Houston at Kansas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars vs Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -4.5 (45.5) (-192)  Open: -8.5
Kansas 42 - Houston: 14  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
HOU coming off BYE
KU coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas -12.5   (SP+ KU -13)

Projected Score: HOU: 17 - KU: 29 (46)
KU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 639 miles
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Houston vs UNLV-3.056.0L 7 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 Houston at Oklahoma+27.548.5L 12 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Houston vs Rice-3.543.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Houston at Cincinnati+4.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/28 Houston vs Iowa State+16.043.0L 0 - 20UN
Fri 10/4 Houston at TCU+16.552.0W 30 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Houston vs Kansas+4.545.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/26 Houston vs Utah+4.536.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 Houston vs Kansas State+12.546.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Houston at Arizona+1.046.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Houston vs Baylor+7.051.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Houston at BYU+9.539.5L 18 - 30ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Kansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Kansas vs Lindenwood-48.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas at Illinois-4.558.5L 17 - 23UN
Fri 9/13 Kansas vs UNLV-7.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/21 Kansas at West Virginia+1.556.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 9/28 Kansas vs TCU-1.558.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Kansas at Arizona State+2.550.0L 31 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas vs Houston-4.545.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas at Kansas State+10.056.5L 27 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kansas vs Iowa State+2.550.5W 45 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 Kansas at BYU+3.055.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Kansas vs Colorado+2.559.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas at Baylor-2.562.5L 17 - 45UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 9, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)29.749% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)2646% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense121412.635.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-
KU Defense12262644.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1222.925.239.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
KU Offense1229.729.748.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -5.97   Kansas: 5.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.2   Kansas: 4.9




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 29
Houston 17


Total Points: 46

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Kansas42Houston14KansasKansas -4.5Kansas45.5Over
202209/17Houston30Kansas48KansasHouston -8.5Kansas58.0Over
200512/23Houston13Kansas42Kansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas322 Overs
Houston000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#86) Houston Info
Power Rating: -5.97 #86
Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Houston has won 1 straight
Houston has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Houston Notes
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome

Houston Highlights
Houston Front 7 is disruptive (#69)

Houston Deficiencies
Houston has a really bad Offense
Houston has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Houston has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Houston Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Houston throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston offense is not Explosive (#16)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston pass game is really bad (#98)
Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKUHOU
OverallOver#24#90
OffenseOff#8#104
DefenseDef#75#79
Special TeamsST#8#89
PassingPass#41#103
RushingRush#11#100
Run BlockRBLK#6#78
Pass BlockPBLK#14#42
Route RunningWR Rt#41#99
TacklingTkl#87#64
Run DefenseR Def#75#59
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#111
Coverage DefCov#70#75

Rematch from Week 8
Kansas -4.5 (45.5)
Kansas won vs Houston this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Houston last year (42-14)
Kansas beat Houston in 2022 (48-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | KU
Depth Chart: HOU | KU
Rosters: HOU | KU
(#41) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Kansas has lost 5 straight
Kansas has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas Notes
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth

Kansas Highlights
Kansas has Really Good Running Game (#60)
Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas offense is good in red zone (#34)
Kansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas commits very few Penalties (#67)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#128)
Kansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#18)
Kansas has a bad defensive line (#33)


  
Houston's OC Kevin Barbay
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith8713365%867486.5
Zeon Chriss (Tr)8313064%824486.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss (Tr)11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
J'Marion Burnette4318204.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
Mekhi Mews (Tr)2925318.757
Maliq Carr (Tr)1918619.823

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jamal Morris635100
Kentrell Webb (Tr)541003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Cooper Jr.469472
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
Brandon Mack395320
Anthony Holmes Jr.359350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)244004
Ajani Carter221103

Kansas's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Sevion Morrison2716426.138
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Devin Neal24254110.651

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC Brian Borland
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown7410552
Dean Miller3210543
Marvin Grant594316
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316