Houston at East Carolina - 2022 Matchup Preview
Houston logo   Houston Cougars at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (2:00 PM EST)
East Carolina -6 (66.5)
Houston 42 - East Carolina: 3  (American Athletic)

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (19 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ HOU -3.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 25 - ECU: 28 (53)
ECU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
HOU Travel: 1120 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (14 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Houston at UTSA-3.561.5W 37 - 35ON
Sat 9/10 Houston at Texas Tech+3.562.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/17 Houston vs Kansas-8.558.0L 30 - 48ON
Sat 9/24 Houston vs Rice-17.552.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/30 Houston vs Tulane-5.052.0L 24 - 27UN
Fri 10/7 Houston at Memphis+1.557.5W 33 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Houston at Navy-3.051.0W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/29 Houston vs South Florida-17.059.0W 42 - 27ON
Sat 11/5 Houston at SMU+3.566.0L 63 - 77ON
Sat 11/12 Houston vs Temple-20.056.0W 43 - 36ON
Sat 11/19 Houston at East Carolina+6.066.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 11/26 Houston vs Tulsa-13.066.5L 30 - 37ON
Fri 12/23 Houston vs Louisiana-5.556.5W 23 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
East Carolina's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 East Carolina vs NC State+12.552.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 East Carolina vs Old Dominion-13.049.5W 39 - 21OY
Sat 9/17 East Carolina vs Campbell-32.558.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/24 East Carolina vs Navy-16.548.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/1 East Carolina vs South Florida-10.055.5W 48 - 28OY
Sat 10/8 East Carolina at Tulane+2.556.0L 9 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 East Carolina vs Memphis-5.562.5W 47 - 45ON
Sat 10/22 East Carolina vs UCF+5.563.0W 34 - 13UY
Fri 10/28 East Carolina at BYU+3.064.0W 27 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/11 East Carolina at Cincinnati+4.551.5L 25 - 27OY
Sat 11/19 East Carolina vs Houston-6.066.5L 3 - 42UN
Sat 11/26 East Carolina at Temple-9.552.0W 49 - 46ON
Tue 12/27 East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina-7.067.5W 53 - 29OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.2343%29.139%2.814346%2724.45.0635%22.837%33%3.3561.411.8
ECU.1941%32.740%2.7516241%2713.65.2140%20.143%38%3.749.31.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1429.13142.8%4.451224151432723.948%52%39%46%17%.23
ECU Defense1220.119.840.4%3.71.9 - - - - - 49%51%43%38%19%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1422.819.535.1%3.351.8 - - - - - 46%54%37%33%21%.06
ECU Offense1232.736.240.6%3.651.8224331622714.149%51%40%41%19%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1433:3521.642%68%6.561.411.87.13.2633.3
East Carolina1233:5922.335%72%5.349.31.81.96.12.2229.5
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1448%39%36.8143.13.927.122.868%12%1.09
ECU Defense1249%43% - - - - .183.0270%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1446%37% - - - - .082.6563%14%1.07
ECU Offense1249%40%39.6162.44.120.12.7570%12%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1452%46%21.932.8271.68.312.43212.341.632%34%.545%2.4
ECU Defense1251%38% - - - - - - 15.241.733%28%.258%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1454%33% - - - - - - 14.061.635%24%.187%2.2
ECU Offense1251%41%21.835.3270.87.712.52111.281.733%30%.267%2.1

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2022 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5  #57
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5  #9
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #113

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    East Carolina: 3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 4.5   East Carolina: 1.1




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 3.05 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #68
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 28
Houston 25

Projected Total Points: 53
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/19East Carolina3Houston42East Carolina -6Houston66.5Under
202110/23Houston31East Carolina24Houston -13.5East Carolina56.0Under
201810/13East Carolina20Houston42Houston -16Houston69.5Under
201711/04Houston52East Carolina27Houston -23.5Houston62.5Over
201211/03East Carolina48Houston28
201110/08Houston56East Carolina3
200912/05East Carolina38Houston32
200809/27East Carolina24Houston41
200709/29Houston35East Carolina37
200411/06Houston34East Carolina24
200309/30East Carolina13Houston27
200211/09Houston48East Carolina54
200011/10East Carolina62Houston20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina511 Overs
Houston833 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 61 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 73 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#) HOU at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #57 #68
Perf GradeGrade #13 #77
OffenseOff #17 #49
DefenseDef #24 #119
Spec TeamsST #39 #41
TalentTal #58 #82
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #17 #119
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffECU Def
Run GameRun #107 #45
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #1 #128
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #130
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #24
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #113
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #31 #46
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #117
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #14 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101 #1
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina -6.0 (66.5)
Houston won at East Carolina this year (42-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD