Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee Game Matchup

Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Tuesday, October 15th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (50.0) (-325) Open: -10.0
Middle Tennessee 14 - Kennesaw State: 5 (Conference USA)

Owls (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chandler Burks (Int) (71 - 30)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)

KENN coming off BYE
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -4 (SP+ MTSU -1)
Projected Score: KENN: 23 - MTSU: 27 (50)
MTSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
KENN Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
KENN Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kennesaw State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kennesaw State at UTSA	+24.0	49.5	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana	+14.5	46.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kennesaw State at San José State	+16.5	41.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Kennesaw State vs UT Martin	+1.5	45.5	L 13 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/4	Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State	+17.5	49.5	L 24 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15	Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	50.0	L 5 - 14	U	N
Wed 10/23	Kennesaw State vs Liberty	+27.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Wed 10/30	Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky	+24.0	49.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Kennesaw State at UTEP	+4.5	42.0	L 35 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/16	Kennesaw State vs Sam Houston	+21.0	42.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kennesaw State vs Florida International	+9.0	42.5	W 27 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech	+13.5	41.5	L 0 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech	-11.5
Sat 9/7	Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss	+42.5	60.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/14	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+10.5	53.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Middle Tennessee vs Duke	+14.5	51.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Memphis	+27.0	62.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	+5.0	48.0	L 21 - 48	O	N
Tue 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-8.5	50.0	W 14 - 5	U	Y
Wed 10/23	Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State	+20.5	64.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/2	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.0	48.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Middle Tennessee vs Liberty	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-3.5	54.0	L 21 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/30	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+9.5	50.5	L 24 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENN		0%	16.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	31.2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU	#95 (.14)	39% (104)	18.1	41% (93)	3.08 (74)	126	39% (94)	266	3.2 (115)	#60 (.17)	43% (81)	34.3	45% (88)	42% (78)	4.13 (100)	56.3	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENN Offense	1	16.5	13.3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	32.8	42.9%	4.13	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	42%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KENN Defense	1	31.2	30	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	20.3	39.4%	3.2	1.8	19	391	126	266	3.9	42%	57%	41%	39%	17%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kennesaw State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Middle Tennessee	12	28:32	19.3	40%	45%	6.8	56.3	1.8	1.3	5.8	1.9	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENN Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MTSU Defense	12	47% (30)	45% (88)	-	-	-	-	.06 (24)	2.97 (43)	71% (57)	10% (65)	0.85 (13)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KENN Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MTSU Offense	12	42% (117)	41% (93)	32	125.5	3.9	13 (108)	.1 (93)	3.08 (74)	79% (22)	11% (95)	1.08 (28)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENN Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MTSU Defense	12	52% (104)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (96)	1.5 (47)	30% (104)	32% (90)	.35 (88)	7% (31)	2.2 (100)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KENN Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MTSU Offense	12	57% (18)	39% (94)	24.6	36.5	265.6	7.3	10.8	23 (51)	13 (97)	.24 (84)	1.6 (59)	34% (101)	26% (110)	.24 (94)	6% (70)	2.3 (6)

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
2024 Talent Rating: 178.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kennesaw State's 2024 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Kennesaw State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -26.19 Middle Tennessee: -21.84

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kennesaw State: -25.1 Middle Tennessee: -24.4

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Kennesaw State's 2024 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 27
Kennesaw State 23

Projected Total Points: 50

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/15	Middle Tennessee	14	Kennesaw State	5	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -8.5	Middle Tennessee	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	1	1	0 Overs
Kennesaw State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#131) Kennesaw State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -26.19 #131
Offense Rating: 7.76 #132
Defense Rating: 12.85 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -25.1 #132
Offense SP+ Rating: 10.2 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #118
Talent Rating: 178.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kennesaw State Notes
(11/18) 18 players transferring after Bonohan fired
(11/18) Fight w/ Sam H, Def played great, almost held
(11/12) Best DT Chris Hummer portaled after HC fired
(11/10) Fired HC Bonohan, OC Burks Int (Utep L)
(10/23) Program defining W (Liberty) QB Bryson good
(10/16) Worst Off, QBs are unplayable. Def owned MTSU
(10/15) 4 man QB battle now, starter Bryson's been awful
(10/4) Off worst in CFB, QBs awful, run game worse
(9/1) Run D great vs UTSA, RG awful (1.3 ypc). QB still ?
(8/3) Held back players LY for depth TY, ball control O

Kennesaw State Ratings Matchup Middle Tennessee

Power #131

#130

Off #132

#105

Def #97

#131

Talent #132

#119

SP+ #132

#131

SP+ Off #134

#131

SP+ Def #118

#122

Rematch from Week 8
Middle Tennessee -8.5 (50.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Kennesaw State this year (14-5)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Kennesaw State last year (14-5)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: KENN | MTSU
Depth Chart: KENN | MTSU
Rosters: KENN | MTSU

(#130) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)

Kennesaw State's OC Chandler Burks

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Bryson	143	261	55%	1494	6	10	5.7
Khalib Johnson	6	22	27%	57	0	3	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qua Ashley	122	409	1	3.4	60
Davis Bryson	112	293	4	2.6	20
Gabriel Benyard	4	44	0	11.0	44
Alexander Diggs	9	29	0	3.2	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qua Ashley	28	255	1	9.1	51
Christian Moss (Tr)	15	220	2	14.7	60
Carson Kent	18	217	3	12.1	30
Tykeem Wallace	23	181	0	7.9	24

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

Kennesaw State's DC Greg Harris

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Milon Jones	60	4	1	0	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6
Tyler Hallum	56	1	0	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Garland Benyard	48	9	4	5	0
Jordan Miles	45	8	3	6	0
Tylon Dunlap (Tr)	22	5	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Hallum	56	1	0	0	10
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6
Jayven Williams	29	2	2	1	4

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Terry Wilkins	54	214	1	4.0	23
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Frank Peasant	10	49	2	4.9	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)	53	869	4	16.4	71
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
John Howse IV (Tr)	51	4	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
James Gillespie	10	2	2	0	0
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrell Raby	16	0	6
Marvae Myers-Glover	41	1	4
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	3