
JMU	.21	46%	37	45%	3.26	187	48%	265	4.4	.04	29%	20.9	27%	32%	3.53	39.9	1.8	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
JMU	#88 (.16)	44% (61)		47% (29)	3.28 (30)	194	40% (87)	216	3.93 (66)	#4 (.03)	34% (1)		34% (5)	34% (3)	3.64 (53)	54.8	0.7	2.5

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	28.8	25.9	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14
JMU Defense	11	20.9	16.7	29.4%	3.53	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	27%	32%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	27.7	30.9	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1
JMU Offense	11	37	41.3	45.8%	4.4	1.8	23	452	187	265	4.3	54%	44%	45%	48%	16%	.21

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8
James Madison	11	33:38	22.6	40%	45%	5.1	39.9	1.8	2.8	8.7	3.5	2	33.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1
JMU Defense	11	45%	27%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.06	58%	17%	1.19

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95
JMU Offense	11	54%	45%	43.5	187.2	4.3	24	.09	3.26	72%	10%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9
JMU Defense	11	54%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.9	41%	23%	.25	8%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2
JMU Offense	11	44%	48%	18.2	29.7	265.3	8.9	14.6	27	10	.44	1.6	30%	34%	.37	6%	2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: James Madison: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -6.9 James Madison: 6.5

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
James Madison's Offense Rating: NR
James Madison's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #159
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
James Madison's 2022 Expected Record: -
James Madison's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5 #51
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #52
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #44

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.9
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 27
Middle Tennessee 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 20
James Madison 20

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
James Madison 34
Middle Tennessee 23

Total Points: 57

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 20.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

James Madison's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/03	James Madison	44	Middle Tennessee	7	James Madison -4.5	James Madison	60.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
James Madison	1	1	0 Overs
Middle Tennessee	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) MTSU at (#) JMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	JMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#51
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#11
OffenseOff	#131	#38
DefenseDef	#43	#9
Spec TeamsST	#64	#84
TalentTal	#103	#159
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

James Madison Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	JMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#9
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#117	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#31

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#18
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

James Madison on Offense


CategoryCat	JMU Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#52	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

James Madison Run Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#74	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

James Madison Pass Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#111	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bridgeforth Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 84°

Rematch from Week 1
James Madison -4.5 (60.5)
James Madison won vs Middle Tennessee this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (44-7)

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD