Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at UTEP Miners
Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
UTEP -2 (48.0) (-122) Open: -2.5
Middle Tennessee 20 - UTEP: 13 (Conference USA)
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
UTEP is playing their 5th straight game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -3.5 (SP+ UTEP -2)
Projected Score: MTSU: 23 - UTEP: 27 (50)
UTEP Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MTSU Travel: 1188 miles, 1 hrs ahead
UTEP is playing their 5th straight game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTEP -3.5 (SP+ UTEP -2)
Projected Score: MTSU: 23 - UTEP: 27 (50)
UTEP Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MTSU Travel: 1188 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Miners (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Coach Scotty Walden (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
| Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss | +42.5 | 60.5 | L 3 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 53.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Middle Tennessee vs Duke | +14.5 | 51.0 | L 17 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Middle Tennessee at Memphis | +27.0 | 62.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech | +5.0 | 48.0 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 14 - 5 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/23 | Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State | +20.5 | 64.5 | L 20 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Middle Tennessee at UTEP | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Middle Tennessee vs Liberty | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 17 - 37 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -3.5 | 54.0 | L 21 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
| UTEP's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | UTEP at Nebraska | +27.5 | 49.0 | L 7 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | UTEP vs Southern Utah | -6.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | UTEP at Liberty | +23.5 | 57.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | UTEP at Colorado State | +8.5 | 49.0 | L 17 - 27 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/3 | UTEP vs Sam Houston | +10.0 | 49.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Thu 10/10 | UTEP at Western Kentucky | +19.0 | 55.5 | L 17 - 44 | O | N | |
| Wed 10/16 | UTEP vs Florida International | +7.0 | 47.0 | W 30 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Tue 10/22 | UTEP at Louisiana Tech | +6.5 | 49.0 | L 10 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | UTEP vs Middle Tennessee | -2.0 | 48.0 | L 13 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | UTEP vs Kennesaw State | -4.5 | 42.0 | W 43 - 35 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | UTEP at Tennessee | +41.5 | 54.0 | L 0 - 56 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | UTEP at New Mexico State | +3.5 | 51.5 | W 42 - 35 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 18.1 | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 34.3 | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| UTEP | #121 (.07) | 37% (124) | 19.5 | 38% (118) | 2.8 (106) | 121 | 36% (117) | 200 | 2.81 (132) | #46 (.13) | 40% (42) | 32.3 | 40% (42) | 39% (46) | 3.85 (78) | 50.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| UTEP | #121 (.07) | 37% (124) | 38% (118) | 2.8 (106) | 121 | 36% (117) | 200 | 2.81 (132) | #46 (.13) | 40% (42) | 40% (42) | 39% (46) | 3.85 (78) | 50.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 18.1 | 14.2 | 39.4% | 3 | 1.6 | 18 | 352 | 91 | 261 | 3.2 | 41% | 59% | 38% | 40% | 19% | .13 |
| UTEP Defense | 12 | 32.3 | 28.8 | 39.7% | 3.85 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 40% | 39% | 18% | .13 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 34.3 | 35.8 | 49.4% | 4.61 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 14% | .32 |
| UTEP Offense | 12 | 19.5 | 26.2 | 37% | 2.81 | 1.6 | 17 | 321 | 121 | 200 | 3.3 | 52% | 47% | 38% | 36% | 20% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 12 | 30:15 | 18.2 | 38% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 25.2 |
| UTEP | 12 | 27:57 | 16.7 | 33% | 30% | 5.7 | 50.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 2 | 27.1 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 41% (123) | 38% (114) | 27.9 | 90.5 | 3.2 | 10 (122) | .04 (110) | 2.82 (104) | 56% (132) | 11% (100) | 0.98 (62) |
| UTEP Defense | 12 | 54% (103) | 40% (42) | - | - | - | - | .07 (40) | 2.85 (44) | 59% (7) | 12% (18) | 1.07 (102) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 54% (104) | 50% (124) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.19 (97) | 72% (61) | 9% (100) | 0.97 (59) |
| UTEP Offense | 12 | 52% (56) | 38% (118) | 36.4 | 120.8 | 3.3 | 9 (125) | .02 (118) | 2.8 (106) | 59% (127) | 13% (125) | 0.88 (114) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 59% (11) | 40% (83) | 22.8 | 35.6 | 261.1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .19 (95) | 1.5 (102) | 32% (84) | 25% (123) | .17 (121) | 7% (112) | 1.9 (113) |
| UTEP Defense | 12 | 46% (36) | 39% (46) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .21 (54) | 1.7 (115) | 34% (34) | 30% (56) | .28 (59) | 6% (66) | 2.1 (75) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 46% (33) | 49% (127) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .47 (129) | 1.6 (90) | 27% (127) | 34% (109) | .53 (128) | 5% (101) | 2.3 (128) |
| UTEP Offense | 12 | 47% (81) | 36% (117) | 18.6 | 30.4 | 200 | 6.6 | 10.8 | 15 (98) | 12 (85) | .15 (108) | 1.5 (112) | 34% (111) | 23% (128) | .23 (104) | 7% (110) | 2.2 (20) |
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.28 UTEP: -20.745
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4 UTEP: -22.7
Middle Tennessee: -24.28 UTEP: -20.745
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4 UTEP: -22.7
UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -20.745 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
UTEP's Power Rating: -20.745 #127
UTEP's Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
UTEP's Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
UTEP's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
UTEP's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 27
Middle Tennessee 23
Total Points: 50
UTEP 27
Middle Tennessee 23
Total Points: 50
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8
UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8
