Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin Game Matchup
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Camp Randall Stadium - Madison, WI

 
Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)
WIS 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Wisconsin -27.5   (SP+ WIS -24)
Projected Score: MTSU: 10 - WIS: 38 (50)
WIS Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
MTSU Travel: 524 miles
Badgers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#85)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay-6
Sat 9/6 Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin+27.5
Sat 9/13 Middle Tennessee at Nevada+2.5
Sat 9/20 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall-2
Sat 9/27 Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State-0.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State-3.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Delaware+3.5
Wed 10/29 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State-4
Sat 11/8 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+0
Sat 11/15 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+8.5
Sat 11/22 Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston-2
Sat 11/29 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-27.5
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+24.5
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+1.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+21
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+22
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington-2
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+4
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+4.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)18.138% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)34.350% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)22.646% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)23.145% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1218.114.239.4%31.618352912613.241%59%38%40%19%.13
WIS Defense1223.120.443.4%4.171 - - - - - 54%45%45%42%12%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1234.335.849.4%4.610.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%49%14%.32
WIS Offense1222.621.442.2%4.021.5193511541974.451%49%46%38%17%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1230:1518.238%48%7.361.31.60.84.61.7125.2
Wisconsin1229:2118.836%60%5.337.51.513.51.4027.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1241% (123)38% (114)27.990.53.210 (122).04 (110)2.82 (104)56% (132)11% (100)0.98 (62)
WIS Defense1254% (110)45% (86) - - - - .15 (81)3.27 (105)68% (36)7% (130)0.97 (60)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1254% (104)50% (124) - - - - .19 (107)3.19 (97)72% (61)9% (100)0.97 (59)
WIS Offense1251% (70)46% (39)34.9154.14.419 (73).12 (75)3.16 (46)75% (58)8% (37)0.8 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1259% (11)40% (83)22.835.6261.17.311.516 (87)10 (63).19 (95)1.5 (102)32% (84)25% (123).17 (121)7% (112)1.9 (113)
WIS Defense1245% (22)42% (81) - - - - - - 4 (125).25 (76)1.3 (5)28% (123)28% (32).24 (42)5% (92)1.8 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1246% (33)49% (127) - - - - - - 5 (117).47 (129)1.6 (90)27% (127)34% (109).53 (128)5% (101)2.3 (128)
WIS Offense1249% (65)38% (107)17.330.4196.76.511.414 (108)10 (63).16 (102)1.5 (100)30% (34)27% (111).15 (128)9% (132)1.8 (122)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -18.76   Wisconsin: 10.105

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -16.4   Wisconsin: 7.2




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 18.51 #42
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 10.50 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #24

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 38
Middle Tennessee 10

Projected Total Points: 50
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin000 Overs
Middle Tennessee000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#118) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Middle Tennessee Notes
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Wisconsin
Power #118
#44
Off #104
#42
Def #128
#40
Talent #120
#37
SP+ #125
#36
SP+ Off #130
#72
SP+ Def #107
#24

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | WIS
Depth Chart: MTSU | WIS
Rosters: MTSU | WIS
(#44) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.105 #44
Offense Rating: 18.51 #42
Defense Rating: 10.50 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #24
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #24
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wisconsin Notes
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon
(3/19) WR meh LY, Anthony back, #2? Depth?
(3/19) OL 3/5 back. Lots of depth, should be good


  
Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Roman Gagliano2502.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544
Jekail Middlebrook2216317.424
Gamarion Carter12123010.327

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
Shakai Woods424110
Brandon Buckner374350
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
Aidan Butts102202
Damonte Smith254231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Butts102202
Abdul Muhammad120002
Damonte Smith254231

Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
Danny O'Neil (Tr)20933063%21811266.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree7931714.032
Cade Yacamelli3327428.345
Billy Edwards8115051.915
Danny O'Neil (Tr)748911.234
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Vinny Anthony39672417.263
Lance Mason (Tr)32569617.882
Dekel Crowdus (Tr)16402425.174
Trech Kekahuna25339213.669

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro665301
Preston Zachman583004
Austin Brown512103
Geimere Latimer (Tr)460005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Walker (Tr)387635
Christian Alliegro665301
Parker Peterson215320
Jay'Viar Suggs (Tr)104322
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Geimere Latimer (Tr)460005
Corey Walker (Tr)387635
Ben Barten220015