Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee - 2024 Matchup Preview

Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Tuesday, October 15th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (50.0) (-325) Open: -10.0
Middle Tennessee 14 - Kennesaw State: 5 (Conference USA)

Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brian Bohannon (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KENN coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -4 (SP+ MTSU -1)
Projected Score: KENN: 24 - MTSU: 28 (51)
MTSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
KENN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KENN Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kennesaw State at UTSA	+24.0	49.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana	+14.5	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kennesaw State at San José State	+16.5	41.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kennesaw State vs UT Martin	+1.5	45.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/4	Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State	+17.5	49.5	L 24 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	50.0	L 5 - 14	U	N
Wed 10/23	Kennesaw State vs Liberty	+27.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/30	Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky	+24.0	49.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kennesaw State at UTEP	+4.5	42.0	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/16	Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston	+21.0	42.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kennesaw State vs Florida International	+9.0	42.5	W 27 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech	+13.5	41.5	L 0 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech	-11.5
Sat 9/7	Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss	+42.5	60.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/14	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+10.5	53.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Middle Tennessee vs Duke	+14.5	51.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Memphis	+27.0	62.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	+5.0	48.0	L 21 - 48	O	N
Tue 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-8.5	50.0	W 14 - 5	U	Y
Wed 10/23	Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State	+20.5	64.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/2	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.0	48.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Middle Tennessee vs Liberty	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-3.5	54.0	L 21 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/30	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+9.5	50.5	L 24 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)	16.5	31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)	31.2	45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	18.1	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	34.3	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)		31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)		45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENN Offense	12	16.5	13.3	31.4%	3.5	1.5	14	252	116	136	3.1	58%	41%	31%	32%	17%	-.04
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	32.8	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENN Defense	12	31.2	30	46.2%	4.15	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	48%	14%	.21
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	20.3	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kennesaw State	12	29:20	13.7	35%	39%	5.6	46.3	1.5	1	4.8	1.8	3	28.9
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENN Offense	12	58% (17)	31% (134)	37.4	115.5	3.1	13 (105)	-.05 (130)	2.16 (134)	74% (62)	12% (115)	1.01 (51)
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (107)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENN Defense	12	52% (85)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.04 (75)	73% (65)	9% (93)	1 (73)
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (100)	0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENN Offense	12	41% (117)	32% (129)	13	24.8	136.3	5.5	10.5	6 (133)	14 (115)	- (133)	1.6 (52)	38% (131)	23% (130)	.16 (124)	5% (24)	2.1 (60)
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENN Defense	12	48% (50)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.27 (86)	1.3 (8)	26% (131)	30% (51)	.31 (71)	5% (119)	2 (63)
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (83)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (84)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (113)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -26.19 Middle Tennessee: -21.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -25.1 Middle Tennessee: -24.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 28
Kennesaw State 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Kennesaw State 28
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 25
Kennesaw State 24

Total Points: 49

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Kennesaw State	24	Middle Tennessee	16	Kennesaw State -7	Kennesaw State	54.5	Under
2024	10/15	Middle Tennessee	14	Kennesaw State	5	Middle Tennessee -8.5	Middle Tennessee	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	1	1	0 Overs
Kennesaw State	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#131) KENN at (#130) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KENN	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#131	#130
SP+SP+	#132	#131
Perf GradeGrade	#129	#132
OffenseOff	#135	#125
DefenseDef	#89	#129
Spec TeamsST	#15	#120
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

Kennesaw State Notes(12/18) Hired HC Jerry Mack (Jags RB)
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O
(8/3) DB's poss worst in CUSA, wait & see rest
Kennesaw State Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Notes(8/3) Will start 1-4, watch after bye on Oct 3
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
(7/30) A D Mason team has to win with Off? Sept rough
Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Kennesaw State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#129
SuccessSuc	#133	#130
ExplosiveExp	#78	#71
PPAPPA	#134	#129
PowerPwr	#132	#131
SP+SP+	#134	#122
Pts POPPO	#103	#126
HavocHav	#84	#108

Kennesaw State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#129	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#134	#124
Run ExplRExp	#51	#59
PPAExp	#130	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#134	#97
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#62
TackleTak	-	#83

Kennesaw State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KENN Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#136	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	#129	#127
Pass ExplPExl	#52	#90
PPAExp	#133	#129
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#132	#131
F7 HavocF7	#115	#100
DB HavocDB	#24	#101

Middle Tennessee on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	KENN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#89
SuccessSuc	#105	#114
ExplosiveExp	#53	#23
PPAPPA	#107	#93
PowerPwr	#105	#97
SP+SP+	#131	#118
Pts POPPO	#128	#102
HavocHav	#113	#112

Middle Tennessee Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	KENN Def
Run GameRun	#77	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#114	#91
Run ExplRExp	#62	#73
PPAExp	#110	#86
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	#104	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#125	#36
TackleTak	-	#35

Middle Tennessee Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat	MTSU Off	KENN Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#83	#122
Pass ExplPExl	#102	#8
PPAExp	#95	#86
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#136	#83
F7 HavocF7	#100	#93
DB HavocDB	#112	#119

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

KENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (50.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Kennesaw State this year (14-5)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Kennesaw State last year (14-5)

KENN's OC Chandler Burks (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Bryson	143	261	55%	1494	6	10	5.7
Khalib Johnson	6	22	27%	57	0	3	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Benefield	138	542	5	3.9	59
Qua Ashley	122	409	1	3.4	60
Davis Bryson	112	293	4	2.6	20
Preston Daniels	35	85	3	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Bohannon	24	288	0	12.0	32
Qua Ashley	28	255	1	9.1	51
Christian Moss (Tr)	15	220	2	14.7	60
Carson Kent	18	217	3	12.1	30

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

KENN's DC Greg Harris (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Sidney Porter	66	5	0	2	2
Milon Jones	60	4	1	0	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garland Benyard	48	9	4	5	0
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)	22	5	3	2	2
Jordan Miles	45	8	3	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Hallum	56	1	0	0	10
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6
Jayven Williams	29	2	2	1	4

MTSU's OC Bodie Reeder (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle	109	471	4	4.3	66
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Terry Wilkins	54	214	1	4.0	23
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis	53	871	6	16.4	61
Omari Kelly (Tr)	53	869	4	16.4	71
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Brian Stewart (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrell Raby	16	0	6
Marvae Myers-Glover	41	1	4
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	3