UTEP's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/02 | UTEP | 13 | Middle Tennessee | 20 | Middle Tennessee | UTEP -2 | Middle Tennessee | 48.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/18 | Middle Tennessee | 34 | UTEP | 30 | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee -8.5 | UTEP | 48.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | UTEP | 13 | Middle Tennessee | 24 | Middle Tennessee | UTEP -2.5 | Middle Tennessee | 52.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/10 | UTEP | 32 | Middle Tennessee | 48 | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee -13.5 | Middle Tennessee | 49.0 | Over |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Middle Tennessee | 30 | UTEP | 3 | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee -20 | Middle Tennessee | 50.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/29 | UTEP | 24 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | UTEP | UTEP -3 | Push | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/30 | Middle Tennessee | 48 | UTEP | 17 | Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee -21 | Middle Tennessee | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 1 | 1 | 2 Overs |
| Middle Tennessee | 6 | 5 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 3 | 2 - 4 | 2 - 3 | 0 - 1 |
| Road Teams | 3 - 4 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 0 | 3 - 2 |
(#130) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UTEP | MTSU |
| OverallOver | #95 | #97 |
| OffenseOff | #103 | #101 |
| DefenseDef | #85 | #108 |
| Special TeamsST | #113 | #97 |
| PassingPass | #93 | #27 |
| RushingRush | #89 | #55 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #76 | #98 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #84 | #119 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #103 | #87 |
| TacklingTkl | #46 | #72 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #69 | #93 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #68 | #110 |
| Coverage DefCov | #96 | #105 |
Rematch from Week 10
UTEP -2.0 (48.0)
Middle Tennessee won at UTEP this year (20-13)
Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP last year (20-13)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2023 (34-30)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2022 (24-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | UTEP
Depth Chart: MTSU | UTEP
Rosters: MTSU | UTEP
(#127) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -20.745 #127
Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UTEP has lost 1 straight
UTEP has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
UTEP Notes
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay
UTEP Highlights
UTEP Defense Sacks the QB a lot
UTEP Front 7 is disruptive (#32)
UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP has a really bad Offense
UTEP Can Not Run the Ball (#112)
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP offense is not Explosive (#35)
UTEP Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#123)
UTEP offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#49)
UTEP run game is really bad (#100)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UTEP Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTEP gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#40)
Power Rating: -20.745 #127
Offense Rating: 10.45 #128
Defense Rating: 12.53 #95
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #113
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.81 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.85 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
UTEP has lost 1 straight
UTEP has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
UTEP Notes
(10/23) Locklear benched in La Tech, Fr JD Pickles no arm
(10/18) QB Locklear #1 (benched earlier) w/ McConnell out
(10/17) Def 4 TOs, 3 sacks, 7 TFL, 2 FIU QBs knocked out
(10/16) Every Defensive starter listed as SR or GR
(10/10) Better vs WKU, expl plays. Def just can't hold up
(10/3) Off a mess, TO's, flags, drops. Def plays hard
(10/2) Def better than #'s, Off is awful. WR worst
(9/8) Outrushed 268-124 by S. Utah? Run D awful
(8/3) Front 7 decimated, will be bad vs run TY
(7/30) Portal 27 in/38 out, took 11 portals from A Peay
UTEP Highlights
UTEP Defense Sacks the QB a lot
UTEP Front 7 is disruptive (#32)
UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP has a really bad Offense
UTEP Can Not Run the Ball (#112)
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP offense is not Explosive (#35)
UTEP Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#123)
UTEP offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#49)
UTEP run game is really bad (#100)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UTEP Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UTEP gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#40)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 269 | 418 | 64% | 3092 | 16 | 10 | 7.4 |
| Roman Gagliano | 4 | 9 | 44% | 41 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Credle | 109 | 471 | 4 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 60 | 273 | 2 | 4.6 | 24 |
| Terry Wilkins | 54 | 214 | 1 | 4.0 | 23 |
| Nick Vattiato | 86 | 77 | 1 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Willis | 53 | 871 | 6 | 16.4 | 61 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 869 | 4 | 16.4 | 71 |
| Myles Butler | 30 | 366 | 3 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 20 | 190 | 0 | 9.5 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Buckner | 37 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aidan Butts | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Raby | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marvae Myers-Glover | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Locklear (Tr) | 149 | 236 | 63% | 1591 | 10 | 6 | 6.7 |
| Cade McConnell | 40 | 71 | 56% | 540 | 4 | 3 | 7.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon Jackson (Tr) | 191 | 754 | 4 | 3.9 | 42 |
| Ezell Jolly | 64 | 248 | 1 | 3.9 | 14 |
| Skyler Locklear (Tr) | 80 | 237 | 2 | 3.0 | 18 |
| JP Pickles | 39 | 133 | 1 | 3.4 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Odom (Tr) | 47 | 761 | 8 | 16.2 | 76 |
| Kam Thomas (Tr) | 46 | 512 | 2 | 11.1 | 69 |
| Trey Goodman (Tr) | 47 | 469 | 0 | 10.0 | 37 |
| Jaden Smith (Tr) | 21 | 177 | 0 | 8.4 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Hopkins (Tr) | 87 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nate Dyman | 84 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Xavier Smith (Tr) | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Kory Chapman (Tr) | 76 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Westmoreland | 45 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 1 |
| Kyran Duhon | 43 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Kadarion Johnson | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Kory Chapman (Tr) | 76 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Smith (Tr) | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Josiah Allen | 61 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Nate Dyman | 84 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 |