Houston at Tulsa - 2021 Matchup Preview
Houston logo   Houston Cougars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Friday, October 1st 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulsa -3 (54.0)
Houston 45 - Tulsa: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA 2nd straight Home Game
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
HOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ HOU -5)
Projected Score: HOU: 29 - TLSA: 23 (52)
TLSA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
HOU Travel: 445 miles
Golden Hurricane (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (31 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Houston vs Texas Tech-2.563.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/11 Houston at Rice-7.550.0W 44 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Houston vs Grambling-41.051.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Houston vs Navy-20.047.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 10/1 Houston at Tulsa+3.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Thu 10/7 Houston at Tulane-6.560.0W 40 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Houston vs East Carolina-13.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Houston vs SMU+1.061.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 11/6 Houston at South Florida-13.553.0W 54 - 42ON
Sat 11/13 Houston at Temple-26.052.5W 37 - 8UY
Fri 11/19 Houston vs Memphis-9.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/27 Houston at UConn-32.054.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 12/4 Houston at Cincinnati+10.552.5L 20 - 35ON
Tue 12/28 Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Tulsa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tulsa vs UC Davis-22.054.5L 17 - 19UN
Sat 9/11 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+11.551.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 9/18 Tulsa at Ohio State+24.560.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 9/25 Tulsa vs Arkansas State-14.565.0W 41 - 34ON
Fri 10/1 Tulsa vs Houston-3.054.0L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/9 Tulsa vs Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 29OY
Sat 10/16 Tulsa at South Florida-7.556.0W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/29 Tulsa vs Navy-11.046.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/6 Tulsa at Cincinnati+22.556.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/13 Tulsa at Tulane-3.055.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/20 Tulsa vs Temple-22.050.5W 44 - 10OY
Sat 11/27 Tulsa at SMU+6.063.0W 34 - 31OY
Mon 12/20 Tulsa vs Old Dominion-7.555.0W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.1642%29.142%2.9714343%2663.5.2141%22.839%42%3.6266.420.8
TLSA.1241%23.242%2.9415840%2533.34.0336%28.936%36%2.7781.821.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense829.13142.4%3.52234081432663.947%53%42%43%17%.16
TLSA Defense928.927.236%2.771.8 - - - - - 53%47%36%36%19%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense822.819.540.7%3.620.8 - - - - - 52%48%39%42%18%.21
TLSA Offense923.227.340.9%3.34222410158253450%49%42%40%17%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston831:1322.640%74%7.566.420.87.43228.7
Tulsa928:2222.141%53%981.821.87.42.4230.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense847%42%36.5142.53.912.092.9771%10%0.93
TLSA Defense953%36% - - - - -.042.769%13%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense852%39% - - - - .132.5666%12%1.2
TLSA Offense950%42%39.4157.6413.032.9463%10%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense853%43%21.937.1265.87.212.21510.221.634%36%.46%1.9
TLSA Defense947%36% - - - - - - 6.111.434%24%.076%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense848%42% - - - - - - 3.31.734%30%.246%2
TLSA Offense949%40%19.234252.77.413.11511.211.732%33%.387%2.2

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    Tulsa: 5.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 10.9   Tulsa: 5.8




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 5.4 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #61
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #67
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 29
Tulsa 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26Houston30Tulsa37Houston -13Tulsa66.5Over
202110/01Tulsa10Houston45Tulsa -3Houston54.0Over
201911/23Tulsa14Houston24Tulsa -5Houston57.5Under
201810/04Houston41Tulsa26Houston -17.5Tulsa71.5Under
201710/14Tulsa45Houston17Houston -13.5Tulsa63.5Under
201610/15Houston38Tulsa31Houston -23.5Tulsa68.0Over
201510/03Tulsa24Houston38Houston -9.5Houston80.0Under
201411/22Houston38Tulsa28Houston -21Tulsa0
201211/10Houston7Tulsa41
201111/25Tulsa16Houston48
201011/13Houston25Tulsa28
200911/07Tulsa45Houston46
200811/15Houston70Tulsa30
200711/10Tulsa56Houston7
200611/04Houston27Tulsa10
200510/01Tulsa23Houston30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa553 Overs
Houston1134 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 91 - 70 - 61 - 1
Road Teams9 - 77 - 11 - 16 - 0

(#) HOU at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #61
Perf GradeGrade #5 #47
OffenseOff #28 #63
DefenseDef #6 #23
Spec TeamsST #30 #136
TalentTal #66 #84
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #23
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #90 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #5 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #28
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #63 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #65 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #40 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Tulsa -3.0 (54.0)
Houston won at Tulsa this year (45-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD