Middle Tennessee at UConn - 2021 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo   Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at UConn Huskies  UConn logo
Friday, October 22nd 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -14.0 (54.0)
Middle Tennessee 44 - UConn: 13

 
Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CONN 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU coming off BYE
CONN is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ MTSU -21.5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 23 - CONN: 34 (57)
MTSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MTSU Travel: 844 miles, 1 hrs behind
Huskies (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lou Spanos (0 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth-8.558.5W 50 - 15OY
Sat 9/11 Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech+20.055.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Middle Tennessee at UTSA+11.560.0L 13 - 27UN
Fri 9/24 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte+2.555.5L 39 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+11.066.0W 34 - 28UY
Sat 10/9 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+20.059.0L 13 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22 Middle Tennessee at UConn-14.054.0W 44 - 13OY
Sat 10/30 Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss-12.547.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/6 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+17.566.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 11/13 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.554.0W 50 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion-3.048.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic+3.549.5W 27 - 17UY
Fri 12/17 Middle Tennessee vs Toledo+10.050.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
UConn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UConn at Fresno State+28.063.5L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/4 UConn vs Holy Cross-3.049.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 UConn vs Purdue+35.056.5L 0 - 49UN
Sat 9/18 UConn at Army+34.548.0L 21 - 52OY
Sat 9/25 UConn vs Wyoming+31.553.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UConn at Vanderbilt+14.551.5L 28 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 UConn at Massachusetts-3.057.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 10/16 UConn vs Yale+3.546.5W 21 - 15UY
Fri 10/22 UConn vs Middle Tennessee+14.054.0L 13 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UConn at Clemson+40.550.5L 7 - 44OY
Sat 11/20 UConn at UCF+30.056.0L 17 - 49ON
Sat 11/27 UConn vs Houston+32.054.5L 17 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1442%22.440%2.6313443%2303.58.2545%30.947%43%4.5452.21.81.6
CONN0%35.30%000%000%270%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense922.420.841.6%3.581.8203641342303.747%52%40%43%17%.14
CONN Defense02719.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense930.929.345.2%4.541.6 - - - - - 51%49%47%43%13%.25
CONN Offense035.340.30%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee929:192042%50%5.752.21.81.652.1028.6
UConn00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense947%40%35.9133.63.711.022.6364%11%0.98
CONN Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense951%47% - - - - .233.2583%8%1.02
CONN Offense00%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense952%43%22.834.6230.46.710.11310.251.433%35%.426%2.1
CONN Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense949%43% - - - - - - 8.271.630%36%.395%2.1
CONN Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    UConn: -10.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0   UConn: -25.6




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.3 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2021 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6  #130
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7  #130
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #120

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 34
Middle Tennessee 23

Projected Total Points: 57
UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/22UConn13Middle Tennessee44Middle Tennessee -14.0Middle Tennessee54.0Over
200111/17Middle Tennessee38UConn14
200011/03UConn10Middle Tennessee66
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn001 Overs
Middle Tennessee310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #130
Perf GradeGrade #101 #130
OffenseOff #116 #136
DefenseDef #53 #81
Spec TeamsST #124 #99
TalentTal #80 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #81
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #120
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffCONN Def
Run GameRun #128 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffCONN Def
Pass GamePass #95 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #101
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCatCONN OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #53
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffMTSU Def
Run GameRun #106 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #129 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #42
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCatCONN OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePass #135 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #98 #125
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Middle Tennessee 14.0 (54.0)
Middle Tennessee won at UConn this year (44-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CONN's OC Frank Giufre (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Jarren Horton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD