Tulsa at Houston - 2022 Matchup Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Houston Cougars

Saturday, November 26th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
Houston -13 (66.5)
Tulsa 37 - Houston: 30 (American Athletic)

Golden Hurricane (5 - 7) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach Philip Montgomery (38 - 46)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HOU is playing their 6th straight game
TLSA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ HOU -11)
Projected Score: TLSA: 22 - HOU: 29 (51)
HOU Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TLSA Travel: 445 miles

Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (19 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TLSA Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulsa's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Tulsa at Wyoming	-6.5	47.0	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/10	Tulsa vs Northern Illinois	-6.5	63.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/17	Tulsa vs Jacksonville State	-12.0	64.0	W 54 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Tulsa at Ole Miss	+21.0	66.5	L 27 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Tulsa vs Cincinnati	+10.0	59.0	L 21 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Tulsa at Navy	-4.5	45.5	L 21 - 53	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21	Tulsa at Temple	-13.5	53.5	W 27 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/29	Tulsa vs SMU	+1.0	63.5	L 34 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/5	Tulsa vs Tulane	+6.5	56.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Thu 11/10	Tulsa at Memphis	+7.0	62.0	L 10 - 26	U	N
Fri 11/18	Tulsa vs South Florida	-14.0	57.5	W 48 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/26	Tulsa at Houston	+13.0	66.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Houston's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Houston at UTSA	-3.5	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Houston at Texas Tech	+3.5	62.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Houston vs Kansas	-8.5	58.0	L 30 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/24	Houston vs Rice	-17.5	52.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/30	Houston vs Tulane	-5.0	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/7	Houston at Memphis	+1.5	57.5	W 33 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Houston at Navy	-3.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Houston vs South Florida	-17.0	59.0	W 42 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/5	Houston at SMU	+3.5	66.0	L 63 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/12	Houston vs Temple	-20.0	56.0	W 43 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Houston at East Carolina	+6.0	66.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Houston vs Tulsa	-13.0	66.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/23	Houston vs Louisiana	-5.5	56.5	W 23 - 16	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA	.14	43%	23.2	42%	2.91	192	44%	250	3.51	.17	41%	28.9	44%	39%	3.75	71.5	1.8	1.4
HOU	.23	43%	29.1	39%	2.8	143	46%	272	4.45	.06	35%	22.8	37%	33%	3.35	61.4	1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Offense	13	23.2	19	42.9%	3.51	1.8	23	442	192	250	4.6	54%	46%	42%	44%	20%	.14
HOU Defense	14	22.8	24.2	35.1%	3.35	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	37%	33%	21%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TLSA Defense	13	28.9	30.7	41.2%	3.75	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	44%	39%	20%	.17
HOU Offense	14	29.1	25.7	42.8%	4.45	1	22	415	143	272	3.9	48%	52%	39%	46%	17%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulsa	13	30:51	22.6	39%	47%	7.5	71.5	1.8	1.4	5.6	1.9	2	27.7
Houston	14	33:35	21.6	42%	68%	6.5	61.4	1	1.8	7.1	3.2	6	33.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense	13	54%	42%	42.2	192	4.6	20	.08	2.91	62%	12%	0.84
HOU Defense	14	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.65	63%	14%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.89	72%	12%	0.97
HOU Offense	14	48%	39%	36.8	143.1	3.9	27	.12	2.8	68%	12%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense	13	46%	44%	18.7	31.5	250.3	7.9	13.4	18	16	.22	1.5	29%	32%	.25	9%	1.8
HOU Defense	14	54%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.06	1.6	35%	24%	.18	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.21	1.7	33%	31%	.37	7%	2.2
HOU Offense	14	52%	46%	21.9	32.8	271.6	8.3	12.4	32	12	.34	1.6	32%	34%	.54	5%	2.4

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1 #88
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #44
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: Houston: 4.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: -6.1 Houston: 4.5

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 4.75 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2022 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #57
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #9
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #113

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 29
Tulsa 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/26	Houston	30	Tulsa	37	Houston -13	Tulsa	66.5	Over
2021	10/01	Tulsa	10	Houston	45	Tulsa -3	Houston	54.0	Over
2019	11/23	Tulsa	14	Houston	24	Tulsa -5	Houston	57.5	Under
2018	10/04	Houston	41	Tulsa	26	Houston -17.5	Tulsa	71.5	Under
2017	10/14	Tulsa	45	Houston	17	Houston -13.5	Tulsa	63.5	Under
2016	10/15	Houston	38	Tulsa	31	Houston -23.5	Tulsa	68.0	Over
2015	10/03	Tulsa	24	Houston	38	Houston -9.5	Houston	80.0	Under
2014	11/22	Houston	38	Tulsa	28	Houston -21	Tulsa	0
2012	11/10	Houston	7	Tulsa	41
2011	11/25	Tulsa	16	Houston	48
2010	11/13	Houston	25	Tulsa	28
2009	11/07	Tulsa	45	Houston	46
2008	11/15	Houston	70	Tulsa	30
2007	11/10	Tulsa	56	Houston	7
2006	11/04	Houston	27	Tulsa	10
2005	10/01	Tulsa	23	Houston	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	11	3	3 Overs
Tulsa	5	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 9	1 - 7	0 - 6	1 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 7	7 - 1	1 - 1	6 - 0

(#) TLSA at (#) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TLSA	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#57
Perf GradeGrade	#88	#13
OffenseOff	#78	#17
DefenseDef	#88	#24
Spec TeamsST	#99	#39
TalentTal	#84	#58
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Tulsa Injury Report

Houston Injury Report

Tulsa on Offense


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#78	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tulsa Run Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#77	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Tulsa Pass Game


CategoryCat	TLSA Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#105	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	TLSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#107	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#121

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#2	#123
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Houston -13.0 (66.5)
Tulsa won at Houston this year (37-30)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Luke Olson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD