Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kennesaw State logo Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Tuesday, October 15th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (50.0) (-325)  Open: -10.0
Middle Tennessee 14 - Kennesaw State: 5  (Conference USA)

 
Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chandler Burks (Int) (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
KENN coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -4   (SP+ MTSU -1)

Projected Score: KENN: 23 - MTSU: 27 (50)
MTSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
KENN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
 
Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kennesaw State at UTSA+24.049.5L 16 - 28UY
Sat 9/7 Kennesaw State vs Louisiana+14.546.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 9/14 Kennesaw State at San José State+16.541.5L 10 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Kennesaw State vs UT Martin+1.545.5L 13 - 24UN
Fri 10/4 Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State+17.549.5L 24 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+8.550.0L 5 - 14UN
Wed 10/23 Kennesaw State vs Liberty+27.048.0W 27 - 24OY
Wed 10/30 Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky+24.049.0L 14 - 31UY
Sat 11/9 Kennesaw State at UTEP+4.542.0L 35 - 43ON
Sat 11/16 Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston+21.042.5L 17 - 23UY
Sat 11/23 Kennesaw State vs Florida International+9.042.5W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/30 Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech+13.541.5L 0 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-11.5
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss+42.560.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+10.553.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+14.551.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+27.062.0L 7 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+5.048.0L 21 - 48ON
Tue 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-8.550.0W 14 - 5UY
Wed 10/23 Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State+20.564.5L 20 - 42UN
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.048.0W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Liberty+12.554.5L 17 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State-3.554.0L 21 - 36ON
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+9.550.5L 24 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)16.531% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)31.245% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)18.138% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)34.350% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENN#134 (-.04)31% (133)31% (134)2.16 (134)11632% (129)1363.5 (103)#93 (.21)46% (114)45% (91)48% (122)4.15 (102)46.31.51
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Offense1216.513.331.4%3.51.5142521161363.158%41%31%32%17%-.04
MTSU Defense1234.332.849.4%4.610.8 - - - - - 54%46%50%49%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENN Defense1231.23046.2%4.151 - - - - - 52%48%45%48%14%.21
MTSU Offense1218.120.339.4%31.618352912613.241%59%38%40%19%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kennesaw State1229:2013.735%39%5.646.31.514.81.8328.9
Middle Tennessee1230:1518.238%48%7.361.31.60.84.61.7125.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Offense1258% (17)31% (134)37.4115.53.113 (105)-.05 (130)2.16 (134)74% (62)12% (115)1.01 (51)
MTSU Defense1254% (104)50% (124) - - - - .19 (107)3.19 (97)72% (61)9% (100)0.97 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENN Defense1252% (85)45% (91) - - - - .16 (86)3.04 (75)73% (65)9% (93)1 (73)
MTSU Offense1241% (123)38% (114)27.990.53.210 (122).04 (110)2.82 (104)56% (132)11% (100)0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Offense1241% (117)32% (129)1324.8136.35.510.56 (133)14 (115)- (133)1.6 (52)38% (131)23% (130).16 (124)5% (24)2.1 (60)
MTSU Defense1246% (33)49% (127) - - - - - - 5 (117).47 (129)1.6 (90)27% (127)34% (109).53 (128)5% (101)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENN Defense1248% (50)48% (122) - - - - - - 4 (125).27 (86)1.3 (8)26% (131)30% (51).31 (71)5% (119)2 (63)
MTSU Offense1259% (11)40% (83)22.835.6261.17.311.516 (87)10 (63).19 (95)1.5 (102)32% (84)25% (123).17 (121)7% (112)1.9 (113)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -26.19   Middle Tennessee: -21.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -25.1   Middle Tennessee: -24.4




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 27
Kennesaw State 23


Total Points: 50

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/15Middle Tennessee14Kennesaw State5Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -8.5Middle Tennessee50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee110 Overs
Kennesaw State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#131) Kennesaw State Info
Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kennesaw State has lost 5 straight
Kennesaw State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Kennesaw State Notes
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O

Kennesaw State Highlights
Kennesaw State defense does not give up big plays (#61)

Kennesaw State Deficiencies
Kennesaw State has a really bad Offense
Kennesaw State Can Not Run the Ball (#81)
Kennesaw State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Kennesaw State offense is really bad (#133)
Kennesaw State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#134)
Kennesaw State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#122)
Kennesaw State run game is really bad (#130)
Kennesaw State pass game is really bad (#131)
Kennesaw State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kennesaw State has a bad defense (#123)
Kennesaw State has a bad red zone defense (#95)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMTSUKENN
OverallOver#97#94
OffenseOff#101#111
DefenseDef#108#69
Special TeamsST#97#14
PassingPass#27#111
RushingRush#55#97
Run BlockRBLK#98#81
Pass BlockPBLK#119#115
Route RunningWR Rt#87#105
TacklingTkl#72#32
Run DefenseR Def#93#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#110#70
Coverage DefCov#105#66

Rematch from Week 8
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (50.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Kennesaw State this year (14-5)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Kennesaw State last year (14-5)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENN | MTSU
Depth Chart: KENN | MTSU
Rosters: KENN | MTSU
(#130) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Middle Tennessee has lost 5 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)

Middle Tennessee Highlights

Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)


  
Kennesaw State's OC Chandler Burks
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Bryson14326155%14946105.7
Khalib Johnson62227%57032.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Benefield13854253.959
Qua Ashley12240913.460
Davis Bryson11229342.620
Preston Daniels358532.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Bohannon24288012.032
Qua Ashley2825519.151
Christian Moss (Tr)15220214.760
Carson Kent18217312.130

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster
Kennesaw State's DC Greg Harris
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donelius Johnson898410
Sidney Porter665022
Milon Jones604101
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garland Benyard489450
Donelius Johnson898410
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)225322
Jordan Miles458360
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Hallum5610010
JeRico Washington Jr.590006
Jayven Williams292214

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaiden Credle10947144.366
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Terry Wilkins5421414.023
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Holden Willis53871616.461
Omari Kelly (Tr)53869416.471
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
Jalen Davis525201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
Jalen Davis525201
Aidan Butts102202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrell Raby160006
Marvae Myers-Glover411004
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003