East Carolina at Houston - 2021 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Houston Cougars  Houston logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Houston -13.5 (56.0)
Houston 31 - East Carolina: 24  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU coming off BYE
HOU coming off BYE
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ HOU -10)
Projected Score: ECU: 28 - HOU: 24 (52)
HOU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ECU Travel: 1120 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 East Carolina at App State+9.055.5L 19 - 33UN
Sat 9/11 East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.056.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/18 East Carolina at Marshall+11.058.5W 42 - 38OY
Sat 9/25 East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.559.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.065.0W 52 - 29OY
Sat 10/9 East Carolina at UCF+10.065.0L 16 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 East Carolina at Houston+13.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/28 East Carolina vs South Florida-9.555.5W 29 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 East Carolina vs Temple-15.552.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 East Carolina at Memphis+4.058.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 11/20 East Carolina at Navy-3.546.0W 38 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.556.5L 13 - 35UN
Mon 12/27 East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Houston's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Houston vs Texas Tech-2.563.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/11 Houston at Rice-7.550.0W 44 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Houston vs Grambling-41.051.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Houston vs Navy-20.047.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 10/1 Houston at Tulsa+3.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Thu 10/7 Houston at Tulane-6.560.0W 40 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Houston vs East Carolina-13.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Houston vs SMU+1.061.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 11/6 Houston at South Florida-13.553.0W 54 - 42ON
Sat 11/13 Houston at Temple-26.052.5W 37 - 8UY
Fri 11/19 Houston vs Memphis-9.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/27 Houston at UConn-32.054.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 12/4 Houston at Cincinnati+10.552.5L 20 - 35ON
Tue 12/28 Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1239%32.738%2.6617440%2303.29.1944%20.140%49%3.9358.22.22.2
HOU.1642%29.142%2.9714343%2663.5.2141%22.839%42%3.6266.420.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense932.730.838.9%3.292.2224041742304.349%51%38%40%21%.12
HOU Defense822.824.240.7%3.620.8 - - - - - 52%48%39%42%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense920.120.844.3%3.932.2 - - - - - 52%47%40%49%15%.19
HOU Offense829.125.742.4%3.52234081432663.947%53%42%43%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina931:032233%56%6.358.22.22.25.11.4329.1
Houston831:1322.640%74%7.566.420.87.43228.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense949%38%40.1173.64.311.042.6661%13%1.04
HOU Defense852%39% - - - - .132.5666%12%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense952%40% - - - - .112.8559%9%1.18
HOU Offense847%42%36.5142.53.912.092.9771%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense951%40%19.632.6230.17.111.8199.191.631%27%.28%2.1
HOU Defense848%42% - - - - - - 3.31.734%30%.246%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense947%49% - - - - - - 10.271.429%34%.366%1.9
HOU Offense853%43%21.937.1265.87.212.21510.221.634%36%.46%1.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5  #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Houston: 7.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.5   Houston: 10.9




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 7.95 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 28
Houston 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/19East Carolina3Houston42East Carolina -6Houston66.5Under
202110/23Houston31East Carolina24Houston -13.5East Carolina56.0Under
201810/13East Carolina20Houston42Houston -16Houston69.5Under
201711/04Houston52East Carolina27Houston -23.5Houston62.5Over
201211/03East Carolina48Houston28
201110/08Houston56East Carolina3
200912/05East Carolina38Houston32
200809/27East Carolina24Houston41
200709/29Houston35East Carolina37
200411/06Houston34East Carolina24
200309/30East Carolina13Houston27
200211/09Houston48East Carolina54
200011/10East Carolina62Houston20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston831 Overs
East Carolina513 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 61 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams6 - 73 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #31
Perf GradeGrade #104 #5
OffenseOff #103 #28
DefenseDef #87 #6
Spec TeamsST #122 #30
TalentTal #76 #66
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #96 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #78 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #87
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffECU Def
Run GameRun #90 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #5 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Houston -13.5 (56.0)
Houston won vs East Carolina this year (31-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD