Florida International at Middle Tennessee - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium"" - Murfreesboro, TN  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 24 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
FIU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
FIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida International -11.5   (SP+ FIU -11)

Projected Score: FIU: 31 - MTSU: 19 (50)
FIU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
FIU Travel: 783 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (14 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-6.054.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+14
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+6.5
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State-13.5
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State-8
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee-11.5
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+3
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-8
Sat 11/29 Florida International at Sam Houston-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay-14.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin+28.545.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/13 Middle Tennessee at Nevada+9.050.0W 14 - 13UY
Sat 9/20 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+2.546.5
Sat 9/27 Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State+5.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8 Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State+1.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22 Middle Tennessee at Delaware+16
Wed 10/29 Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State+6.5
Sat 11/8 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+11.5
Sat 11/15 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+20.5
Sat 11/22 Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston+1
Sat 11/29 Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State+10.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#93 (.13)42% (81)26.747% (51)3.13 (54)19638% (105)1894.2 (57)#72 (.14)37% (52)23.740% (71)35% (42)2.42 (31)38.31.31.3
MTSU#127 (-.01)36% (119)12.741% (88)2.86 (83)6133% (119)1881.89 (129)#120 (.29)42% (86)29.736% (45)51% (123)4.58 (109)41.70.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense326.726.742.2%4.21.320385196189549%51%47%38%18%.13
MTSU Defense329.73442.4%4.581.3 - - - - - 58%42%36%51%16%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense323.73436.7%2.421.3 - - - - - 44%56%40%35%14%.14
MTSU Offense312.71436%1.890.717249611882.337%61%41%33%17%-.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International333:2419.739%50%5.338.31.31.34.72027.9
Middle Tennessee327:1716.728%29%541.70.71.37.32031
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense349% (82)47% (51)39196510 (10).29 (33)3.13 (54)63% (102)12% (114)1.24 (23)
MTSU Defense358% (118)36% (45) - - - - .1 (83)2.95 (86)86% (112)12% (42)1.02 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense344% (29)40% (71) - - - - .1 (85)3.27 (117)75% (80)8% (102)1.2 (112)
MTSU Offense337% (129)41% (88)26.760.72.31 (127)-.06 (122)2.86 (83)40% (133)11% (99)0.99 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense351% (54)38% (105)19.330.7188.76.29.81 (123)1 (23)-.02 (129)1.2 (123)32% (87)29% (90).34 (66)6% (81)2 (62)
MTSU Defense342% (21)51% (123) - - - - - - 3 (28).56 (127)1.7 (113)35% (42)34% (104).47 (110)4% (110)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense356% (112)35% (42) - - - - - - 3 (28).17 (56)1.6 (82)33% (74)22% (34).17 (51)6% (64)2.3 (110)
MTSU Offense361% (9)33% (119)21.33818858.84 (72)2 (60).04 (124)1.5 (83)35% (111)29% (90).38 (59)7% (104)2.2 (44)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Florida International's Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Florida International's Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -3.39   Middle Tennessee: -19.485

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1   Middle Tennessee: -23.0




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida International 31
Middle Tennessee 19


Total Points: 50

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 14
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Florida International35Middle Tennessee24Florida InternationalFlorida International -9.5Florida International50.5Over
202311/11Middle Tennessee40Florida International6Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -10.5Middle Tennessee50.5Under
202211/26Florida International28Middle Tennessee33Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -19.5Florida International54.5Over
202111/13Middle Tennessee50Florida International10Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -10.5Middle Tennessee54.0Over
202010/10Florida International28Middle Tennessee31Middle TennesseeFlorida International -7.0Middle Tennessee57.0Over
201910/26Middle Tennessee50Florida International17Middle TennesseeFlorida International -1Middle Tennessee58.5Over
201810/13Florida International24Middle Tennessee21Florida InternationalFlorida International -2Florida International61.0Under
201710/07Middle Tennessee37Florida International17Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -9Middle Tennessee53.5Over
201610/29Florida International35Middle Tennessee42Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -17Florida International62.5Over
201510/17Middle Tennessee42Florida International34Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -7Middle Tennessee52.5Over
201411/15Florida International38Middle Tennessee28Florida InternationalMiddle Tennessee -3Florida International0
201311/09Middle Tennessee48Florida International0Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -17Middle Tennessee0
201210/13Florida International30Middle Tennessee34Middle Tennessee
201111/26Middle Tennessee18Florida International31Florida International
201012/04Florida International27Middle Tennessee28Middle Tennessee
200911/07Middle Tennessee48Florida International21Middle Tennessee
200810/11Florida International31Middle Tennessee21Florida International
200709/29Middle Tennessee47Florida International6Middle Tennessee
200608/31Middle Tennessee7Florida International6Middle Tennessee
200512/03Florida International35Middle Tennessee31Florida International
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee1478 Overs
Florida International652 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 611 - 17 - 14 - 0
Road Teams6 - 141 - 110 - 41 - 7

(#88) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida International has lost 5 straight
Florida International has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Notes
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
(7/27) DBs are good. 7th in CFB in coverage LY.
(5/23) FIU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY
(4/7) RB rebuild, but still strength of the team
(4/7) RB Owens, Lyons & Allen (Mia) will all play
(3/24) QB Jenkins back, pass improved, fumbles a lot
(3/24) WR complete rebuild and looks very ?
(3/24) OL awful LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds.
(3/24) Def bad, replacing a lot. 4 DL, 3 DB portals
(3/24) HC Simmons successful at Fl A&M, good fit

Florida International Highlights
Florida International is Undefeated vs Spread

Florida International defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)
Florida International Does Not Stuff Runs (#132)
Florida International has a bad defensive line (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMTSUFIU
OverallOver#105#74
OffenseOff#112#85
DefenseDef#68#55
Special TeamsST#100#55
PassingPass#84#105
RushingRush#87#70
Run BlockRBLK#108#74
Pass BlockPBLK#121#97
Route RunningWR Rt#104#54
TacklingTkl#28#66
Run DefenseR Def#47#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#90#61
Coverage DefCov#77#21

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Middle Tennessee last year (35-24)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2023 (40-6)
Middle Tennessee beat Florida International in 2022 (33-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | MTSU
Depth Chart: FIU | MTSU
Rosters: FIU | MTSU
(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Middle Tennessee has lost 5 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl

Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)


  
Florida International's OC Nick Coleman
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins518262%498116.1
Joe Pesansky (Tr)71070%68006.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens4532247.247
Devonte Lyons199014.735
Anthony Carrie (Tr)237023.026
Keyone Jenkins194132.223
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maguire Anderson7112016.046
Alex Perry (Tr)778111.126
Eric Nelson356018.734
Shaborne Demps553010.626

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Taylor231001
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Jessiah Mcgrew140001
Shamir Sterlin131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons53211
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Quaylen Hill32100
Percy Courtney Jr.41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark120003
Brian Blades100002
Josiah Taylor231001

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato6211156%548424.9
Roman Gagliano11100%5005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jekail Middlebrook3314204.342
Rickey Hunt166704.215
Stanley Anderson-Lofton3903.015
Cam'Ron Lacy1505.05
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nahzae Cox14170312.137
Myles Butler1211609.723
Jekail Middlebrook118707.912
Cam'Ron Lacy563012.642

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Hughes212011
Muaaz Byard172000
Shakai Woods133100
Anthony Bynum131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeion Simpson-Smith62200
Damonte Smith95100
Brandon Buckner122100
John Howse IV81100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Lowe101002
Parker Hughes212011
Abdul Muhammad60001