Murray State at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup

Murray State Racers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -34.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 35 - Murray State: 14

Racers (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 50 (3 - 50 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
MURR 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ MTSU -9)
MTSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%

Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MURR Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Murray State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/7	Murray State at Louisville	+43.5	55.5	L 0 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/16	Murray State at Middle Tennessee	+34.5	51.0	L 14 - 35	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Murray State's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+39.5	52.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+21.0	47.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Middle Tennessee vs Murray State	-34.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State	-3.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	N
Thu 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+6.5	61.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Wed 10/4	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Tue 10/10	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Tue 10/17	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+16.0	56.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.0	55.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	50.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Middle Tennessee vs UTEP	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/25	Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston	-3.5	49.5	L 20 - 23	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	49.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU	.14	40%	18.1	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	34.3	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MURR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Offense	2	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MTSU Defense	13	34.3	32.8	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MURR Defense	2	49.5	49.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MTSU Offense	13	18.1	20.3	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Murray State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MURR Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9

Murray State's Power Ratings
Murray State's Power Rating: #NR
Murray State's Offense Rating: #NR
Murray State's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #179
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Murray State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Murray State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Murray State's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Murray State's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average OVC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Middle Tennessee: -5.82

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Murray State: Middle Tennessee: -9.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Murray State Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 49.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 49.5

Murray State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 34
Murray State 18

Projected Total Points: 53

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Middle Tennessee	35	Murray State	14	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -34.5	Murray State	51.0	Under
2000	09/15	Middle Tennessee	44	Murray State	28	Middle Tennessee

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	2	0	0 Overs
Murray State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) Murray State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #179
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Team Profile

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Murray State Ratings Matchup Middle Tennessee

Power #NR

#101

Off #NR

#109

Def #NR

#69

Talent #179

#124

SP+ #N/A

#100

SP+ Off #N/A

#92

SP+ Def #N/A

#89

Rematch from Week 3
Middle Tennessee -34.5 (51.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Murray State this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Murray State in 2023 (35-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 70°Rain: 0.028

Team Information
Injuries: MURR | MTSU
Depth Chart: MURR | MTSU
Rosters: MURR | MTSU

(#101) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.82 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90

Team Profile

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Murray State's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Eric Phoenix	176	274	64%	2457	17	7	9.0
DJ Williams	44	75	59%	555	4	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cortezz Jones	110	551	5	5.0	51
Eric Phoenix	81	259	3	3.2	40
DJ Williams	38	243	4	6.4	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cortezz Jones	10	70	0	7.0	23

View Murray State's Full Roster

Murray State's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Caldra Williford	9	1	0	1
KaVan Reed	7	1	0	1
Jayson Coley	6	2	2	0
Jamari Dailey	6	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Jayson Coley	6	2	2	0
Caldra Williford	9	1	0	1
KaVan Reed	7	1	0	1
Jamari Dailey	6	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Caldra Williford	9	1	0	1
KaVan Reed	7	1	0	1
Jayson Coley	6	2	2	0

Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle Lowe	3	7	43%	18	1	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	109	471	4	4.3	66
Kyle Lowe	9	57	1	6.3	56
DJ Riles	2	27	0	13.5	17
Jayce Gardner	1	8	0	8.0	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis (Tr)	53	871	6	16.4	61
Elijah Metcalf	20	194	3	9.7	28
DJ Riles	20	172	0	8.6	27
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	27	125	0	4.6	19

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Sam Brumfield	61	3	2	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	1
Jakobe Thomas	22	3	1	2
Chris Johnson	18	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raquon Hartley	13	4	3	0	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1
Sam Brumfield	61	3	2	0	1
Zaylin Wood	7	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Johnson	18	1	0	3
James Shellman	13	0	0	3
Jakobe Thomas	22	3	1	2