Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic

Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic - 2021 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (7:00 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (49.5)
Middle Tennessee 27 - Florida Atlantic: 17 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU is playing their 6th straight game
MTSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ MTSU -1)
Projected Score: MTSU: 27 - FAU: 28 (55)
FAU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 752 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Willie Taggart (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 26 (33 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth	-8.5	58.5	W 50 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech	+20.0	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+11.5	60.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	+2.5	55.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+11.0	66.0	W 34 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+20.0	59.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22	Middle Tennessee at UConn	-14.0	54.0	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss	-12.5	47.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+17.5	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/13	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	54.0	W 50 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion	-3.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	49.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Florida Atlantic at Florida	+23.5	51.5	L 14 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida Atlantic vs Georgia Southern	-6.5	48.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Florida Atlantic vs Fordham	-31.0	51.5	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/25	Florida Atlantic at Air Force	+3.5	54.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-10.5	52.0	W 58 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Florida Atlantic at UAB	+3.5	48.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-6.5	58.0	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida Atlantic vs UTEP	-11.0	49.0	W 28 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/6	Florida Atlantic vs Marshall	+1.0	58.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion	-6.5	48.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/20	Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky	+11.5	64.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/27	Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee	-3.5	49.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	38%	29.8	39%	3.03	124	38%	238	4.08	.16	42%	25.7	47%	39%	3.65	56.6	1.6	2.5
FAU	.2	41%	25.4	42%	2.98	152	42%	249	3.65	.21	41%	25.8	41%	41%	3.38	59.8	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	29.8	24.4	38.3%	4.08	1.6	20	362	124	238	3.5	43%	56%	39%	38%	26%	.14
FAU Defense	12	25.8	20.2	40.7%	3.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	41%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	25.7	31.9	42%	3.65	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	47%	39%	28%	.16
FAU Offense	12	25.4	33.2	41.4%	3.65	1.6	20	400	152	249	4.1	49%	50%	42%	42%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	30:13	19.8	31%	48%	6.6	56.6	1.6	2.5	6.8	2.5	5	31.4
Florida Atlantic	12	28:29	20	42%	39%	7.1	59.8	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.3	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	43%	39%	35.2	123.7	3.5	15	.07	3.03	60%	17%	1.07
FAU Defense	12	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.84	70%	10%	1.2

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	42%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.42	74%	16%	0.97
FAU Offense	12	49%	42%	37.4	151.6	4.1	18	.16	2.98	75%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	56%	38%	22.8	35.6	238.5	6.7	10.5	28	13	.23	1.6	33%	28%	.3	9%	2.2
FAU Defense	12	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.23	1.4	33%	26%	.26	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.27	1.6	34%	34%	.26	11%	1.9
FAU Offense	12	50%	42%	19.2	32.2	248.5	7.7	13	20	8	.29	1.7	32%	28%	.35	6%	2.2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Florida Atlantic: -0.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0 Florida Atlantic: -5.2

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -0.1 NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida Atlantic's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #92
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.9

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 28
Middle Tennessee 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 28
Florida Atlantic 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Florida Atlantic 29
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 54

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Florida Atlantic's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/19	Middle Tennessee	49	Florida Atlantic	21	Florida Atlantic -5.5	Middle Tennessee	51.0	Over
2021	11/27	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	27	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Middle Tennessee	49.5	Under
2019	10/12	Florida Atlantic	28	Middle Tennessee	13	Florida Atlantic -12	Florida Atlantic	63.5	Under
2018	09/29	Middle Tennessee	25	Florida Atlantic	24	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Middle Tennessee	63.5	Under
2017	09/30	Florida Atlantic	38	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	60.0	Under
2016	11/26	Middle Tennessee	77	Florida Atlantic	56	Middle Tennessee -12.5	Middle Tennessee	64.0	Over
2015	11/14	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee -6	Middle Tennessee	57.5	Under
2014	11/22	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Florida Atlantic	0
2013	09/21	Florida Atlantic	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -4	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	09/08	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida Atlantic	17
2011	10/22	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	38
2010	11/27	Middle Tennessee	38	Florida Atlantic	14
2009	10/31	Florida Atlantic	20	Middle Tennessee	27
2008	09/30	Middle Tennessee	14	Florida Atlantic	13
2007	09/01	Florida Atlantic	27	Middle Tennessee	14
2006	11/04	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	14
2005	10/15	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	35
2004	09/18	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic	27
2003	08/28	Middle Tennessee	19	Florida Atlantic	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	5	3	2 Overs
Middle Tennessee	14	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 11	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#) MTSU at (#) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	FAU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#92
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#88
OffenseOff	#116	#107
DefenseDef	#53	#32
Spec TeamsST	#124	#107
TalentTal	#80	#71
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#128	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#53
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#110	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#81	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Florida Atlantic -3.5 (49.5)
Middle Tennessee won at Florida Atlantic this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (49-21)

MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FAU's OC Mike Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Mike Stoops (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD