Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at New Mexico State Aggies
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Aggie Memorial Stadium - Las Cruces, NM (Conference USA)
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (12 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
NMSU is playing their 7th straight game
MTSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -10.5 (SP+ NMSU -5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 14 - NMSU: 24 (38)
NMSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MTSU Travel: 1190 miles, 1 hrs ahead
MTSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -10.5 (SP+ NMSU -5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 14 - NMSU: 24 (38)
NMSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MTSU Travel: 1190 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Aggies (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Tony Sanchez (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 22 (20 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
| Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay | -14.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin | +28.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Middle Tennessee at Nevada | +9.0 | 50.0 | W 14 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Middle Tennessee vs Marshall | +2.5 | 46.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Middle Tennessee at Delaware | +16 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky | +20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State | +10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| New Mexico State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | New Mexico State vs Bryant | -19.5 | 52.5 | W 19 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | New Mexico State vs Tulsa | +3.0 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech | +10.0 | 42.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | New Mexico State at New Mexico | +2 | |||||
| Thu 10/2 | New Mexico State vs Sam Houston | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/14 | New Mexico State at Liberty | +14.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/22 | New Mexico State vs Missouri State | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | New Mexico State at Western Kentucky | +13 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | New Mexico State at Tennessee | +39.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | New Mexico State at UTEP | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee | -10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #127 (-.01) | 36% (119) | 12.7 | 41% (88) | 2.86 (83) | 61 | 33% (119) | 188 | 1.89 (129) | #120 (.29) | 42% (86) | 29.7 | 36% (45) | 51% (123) | 4.58 (109) | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| NMSU | #111 (.08) | 35% (128) | 18 | 22% (136) | 1.43 (136) | 48 | 43% (73) | 253 | 3.33 (104) | #19 (-.03) | 33% (22) | 22 | 23% (4) | 44% (99) | 2.13 (18) | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | ||
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 12.7 | 12 | 36% | 1.89 | 0.7 | 17 | 249 | 61 | 188 | 2.3 | 37% | 61% | 41% | 33% | 17% | -.01 |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 22 | 8.5 | 32.9% | 2.13 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 49% | 23% | 44% | 16% | -.03 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 29.7 | 27.5 | 42.4% | 4.58 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 36% | 51% | 16% | .29 |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 18 | 20 | 34.5% | 3.33 | 1.7 | 17 | 301 | 48 | 253 | 1.9 | 40% | 59% | 22% | 43% | 15% | .08 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 27:17 | 16.7 | 28% | 29% | 5 | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| New Mexico State | 3 | 27:50 | 16.7 | 34% | 100% | 7.7 | 73.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 28.8 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 37% (129) | 41% (88) | 26.7 | 60.7 | 2.3 | 1 (127) | -.06 (122) | 2.86 (83) | 40% (133) | 11% (99) | 0.99 (58) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 50% (66) | 23% (4) | - | - | - | - | -.22 (5) | 2.19 (20) | 43% (10) | 9% (91) | 1.05 (91) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 58% (118) | 36% (45) | - | - | - | - | .1 (83) | 2.95 (86) | 86% (112) | 12% (42) | 1.02 (83) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 40% (124) | 22% (136) | 25 | 48 | 1.9 | 1 (127) | -.26 (136) | 1.43 (136) | 75% (52) | 10% (91) | 0.81 (104) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 61% (9) | 33% (119) | 21.3 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 8.8 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .04 (124) | 1.5 (83) | 35% (111) | 29% (90) | .38 (59) | 7% (104) | 2.2 (44) |
| NMSU Defense | 3 | 49% (57) | 44% (99) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | .18 (57) | 1.2 (20) | 37% (30) | 20% (25) | .04 (24) | 8% (30) | 2.1 (88) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 42% (21) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .56 (127) | 1.7 (113) | 35% (42) | 34% (104) | .47 (110) | 4% (110) | 2.1 (95) |
| NMSU Offense | 3 | 59% (14) | 43% (73) | 19.7 | 36.3 | 253.3 | 7 | 12.9 | 5 (54) | 3 (92) | .28 (70) | 1.5 (72) | 43% (135) | 27% (98) | .29 (80) | 5% (72) | 2.2 (41) |
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -20.97 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0 New Mexico State: -18.5
Middle Tennessee: -20.97 New Mexico State: -11.61
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -23.0 New Mexico State: -18.5
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -11.61 #105
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
2025 Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
New Mexico State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
New Mexico State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 24
Middle Tennessee 14
Total Points: 38
New Mexico State 24
