Middle Tennessee at Missouri Game Matchup

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Missouri Tigers

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -21 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Missouri 23 - Middle Tennessee: 19

Blue Raiders (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (110 - 105)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -26 (SP+ MIZ -27)
Projected Score: MTSU: 11 - MIZ: 37 (51)
MIZ Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
MTSU Travel: 391 miles

Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
MIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+39.5	52.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+21.0	47.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Middle Tennessee vs Murray State	-34.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State	-3.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	N
Thu 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+6.5	61.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Wed 10/4	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Tue 10/10	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Tue 10/17	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+16.0	56.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.0	55.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	50.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Middle Tennessee vs UTEP	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/25	Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston	-3.5	49.5	L 20 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Missouri's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Missouri vs South Dakota	-27.0	44.5	W 35 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/9	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-21.0	47.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/16	Missouri vs Kansas State	+3.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Missouri vs Memphis	-6.5	52.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Missouri at Vanderbilt	-14.0	53.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Missouri vs LSU	+6.0	63.5	L 39 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/14	Missouri at Kentucky	+1.5	50.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Missouri vs South Carolina	-7.5	57.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Missouri at Georgia	+15.0	56.5	L 21 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Missouri vs Tennessee	+1.0	58.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Missouri vs Florida	-12.5	56.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Fri 11/24	Missouri at Arkansas	-9.5	53.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Missouri vs Ohio State	+4.0	51.0	W 14 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	40%	18.1	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	34.3	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8
MIZ	.16	41%	28.9	41%	2.89	156	41%	213	4.26	.15	38%	20.4	37%	39%	3.8	63.7	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	18.1	14.2	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14
MIZ Defense	13	20.4	15.6	37.7%	3.8	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	37%	39%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	34.3	35.8	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1
MIZ Offense	13	28.9	32.1	40.6%	4.26	1.5	19	370	156	213	4.1	51%	48%	41%	41%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8
Missouri	13	31:05	18.5	40%	50%	7.8	63.7	1.5	1.8	7	2.7	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1
MIZ Defense	13	49%	37%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.72	67%	14%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95
MIZ Offense	13	51%	41%	37.9	156.5	4.1	21	.11	2.89	70%	13%	1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9
MIZ Defense	13	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.22	1.6	34%	28%	.22	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2
MIZ Offense	13	48%	41%	19	30.1	213.2	7.1	11.2	13	9	.25	1.6	34%	33%	.34	4%	2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -7.24 #101
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
2023 Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90
Middle Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -7.24 Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -9.4 Missouri: 17.8

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Missouri 37
Middle Tennessee 11

Projected Total Points: 51

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Missouri	23	Middle Tennessee	19	Missouri	Missouri -21	Middle Tennessee	47.5	Under
2016	10/22	Missouri	45	Middle Tennessee	51	Middle Tennessee	Missouri -4	Middle Tennessee	72.0	Over
2003	09/20	Missouri	41	Middle Tennessee	40	Missouri

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Missouri	2	0	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#101) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.24 #101
Offense Rating: 12.27 #109
Defense Rating: 9.72 #69
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #89
Talent Rating: 334.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.10 - 6.90

Team Profile

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Middle Tennessee Ratings Matchup Missouri

Power #101

#14

Off #109

#15

Def #69

#38

Talent #124

#37

SP+ #100

#12

SP+ Off #92

#11

SP+ Def #89

#23

Rematch from Week 2
Missouri -21.0 (47.5)
Missouri won vs Middle Tennessee this year (23-19)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (23-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | MIZ
Depth Chart: MTSU | MIZ
Rosters: MTSU | MIZ

(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile

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Middle Tennessee's OC Mitch Stewart

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyle Lowe	3	7	43%	18	1	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	109	471	4	4.3	66
Kyle Lowe	9	57	1	6.3	56
DJ Riles	2	27	0	13.5	17
Jayce Gardner	1	8	0	8.0	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Holden Willis (Tr)	53	871	6	16.4	61
Elijah Metcalf	20	194	3	9.7	28
DJ Riles	20	172	0	8.6	27
Jaiden Credle (Tr)	27	125	0	4.6	19

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Scott Shafer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Sam Brumfield	61	3	2	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	1
Jakobe Thomas	22	3	1	2
Chris Johnson	18	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Raquon Hartley	13	4	3	0	1
Jalen Davis	52	5	2	0	1
Sam Brumfield	61	3	2	0	1
Zaylin Wood	7	1	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Johnson	18	1	0	3
James Shellman	13	0	0	3
Jakobe Thomas	22	3	1	2

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brady Cook	200	320	63%	2525	11	2	7.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)	109	181	60%	1426	8	12	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brady Cook	87	223	5	2.6	31
Luther Burden III	10	125	2	12.5	61
Gabarri Johnson	26	106	1	4.1	23
Jake Garcia (Tr)	40	46	2	1.2	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Theo Wease	60	884	4	14.7	70
Luther Burden III	60	666	6	11.1	44
Mookie Cooper	12	235	0	19.6	78
Dannis Jackson	11	210	0	19.1	47

View Missouri's Full Roster

Missouri's DC Blake Baker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass	75	4	1	3	0
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	0	4
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Walker	43	13	10	4	1
Charles Hicks	33	5	2	0	1
Serigne Tounkara	5	2	2	2	0
Kristian Williams	30	2	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Joseph Charleston	44	2	0	4
Dameon Wilson	25	3	1	2
Sidney Williams (Tr)	30	1	0	2