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Houston Cougars (@UHCougarFB)
Willie Fritz (2nd year) (9-9)
Record: 5 - 1 (2 - 1)  |  Proj: 8 - 4 (#46)  |  SOS: (#64)
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Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin-24.554.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice-13.538.5W 35 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Houston vs Colorado-4.045.5W 36 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/26 Houston at Oregon State-11.548.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech+13.551.5L 11 - 35UN
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State-14.547.5W 39 - 17OY
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona+1.545.5
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State+7
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia-10
Fri 11/7 Houston at UCF+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU+7.5
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor+7.5

Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3  #46
Schedule Rating:  #64
Record: 5 - 1( B12: 2 - 1)
Spread Record 4 - 2 - 0 | O/U 4 - 2
Future 2026 Schedule

Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Houston vs UNLV-3.056.0L 7 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 Houston at Oklahoma+27.548.5L 12 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Houston vs Rice-3.543.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Houston at Cincinnati+4.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/28 Houston vs Iowa State+16.043.0L 0 - 20UN
Fri 10/4 Houston at TCU+16.552.0W 30 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Houston vs Kansas+4.545.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/26 Houston vs Utah+4.536.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 Houston vs Kansas State+12.546.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Houston at Arizona+1.046.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Houston vs Baylor+7.051.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Houston at BYU+9.539.5L 18 - 30ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #21
2024 Record: 4 - 8 (B12: 3 - 6)
Spread Record 5 - 7 - 0 | O/U 2 - 10


Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 5 Avg, 1 Bad, 3 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 3 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 4 Avg, 1 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 0 Elite, 8 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 199 points   #53
2024 class: 184 points   #61
2023 class: 189 points   #56
2022 class: 188 points   #50
2021 class: 153 points   #81

Average Class Ranking:   #60
Average Recruiting Points: 183

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Average P4
4 Year Class:  #56 - Best:  #50 Worst:  #61



CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 201  #49
Power 4 Class: 225  #49
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 155 points   #82
2019 class: 165 points   #72
2018 class: 167 points   #73
2017 class: 160 points   #69
2016 class: 202 points   #36

Average Class Ranking:   #66
Average Recruiting Points: 170
 

2025 Portal Class  #28 - 25 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #29 - 18 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #33 - 20 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #43 - 12 players, 86 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Slade Nagle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Weigman (Tr)9114862%1216828.2
Zeon Chriss92045%99115.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors (Tr)9543844.654
Conner Weigman (Tr)5114852.949
Stacy Sneed3313003.916
Zeon Chriss127906.621
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas (Tr)23441219.264
Tanner Koziol (Tr)30310210.350
Stephon Johnson Jr.13275221.274
Dean Connors (Tr)137515.816
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Austin Armstrong (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Garner423221
Carlos Allen413002
Kentrell Webb302000
Sione Fotu (Tr)301100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Corey Platt Jr.213310
Jalen Garner423221
Brandon Mack183210
Eddie Walls III (Tr)235233
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zelmar Vedder (Tr)100006
Eddie Walls III (Tr)235233
Marc Stampley II (Tr)212102
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 65%  #20
Offense Returning Production: 68%  #25
Defense Returning Production: 61%  #41

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #28
25 Commits, 86 Avg Rating
45% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 32% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00  #58
Offense Talent  #56 | Defense Talent  #53
2024  #74 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #58 | 2021  #66


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 1
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 1
Spread: 4 - 2 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 2

2024 Record: 4 - 8
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 10

2023 Record: 4 - 8
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 10 - 3

Four Year Record: 21 - 22
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 20 - 23 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 17
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 12 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 6

2020 Record: 3 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 3
Spread: 3 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 4

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4

Eight Year Record: 48 - 42
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 43 - 47 - 0
Eight Year Conference Record: 35 - 30

Houston Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2022Independence Bowl Houston vs Louisiana-5.556.5W 23 - 16
2021Birmingham Bowl Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13
2020Mexico Bowl Houston vs Hawai'i-7.060.5L 14 - 28
2018Forces Bowl Houston vs Army+6.556.0L 14 - 70
2017I Bowl Houston vs Fresno State-2.552.0L 27 - 33
2016Vegas Bowl Houston vs San Diego State-3.051.0L 10 - 34
2015N/A Houston vs Florida State+6.5W 38 - 24
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.09 (114)1.36 (21)36% (127)3.62 (96)32.6 (15)39%50%.07 (26)1.06 (7)36% (21)4.09 (92)29.3 (92)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024- (133)1.2 (109)35% (129)2.57 (134)27.7 (101)28%38%.14 (51)1.32 (94)40% (41)3.52 (41)31 (115)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025630:1918.239%50%5.851.20.71.34.52.21
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.82



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense629.224.733.736.1% (127)3.62 (96)0.718380160219457% (28)43% (109)35% (129)37% (117)14% (55).09 (114)
2025 Defense617.518.316.736.4% (21)4.09 (92)1.3 - - - - - 53% (98)46% (33)42% (77)31% (9)17% (56).07 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense121415.212.635.3% (129)2.57 (134)2.3152891371533.957% (22)42% (114)35% (130)37% (115)21% (130)- (133)
2024 Defense1222.917.825.239.6% (41)3.52 (41)1.6 - - - - - 51% (76)49% (62)40% (41)39% (49)18% (46).14 (51)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense657% (28)35% (129)39.8160.349 (77)-.09 (133)2.44 (127)63% (114)8% (43)0.9 (98)
2025 Defense653% (98)42% (77) - - - - .03 (34)2.38 (14)90% (133)10% (76)0.81 (16)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)
2024 Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense643% (109)37% (117)16.728219.27.813.29 (73)3 (26).33 (45)1.9 (6)33% (103)25% (110).23 (102)6% (83)2.2 (36)
2025 Defense646% (33)31% (9) - - - - - - 6 (29).14 (35)1.5 (43)33% (49)19% (6).13 (25)7% (40)1.9 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)
2024 Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)




Overall
Power Rating  #65 | SP+ Rating  #45
Performance Grade  #56
Special Teams Grade  #5
Record Prediction 7.7 - 4.3  #46
5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Offense
Power  #108 | SP+  #71 | Grade  #115
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Off Success  #127 | Explosivness  #21
Rush Grade  #97 | Pass Grade  #115
Rush Success  #129 | Explosiveness  #98
Pass Success  #117 | Explosiveness  #6
Run Block  #64 | Pass Block  #134
OL YDS  #127 | Stuff Rate  #111
Scoring Zone Off:  #96

Defense
Power  #33 | SP+  #25 | Grade  #13
Def Success  #21 | Explosivness  #7
Rush Success  #77 | Explosiveness  #16
Tackling  #41 | Run Def  #25
Pass Success  #9 | Explosiveness  #43
Pass Rush  #104 | Coverage  #4
F7 Havoc  #76 | DB Havoc  #40
Scoring Zone Def  #92


Roster
Team Talent  #58 Blue Chips: 7%  #46
Offense Talent  #56 Defense Talent  #53
Crootin: '25 Class  #53 - 4 YR Class:  #56
Profile: Consistent Average P4
Portal Class  #28 - 25 players, 86 Avg
45% of Roster from Portal, 32% TY
69 New Players, 76% of '25 Roster  #100

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 29.2 - 17.5 (14 - 23) in '24
Scoring at Home: 25 - 18 | Road: 34 - 17
OC: Slade Nagle - in his first season
DC: Austin Armstrong - in his first season

2025 Record: 5 - 1 (4 - 2 - 0) (B12: 2 - 1)
2024 Record: 4 - 8 (5 - 7 - 0) (B12: 3 - 6)
2023 Record: 4 - 8 (6 - 6 - 0) (B12: 2 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (21 - 22) | 8 Yr Record: (48 - 42)


Notes
QB Weigman left T Tech w/ concussion, ? for Pokes
Lotta guys went down vs Oregon State, watch
Off Success #'s lowest in P4, Run & Pass bottom 10
Def great vs CU, Weigman can throw now?
Determined to run but bad success, pop expl
QB, RB, WR, TE + 3 OL upgrades via portals
RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
 
'25 Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Great Offensive Turnovers
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Poor when off Schedule 25%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Avg Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Great when Opp is off Schedule 19%

Returning Prod
'24 QB Zeon Chriss returns
Returning Production: 65%  #20
Offense: 68%  #25 | Defense: 61%  #41
OL Prod: 56%  #67, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3098  #54 | From Portal: 1880  #15
Rush Prod: 100%  #1 | Rec Prod: 100%  #1
Def Front Seven: 42% - Secondary: 68%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #45 - Power Rating:  #65
2024 SP+ Overall:  #101 - Power Rating:  #86
2023 SP+ Overall:  #95 - Power Rating:  #97
2022 SP+ Overall:  #57

#57 #96 #94 #55

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #71 - Power Rating:  #108
2024 SP+ Offense:  #118 - Power Rating:  #129
2023 SP+ Offense:  #73 - Power Rating:  #95
2022 SP+ Offense:  #9

#9 #84 #124 #90

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #25 - Power Rating:  #33
2024 SP+ Defense:  #54 - Power Rating:  #55
2023 SP+ Defense:  #104 - Power Rating:  #113
2022 SP+ Defense:  #113

#113 #109 #55 #29