Middle Tennessee 14
Total Points: 38
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 20
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
New Mexico State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | New Mexico State | 36 | New Mexico State | Middle Tennessee -3.5 | New Mexico State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/04 | New Mexico State | 13 | Middle Tennessee | 7 | New Mexico State | New Mexico State -3.0 | New Mexico State | 55.5 | Under |
| 2004 | 11/06 | New Mexico State | 44 | Middle Tennessee | 10 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | Middle Tennessee | 35 | New Mexico State | 18 | Middle Tennessee | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | New Mexico State | 24 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Middle Tennessee | 39 | New Mexico State | 35 | Middle Tennessee |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 4 | 2 | 1 Overs |
| Middle Tennessee | 2 | 0 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 5 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 8 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -20.97 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 8 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NMSU | MTSU |
| OverallOver | #78 | #105 |
| OffenseOff | #100 | #112 |
| DefenseDef | #67 | #68 |
| Special TeamsST | #25 | #100 |
| PassingPass | #87 | #84 |
| RushingRush | #106 | #87 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #75 | #108 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #115 | #121 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #41 | #104 |
| TacklingTkl | #106 | #28 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #81 | #47 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #51 | #90 |
| Coverage DefCov | #58 | #77 |
(#105) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 9 straight
New Mexico State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Power Rating: -11.61 #105
Offense Rating: 1.27 #128
Defense Rating: 10.99 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.5 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #125
Talent Rating: 306.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 22%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Great in Scoring Position 2.13 PPO
Great Run Def Success 23%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 9 straight
New Mexico State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
New Mexico State Notes
(7/15) RB Calloway good in '23 (Cal), 3 P4 portals
(7/12) QB Fife (Mont) QB1 over Awad, who had exp LY
(7/12) Def bad LY, returns some. 8 portal DL adds
(5/18) RB Dijon Stanley (Utah) has tremendous speed
(5/2) JUCO WR Jackson Owens has promise
(4/7) WRs bad, lotta drops. Pride led LY w/ 374 yds.
(3/26) OL good run LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds
(3/26) HC Sanchez the definition of why bother
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State is Undefeated at Home
New Mexico State is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
New Mexico State offense is explosive (#29)
New Mexico State has a really good defense (#22)
New Mexico State defense is really good in red zone (#18)
New Mexico State has a good run defense (#4)
New Mexico State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#23)
New Mexico State Defensive Line is very good (#20)
New Mexico State Secondary is very good (#30)
New Mexico State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense
New Mexico State has a really bad Offense at Home
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Can Not Run the Ball (#136)
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#104)
New Mexico State run game is really bad (#136)
New Mexico State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 62 | 111 | 56% | 548 | 4 | 2 | 4.9 |
| Roman Gagliano | 1 | 1 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail Middlebrook | 33 | 142 | 0 | 4.3 | 42 |
| Rickey Hunt | 16 | 67 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Stanley Anderson-Lofton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.0 | 15 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahzae Cox | 14 | 170 | 3 | 12.1 | 37 |
| Myles Butler | 12 | 116 | 0 | 9.7 | 23 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 11 | 87 | 0 | 7.9 | 12 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 5 | 63 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Muaaz Byard | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakai Woods | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeion Simpson-Smith | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Damonte Smith | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Buckner | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Howse IV | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Lowe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Abdul Muhammad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 58 | 108 | 54% | 756 | 5 | 3 | 7.0 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 1 | 1 | 100% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 24 | 58 | 1 | 2.4 | 17 |
| Dijon Stanley (Tr) | 18 | 47 | 0 | 2.6 | 13 |
| Logan Fife (Tr) | 23 | 37 | 0 | 1.6 | 14 |
| Isaiah Rudison | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1.3 | 4 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 13 | 211 | 2 | 16.2 | 40 |
| Donovan Faupel | 13 | 177 | 1 | 13.6 | 55 |
| Gavin Harris (Tr) | 9 | 130 | 1 | 14.4 | 34 |
| Brodrick Malone | 5 | 68 | 1 | 13.6 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Naeten Mitchell | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamall Thompson | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sone Aupiu | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tory Gethers | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Nicolas Sessions | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ezra Christensen (Tr) | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |