Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Wednesday, October 23rd 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -20.5 (64.5) (-1600) Open: -21.0 | 63.5
Jacksonville State 42 - Middle Tennessee: 20 (Conference USA)
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
JVST coming off BYE
Our Line: Jacksonville State -23.5 (SP+ JVST -23)
Projected Score: MTSU: 18 - JVST: 42 (60)
JVST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 144 miles
Our Line: Jacksonville State -23.5 (SP+ JVST -23)
Projected Score: MTSU: 18 - JVST: 42 (60)
JVST Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MTSU Travel: 144 miles
Gamecocks (9 - 5) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (18 - 6)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss | +42.5 | 60.5 | L 3 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 53.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Middle Tennessee vs Duke | +14.5 | 51.0 | L 17 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Middle Tennessee at Memphis | +27.0 | 62.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech | +5.0 | 48.0 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 14 - 5 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/23 | Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State | +20.5 | 64.5 | L 20 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Middle Tennessee at UTEP | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Middle Tennessee vs Liberty | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 17 - 37 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -3.5 | 54.0 | L 21 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
| Jacksonville State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Jacksonville State vs Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 54.5 | L 27 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Jacksonville State at Louisville | +27.5 | 56.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Jacksonville State at Eastern Michigan | -2.5 | 53.5 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss | -6.0 | 59.5 | W 44 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/4 | Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State | -17.5 | 49.5 | W 63 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Wed 10/9 | Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State | -21.0 | 58.5 | W 54 - 13 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/23 | Jacksonville State vs Middle Tennessee | -20.5 | 64.5 | W 42 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/30 | Jacksonville State at Liberty | +2.5 | 64.0 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Jacksonville State at Louisiana Tech | -10.0 | 55.5 | W 44 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Jacksonville State vs Florida International | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 34 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston | -5.5 | 57.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky | -0.5 | 62.5 | L 17 - 19 | U | N | |
| Fri 12/6 | Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky | -4.5 | 58.5 | W 52 - 12 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/20 | Jacksonville State vs Ohio | +6.5 | 57.5 | L 27 - 30 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 18.1 | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 34.3 | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 36 | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 26.1 | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| JVST | #22 (.27) | 45% (35) | 49% (18) | 3.36 (17) | 254 | 40% (95) | 189 | 4.85 (3) | #55 (.14) | 43% (84) | 44% (79) | 43% (85) | 3.81 (70) | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 18.1 | 14.2 | 39.4% | 3 | 1.6 | 18 | 352 | 91 | 261 | 3.2 | 41% | 59% | 38% | 40% | 19% | .13 |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 26.1 | 21.3 | 43.2% | 3.81 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 44% | 43% | 16% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 34.3 | 35.8 | 49.4% | 4.61 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 14% | .32 |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 36 | 39.1 | 45.2% | 4.85 | 1.1 | 23 | 443 | 254 | 189 | 5.5 | 64% | 36% | 49% | 40% | 11% | .27 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 12 | 30:15 | 18.2 | 38% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 25.2 |
| Jacksonville State | 14 | 26:57 | 22.6 | 41% | 54% | 6 | 58.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 41% (123) | 38% (114) | 27.9 | 90.5 | 3.2 | 10 (122) | .04 (110) | 2.82 (104) | 56% (132) | 11% (100) | 0.98 (62) |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 54% (108) | 44% (79) | - | - | - | - | .09 (52) | 3.01 (72) | 63% (20) | 10% (59) | 0.88 (22) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 54% (104) | 50% (124) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.19 (97) | 72% (61) | 9% (100) | 0.97 (59) |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 64% (4) | 49% (18) | 45.9 | 253.6 | 5.5 | 51 (1) | .25 (15) | 3.36 (17) | 67% (107) | 8% (23) | 1.07 (32) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 59% (11) | 40% (83) | 22.8 | 35.6 | 261.1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .19 (95) | 1.5 (102) | 32% (84) | 25% (123) | .17 (121) | 7% (112) | 1.9 (113) |
| JVST Defense | 14 | 46% (27) | 43% (85) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .21 (55) | 1.5 (56) | 30% (102) | 33% (105) | .36 (92) | 6% (63) | 2 (45) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 46% (33) | 49% (127) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .47 (129) | 1.6 (90) | 27% (127) | 34% (109) | .53 (128) | 5% (101) | 2.3 (128) |
| JVST Offense | 14 | 36% (131) | 40% (95) | 13.4 | 22.3 | 189.4 | 8.5 | 14.1 | 14 (108) | 7 (26) | .33 (35) | 1.9 (5) | 27% (10) | 32% (65) | .33 (72) | 3% (8) | 2.1 (51) |
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.28 Jacksonville State: -0.895
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4 Jacksonville State: -1.0
Middle Tennessee: -24.28 Jacksonville State: -0.895
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4 Jacksonville State: -1.0
Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Jacksonville State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Jacksonville State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 42
Middle Tennessee 18
Total Points: 60
Jacksonville State 42
Middle Tennessee 18
Total Points: 60
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3
Jacksonville State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/23 | Jacksonville State | 42 | Middle Tennessee | 20 | Jacksonville State | Jacksonville State -20.5 | Jacksonville State | 64.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/04 | Middle Tennessee | 30 | Jacksonville State | 45 | Jacksonville State | Middle Tennessee -2.5 | Jacksonville State | 52.0 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State | 2 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#130) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has won 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | JVST | MTSU |
| OverallOver | #46 | #97 |
| OffenseOff | #29 | #101 |
| DefenseDef | #65 | #108 |
| Special TeamsST | #109 | #97 |
| PassingPass | #42 | #27 |
| RushingRush | #11 | #55 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #19 | #98 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #79 | #119 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #83 | #87 |
| TacklingTkl | #22 | #72 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #48 | #93 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #102 | #110 |
| Coverage DefCov | #57 | #105 |
Rematch from Week 9
Jacksonville State -20.5 (64.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Middle Tennessee this year (42-20)
Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Middle Tennessee last year (42-20)
Jacksonville State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (45-30)
Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | JVST
Depth Chart: MTSU | JVST
Rosters: MTSU | JVST
(#85) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Jacksonville State has won 3 straight
Jacksonville State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Power Rating: -0.895 #85
Offense Rating: 24.74 #21
Defense Rating: 10.35 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 36%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.85 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.81 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Jacksonville State has won 3 straight
Jacksonville State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Jacksonville State Notes
(12/2) Rgame good, Pass bad, 2-13 on 3rd, QB Huff hurt
(12/2) L to WKU, held to 13 1st downs (season low)
(12/1) QB Huff inj (ankle) in finale. ? in CUSA title gm
(11/25) Rgame mauled Sam H, clinched CUSA title game
(11/18) Fight w/ FIU? Def awful esp Run, Rgame great
(11/1) 4-0, avg 28 ppg margin in Oct, although lowering
(10/30) RB Steward 232 yds, 8.6, 4 TD in Liberty upset
(10/30) Won five straight after bad 0-3 start to '24
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 15 Def TO's, 3rd in CFB
(10/4) Killed S Miss. Off improving, QB Huff dual threat
Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State offense is explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State has a top Offensive Line (#46)
Jacksonville State offense is good in red zone (#67)
Jacksonville State defense does not give up big plays (#134)
Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 269 | 418 | 64% | 3092 | 16 | 10 | 7.4 |
| Roman Gagliano | 4 | 9 | 44% | 41 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Credle | 109 | 471 | 4 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 60 | 273 | 2 | 4.6 | 24 |
| Terry Wilkins | 54 | 214 | 1 | 4.0 | 23 |
| Nick Vattiato | 86 | 77 | 1 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Willis | 53 | 871 | 6 | 16.4 | 61 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 869 | 4 | 16.4 | 71 |
| Myles Butler | 30 | 366 | 3 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 20 | 190 | 0 | 9.5 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Buckner | 37 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aidan Butts | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Raby | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marvae Myers-Glover | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Huff (Tr) | 178 | 293 | 61% | 2543 | 14 | 7 | 8.7 |
| Logan Smothers | 11 | 19 | 58% | 123 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Stewart | 279 | 1636 | 25 | 5.9 | 75 |
| Tyler Huff (Tr) | 227 | 1344 | 15 | 5.9 | 51 |
| Logan Smothers | 22 | 175 | 3 | 8.0 | 72 |
| Andrew Paul (Tr) | 38 | 166 | 4 | 4.4 | 28 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Vaughn | 49 | 804 | 5 | 16.4 | 75 |
| Michael Pettway | 25 | 454 | 3 | 18.2 | 92 |
| Brock Rechsteiner | 16 | 241 | 2 | 15.1 | 85 |
| Tre Stewart | 17 | 233 | 1 | 13.7 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Perry | 109 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Antonio Carter II (Tr) | 103 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Reginald Hughes (Tr) | 83 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Laletia Hale | 80 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reginald Hughes (Tr) | 83 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Laletia Hale | 80 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaylen Swain | 44 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Fred Perry | 109 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Mack | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Zechariah Poyser | 77 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Geimere Latimer | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |