Middle Tennessee at UConn - 2021 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at UConn Huskies

Friday, October 22nd 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -14.0 (54.0)
Middle Tennessee 44 - UConn: 13

Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU coming off BYE
CONN is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ MTSU -21.5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 27 - CONN: 26 (53)
MTSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
MTSU Travel: 844 miles, 1 hrs behind

Huskies (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lou Spanos (0 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 39 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
CONN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth	-8.5	58.5	W 50 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech	+20.0	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+11.5	60.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	+2.5	55.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+11.0	66.0	W 34 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+20.0	59.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22	Middle Tennessee at UConn	-14.0	54.0	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss	-12.5	47.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+17.5	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/13	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	54.0	W 50 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion	-3.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	49.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

UConn's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	UConn at Fresno State	+28.0	63.5	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/4	UConn vs Holy Cross	-3.0	49.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/11	UConn vs Purdue	+35.0	56.5	L 0 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/18	UConn at Army	+34.5	48.0	L 21 - 52	O	Y
Sat 9/25	UConn vs Wyoming	+31.5	53.5	L 22 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UConn at Vanderbilt	+14.5	51.5	L 28 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/9	UConn at Massachusetts	-3.0	57.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/16	UConn vs Yale	+3.5	46.5	W 21 - 15	U	Y
Fri 10/22	UConn vs Middle Tennessee	+14.0	54.0	L 13 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	UConn at Clemson	+40.5	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/20	UConn at UCF	+30.0	56.0	L 17 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/27	UConn vs Houston	+32.0	54.5	L 17 - 45	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	38%	29.8	39%	3.03	124	38%	238	4.08	.16	42%	25.7	47%	39%	3.65	56.6	1.6	2.5
CONN	.01	31%	15.6	37%	2.61	101	27%	164	2.96	.29	47%	38.5	51%	43%	4.42	48.8	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	29.8	24.4	38.3%	4.08	1.6	20	362	124	238	3.5	43%	56%	39%	38%	26%	.14
CONN Defense	12	38.5	35.8	47%	4.42	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	51%	43%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	25.7	31.9	42%	3.65	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	47%	39%	28%	.16
CONN Offense	12	15.6	16.8	31.3%	2.96	1.8	14	265	101	164	3.2	44%	56%	37%	27%	26%	.01

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	30:13	19.8	31%	48%	6.6	56.6	1.6	2.5	6.8	2.5	5	31.4
UConn	12	25:49	14.4	23%	38%	6.7	48.8	1.8	1.3	5.3	1.1	3	28.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	43%	39%	35.2	123.7	3.5	15	.07	3.03	60%	17%	1.07
CONN Defense	12	51%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.23	78%	8%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	42%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.42	74%	16%	0.97
CONN Offense	12	44%	37%	31.4	101.3	3.2	8	-	2.61	50%	16%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	56%	38%	22.8	35.6	238.5	6.7	10.5	28	13	.23	1.6	33%	28%	.3	9%	2.2
CONN Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.36	1.6	28%	34%	.57	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.27	1.6	34%	34%	.26	11%	1.9
CONN Offense	12	56%	27%	17.3	33.9	163.8	4.8	9.5	11	17	.04	1.7	37%	24%	.24	10%	2.2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: UConn: -10.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0 UConn: -25.6

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.3 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2021 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.6 #130
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #130
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #120

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.9

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 27
UConn 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
UConn 28
Middle Tennessee 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 32
UConn 23

Total Points: 55

UConn Scoring
Offense: 15.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.8
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.8

UConn's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/22	UConn	13	Middle Tennessee	44	Middle Tennessee -14.0	Middle Tennessee	54.0	Over
2001	11/17	Middle Tennessee	38	UConn	14
2000	11/03	UConn	10	Middle Tennessee	66

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	0	0	1 Overs
Middle Tennessee	3	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) CONN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	CONN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#130
Perf GradeGrade	#101	#130
OffenseOff	#116	#136
DefenseDef	#53	#81
Spec TeamsST	#124	#99
TalentTal	#80	#118
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

UConn Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CONN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#81
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#120
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#128	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#53
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#130	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#106	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#129	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#98	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Middle Tennessee 14.0 (54.0)
Middle Tennessee won at UConn this year (44-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CONN's OC Frank Giufre (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Jarren Horton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD