Houston at Kansas State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Houston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -17.5 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Kansas State 41 - Houston: 0 (Big 12)

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KSU 2nd straight Home Game
KSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -23.5 (SP+ KSU -24)
Projected Score: HOU: 19 - KSU: 42 (61)
KSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
HOU Travel: 659 miles

Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (44 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-28.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Kansas State vs Troy	-15.0	50.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas State at Missouri	-3.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas State vs UCF	-6.0	53.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	-11.5	53.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/14	Kansas State at Texas Tech	+1.0	57.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Kansas State vs TCU	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Kansas State vs Houston	-17.5	61.0	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas State at Texas	+4.0	49.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas State vs Baylor	-20.5	55.5	W 59 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Kansas State at Kansas	-7.0	60.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kansas State vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Kansas State vs NC State	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#104 (.13)	40% (97)	23.7	39% (110)	2.97 (96)	119	41% (75)	241	3.44 (100)	#114 (.26)	47% (126)	31.5	47% (104)	48% (130)	4.26 (111)	49.2	1.3	1.2
KSU	#34 (.28)	47% (18)	37.1	50% (14)	3.33 (28)	205	44% (46)	241	5.11 (1)	#46 (.15)	38% (24)	21	38% (29)	39% (27)	2.98 (12)	43.7	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)		35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)		40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)		46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)		34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	12	23.7	21.4	39.7%	3.44	1.3	19	360	119	241	4	42%	56%	39%	41%	14%	.13
KSU Defense	13	21	16.3	37.8%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	38%	39%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	12	31.5	36.8	46.7%	4.26	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	47%	48%	13%	.26
KSU Offense	13	37.1	43.9	47.3%	5.11	0.9	24	446	205	241	5	53%	47%	50%	44%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	12	27:56	19.2	36%	26%	5.7	49.2	1.3	1.2	5	1.9	3	28.2
Kansas State	13	31:51	23.8	48%	58%	4.8	43.7	0.9	1.8	5.6	1.8	1	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	12	42% (115)	39% (110)	29.9	118.8	4	10 (124)	.06 (116)	2.97 (96)	59% (129)	9% (57)	0.98 (82)
KSU Defense	13	46% (23)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	.14 (68)	2.82 (25)	61% (12)	11% (47)	1.24 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	12	51% (89)	47% (104)	-	-	-	-	.23 (111)	3.24 (101)	75% (79)	8% (110)	1.05 (93)
KSU Offense	13	53% (43)	50% (14)	40.8	205.2	5	32 (10)	.27 (13)	3.33 (28)	75% (60)	6% (5)	0.99 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	12	56% (24)	41% (75)	21.7	33.9	241.4	7.1	11.1	24 (41)	13 (97)	.25 (77)	1.5 (86)	34% (94)	25% (111)	.18 (107)	5% (20)	2.1 (56)
KSU Defense	13	52% (107)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.22 (38)	1.7 (95)	35% (24)	27% (23)	.23 (32)	7% (45)	2.2 (101)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	12	47% (40)	48% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.35 (108)	1.5 (27)	30% (98)	38% (128)	.47 (125)	4% (124)	2.1 (91)
KSU Offense	13	47% (88)	44% (46)	19.8	32.8	241.2	7.3	12.2	30 (16)	10 (56)	.31 (60)	1.6 (80)	29% (17)	35% (25)	.46 (31)	6% (50)	2.1 (50)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -6.49 Kansas State: 15.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.3 Kansas State: 15.4

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.89 #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 42
Houston 19

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 40
Houston 25

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 37
Houston 20

Total Points: 57

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.9
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Houston	24	Kansas State	19	Kansas State -12.5	Houston	46.5	Under
2023	10/28	Kansas State	41	Houston	0	Kansas State -17.5	Kansas State	61.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	1	0 Overs
Houston	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#97) HOU at (#16) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	KSU
Power RatePwr	#97	#16
SP+SP+	#95	#15
Perf GradeGrade	#99	#32
OffenseOff	#72	#23
DefenseDef	#113	#68
Spec TeamsST	#111	#69
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#61

Houston Injury Report

Kansas State Injury Report

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	KSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#68
SuccessSuc	#97	#24
ExplosiveExp	#60	#127
PPAPPA	#104	#46
PowerPwr	#95	#22
SP+SP+	#73	#39
Pts POPPO	#100	#12
HavocHav	#41	#42

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#95
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#29
Run ExplRExp	#82	#130
PPAExp	#116	#68
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#96	#25
Stuff RateStuff	#116	#6
TackleTak	-	#123

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	#75	#27
Pass ExplPExl	#86	#95
PPAExp	#77	#38
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#46	#114
F7 HavocF7	#57	#47
DB HavocDB	#20	#45

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	HOU Def
Perf GradePerf	#23	#113
SuccessSuc	#18	#126
ExplosiveExp	#98	#51
PPAPPA	#34	#114
PowerPwr	#16	#113
SP+SP+	#8	#104
Pts POPPO	#1	#111
HavocHav	#9	#121

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#15	#92
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#104
Run ExplRExp	#75	#93
PPAExp	#13	#111
Run BlockR Blk	#20	-
OL YdsOLY	#28	#101
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#74
TackleTak	-	#101

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	#46	#130
Pass ExplPExl	#80	#27
PPAExp	#60	#108
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#37	#122
F7 HavocF7	#5	#110
DB HavocDB	#50	#124

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

HOU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 38° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Kansas State -17.5 (61.0)
Kansas State won vs Houston this year (41-0)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Kansas State last year (24-19)
Kansas State beat Houston in 2023 (41-0)

HOU's OC Dana Holgorsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	255	396	64%	2800	22	13	7.1
Ui Ale	4	8	50%	69	1	0	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Parker Jenkins	99	464	3	4.7	31
Donovan Smith (Tr)	138	429	6	3.1	35
Stacy Sneed	48	282	1	5.9	58
Tony Mathis (Tr)	41	170	0	4.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Brown	61	815	3	13.4	53
Joseph Manjack	46	577	6	12.5	49
Matthew Golden	38	404	6	10.6	39
Stephon Johnson Jr.	23	269	3	11.7	49

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A.J. Haulcy	90	1	1	2
Malik Robinson	73	2	2	1
Jamal Morris	59	2	2	5
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	46	2	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nelson Ceaser	36	10	7	3	0
Jamaree Caldwell	26	9	7	0	0
David Ugwoegbu (Tr)	41	6	3	2	3
Anthony Holmes Jr.	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	59	2	2	5
Malik Fleming (Tr)	39	2	0	5
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	46	2	1	4

KSU's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard	219	358	61%	2643	24	10	7.4
Avery Johnson	37	66	56%	479	5	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Giddens	223	1226	10	5.5	43
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	125	651	5	5.2	52
Will Howard	80	364	9	4.6	70
Avery Johnson	51	288	7	5.6	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ben Sinnott	49	676	6	13.8	44
Phillip Brooks III	53	589	5	11.1	40
Jayce Brown	27	437	3	16.2	46
DJ Giddens	29	323	3	11.1	61

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Sigle (Tr)	63	3	0	1	9
Austin Moore	63	13	2	1	0
Kobe Savage	57	4	0	2	0
VJ Payne	57	3	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khalid Duke	19	8	6	2	0
Nate Matlack	15	8	4	2	1
Jevon Banks (Tr)	9	2	2	1	0
Cody Stufflebean	19	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Sigle (Tr)	63	3	0	1	9
Jacob Parrish	44	3	1	0	9
Will Lee III	42	2	0	0	6