Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee

Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee - 2022 Matchup Preview

Florida Atlantic Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Florida Atlantic -5.5 (51.0)
Middle Tennessee 49 - Florida Atlantic: 21 (Conference USA)

Owls (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Willie Taggart (10 - 11)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (31 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ MTSU -0)
Projected Score: FAU: 28 - MTSU: 25 (53)
FAU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FAU Travel: 752 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-7.0	60.0	W 43 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/3	Florida Atlantic at Ohio	-6.0	51.0	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/10	Florida Atlantic vs SE Louisiana	-11.0	63.5	W 42 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Florida Atlantic vs UCF	+7.5	61.5	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida Atlantic at Purdue	+16.0	57.0	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida Atlantic at North Texas	-3.0	67.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Florida Atlantic vs Rice	-5.0	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Florida Atlantic at UTEP	-3.0	50.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	Florida Atlantic vs UAB	+5.0	45.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	-15.0	54.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	-5.5	51.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/26	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	62.5	L 31 - 32	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.26	45%	29.8	47%	3.29	184	44%	226	4.16	.24	45%	26.6	44%	47%	4.08	58	1.1	1.9
MTSU	.14	40%	28.8	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	27.7	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.8	31	45.1%	4.16	1.1	22	410	184	226	4.5	52%	47%	47%	44%	16%	.26
MTSU Defense	13	27.7	24.2	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	26.6	32.3	45.2%	4.08	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	47%	18%	.24
MTSU Offense	13	28.8	33.8	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	28:50	22	43%	57%	6.2	58	1.1	1.9	4.3	1.6	3	28.3
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	52%	47%	41	184.2	4.5	19	.22	3.29	61%	9%	1
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.19	74%	10%	1.04
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	47%	44%	18.1	31.5	226.3	7.2	12.5	25	5	.33	1.7	30%	36%	.52	6%	2.2
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	50%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.6	30%	39%	.52	9%	2.1
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 #91
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #81
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Middle Tennessee: -0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -7.1 Middle Tennessee: -6.9

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -0.95 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Florida Atlantic's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Florida Atlantic 28
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida Atlantic 29
Middle Tennessee 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 31
Florida Atlantic 28

Total Points: 59

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/19	Middle Tennessee	49	Florida Atlantic	21	Florida Atlantic -5.5	Middle Tennessee	51.0	Over
2021	11/27	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	27	Florida Atlantic -3.5	Middle Tennessee	49.5	Under
2019	10/12	Florida Atlantic	28	Middle Tennessee	13	Florida Atlantic -12	Florida Atlantic	63.5	Under
2018	09/29	Middle Tennessee	25	Florida Atlantic	24	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Middle Tennessee	63.5	Under
2017	09/30	Florida Atlantic	38	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	60.0	Under
2016	11/26	Middle Tennessee	77	Florida Atlantic	56	Middle Tennessee -12.5	Middle Tennessee	64.0	Over
2015	11/14	Florida Atlantic	17	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee -6	Middle Tennessee	57.5	Under
2014	11/22	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	34	Middle Tennessee -7	Florida Atlantic	0
2013	09/21	Florida Atlantic	35	Middle Tennessee	42	Middle Tennessee -4	Middle Tennessee	0
2012	09/08	Middle Tennessee	31	Florida Atlantic	17
2011	10/22	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	38
2010	11/27	Middle Tennessee	38	Florida Atlantic	14
2009	10/31	Florida Atlantic	20	Middle Tennessee	27
2008	09/30	Middle Tennessee	14	Florida Atlantic	13
2007	09/01	Florida Atlantic	27	Middle Tennessee	14
2006	11/04	Middle Tennessee	35	Florida Atlantic	14
2005	10/15	Florida Atlantic	14	Middle Tennessee	35
2004	09/18	Middle Tennessee	20	Florida Atlantic	27
2003	08/28	Middle Tennessee	19	Florida Atlantic	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	14	6	2 Overs
Florida Atlantic	5	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 4	3 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 11	4 - 5	2 - 2	2 - 3

(#) FAU at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#85	#110
OffenseOff	#74	#131
DefenseDef	#92	#43
Spec TeamsST	#49	#64
TalentTal	#72	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#88	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#23	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#46	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#92
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	#117	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#119

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#74
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#127	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Florida Atlantic 5.5 (51.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Florida Atlantic this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (49-21)

FAU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD