Oklahoma State at Houston - 2026 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium - Houston, TX

 
Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#131)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Houston -17.5  (SP+ HOU -23)
Projected Score: OKST: 16 - HOU: 34 (50)
HOU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
OKST Travel: 454 miles
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Oklahoma State at Tulsa+3.5
Sat 9/12 Oklahoma State vs Oregon+31.5
Sat 9/19 Oklahoma State vs Murray State-15.5
Sat 9/26 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Oklahoma State vs UCF+3.5
Sat 10/17 Oklahoma State at Houston+17.5
Sat 10/24 Oklahoma State vs Colorado-2
Sat 10/31 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+15
Sat 11/7 Oklahoma State at Kansas State+17
Sat 11/14 Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech+32.5
Sat 11/21 Oklahoma State at Arizona State+14.5
Sat 11/28 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Houston's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Houston vs Oregon State-24.5
Sat 9/12 Houston vs Southern-30
Sat 9/19 Houston at Texas Tech+22.5
Sat 9/26 Houston at Georgia Southern-14.5
Sat 10/3 Houston vs UCF-11.5
Sat 10/10 Houston at Kansas State+2.5
Sat 10/17 Houston vs Oklahoma State-17.5
Sat 10/24 Houston at Utah+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Houston vs Cincinnati-5.5
Sat 11/14 Houston at Colorado-12
Sat 11/21 Houston at West Virginia-6.5
Sat 11/28 Houston vs Baylor-7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#133 (.01)35% (129)14.236% (128)2.59 (127)11835% (126)1742.96 (125)#130 (.28)45% (109)33.343% (76)48% (130)4 (100)47.31.41.1
HOU#102 (.12)42% (74)29.140% (99)2.61 (125)17945% (35)2163.55 (83)#44 (.11)42% (65)22.846% (104)38% (35)3.91 (94)40.11.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1214.210.235.4%2.961.4162931181743.547%52%36%35%19%.01
HOU Defense1322.824.241.5%3.911.4 - - - - - 49%49%46%38%16%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1233.341.444.8%41.1 - - - - - 52%46%43%48%15%.28
HOU Offense1329.125.741.9%3.551.1223951792164.357%42%40%45%13%.12

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1228:5215.635%40%5.347.31.41.15.61.8125.8
Houston1332:1822.141%59%4.640.11.11.44.72.2230.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1247% (94)36% (128)33.6118.43.510 (107)-.04 (134)2.59 (127)69% (87)11% (116)0.89 (100)
HOU Defense1349% (55)46% (104) - - - - .05 (41)2.7 (32)76% (104)9% (84)0.78 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1252% (102)43% (76) - - - - .16 (99)2.98 (86)67% (39)10% (46)1.07 (118)
HOU Offense1357% (17)40% (99)41.9178.64.317 (78)-.03 (132)2.61 (125)73% (61)8% (40)0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1252% (43)35% (126)17.530.4174.15.7107 (128)10 (60).07 (128)1.4 (126)36% (133)23% (131).15 (122)8% (121)2 (80)
HOU Defense1349% (80)38% (35) - - - - - - 12 (38).21 (56)1.5 (53)32% (60)25% (14).23 (46)7% (28)2.1 (100)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1246% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 6 (100).44 (133)1.7 (112)30% (103)31% (89).37 (106)5% (118)2 (56)
HOU Offense1342% (118)45% (35)18.629216.47.511.626 (50)10 (20).35 (35)1.7 (16)30% (43)27% (105).21 (101)5% (33)2 (79)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -1.35  #65
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 12.19  #60
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 18.54  #75
2026 Talent Rating: 806.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Oklahoma State's 2026 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Oklahoma State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.2  #131
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #100

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -1.35   Houston: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -15.1   Houston: 7.4




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 9.04  #40
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.90  #43
Houston's Defense Rating: 13.22  #39
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #46
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4  #40
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 34
Oklahoma State 16

Projected Total Points: 50
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Oklahoma State17Houston39Houston -14.5Houston47.5Over
202311/18Houston30Oklahoma State43Oklahoma State -6.5Oklahoma State56.5Over
200909/12Oklahoma State35Houston45
200809/06Oklahoma State56Houston37
200609/23Houston34Oklahoma State25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston312 Overs
Oklahoma State210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 30 - 20 - 00 - 2
Road Teams3 - 22 - 02 - 00 - 0

(#65) OKST at (#40) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOKSTHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #65 #40
SP+SP+ #121 #40
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #54 #52
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #46
Oklahoma State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #129 #65
ExplosiveExp #116 #9
PPAPPA #133 #44
PowerPwr #60 #39
SP+SP+ #131 #46
Pts POPPO #125 #94
HavocHav #125 #58
Oklahoma State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #128 #104
Run ExplRExp #100 #5
PPAExp #134 #41
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #127 #32
Stuff RateStuff #89 #54
TackleTak - NR
Oklahoma State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
OKST OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #126 #35
Pass ExplPExl #126 #53
PPAExp #128 #56
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #116 #84
DB HavocDB #121 #28
Houston on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatHOU OffOKST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #74 #109
ExplosiveExp #85 #124
PPAPPA #102 #130
PowerPwr #43 #75
SP+SP+ #44 #100
Pts POPPO #83 #100
HavocHav #36 #86
Houston Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
HOU OffOKST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #76
Run ExplRExp #130 #118
PPAExp #132 #99
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #125 #86
Stuff RateStuff #108 #46
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatHOU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #35 #130
Pass ExplPExl #16 #112
PPAExp #35 #133
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #40 #46
DB HavocDB #33 #118
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Houston beat Oklahoma State last year (39-17)
Oklahoma State beat Houston in 2023 (43-30)

  
OKST's OC Sean Brophy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)31946569%43693499.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Hawkins (Tr)2311424256.251
Chris Barnes (Tr)13143011.078
Ayo Adeyi (Tr)2412005.024
Drew Mestemaker (Tr)578951.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Wyatt Young (Tr)7012641018.184
Miles Coleman (Tr)47550211.759
Chris Barnes (Tr)39547314.070
Israel Polk (Tr)33525815.975

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Skyler Cassity (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Wesloski (Tr)1139260
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)843011
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keviyan Huddleston (Tr)3110510
Malik Charles283310
Billy Walton III (Tr)62200
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Hammonds (Tr)545123
Maurion Horn (Tr)40003
Christian Bodnar (Tr)442212

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Weigman23235665%27052597.6
Luke Carney (Tr)5771%22003.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Conner Weigman170703114.150
DJ Butler6830104.415
Makhi Hughes (Tr)177004.119
Luke Carney (Tr)102812.818
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Amare Thomas679661214.464
Trent Walker (Tr)68823212.143
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)27344512.745
Koby Young12191015.943

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kentrell Webb713004
Jaden Yates (Tr)552100
Sione Fotu531120
Jordan Allen482102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Mack326510
Khalil Laufau343221
Latreveon McCutchin373142
Carmycah Glass241122
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Javion White (Tr)444006
Will James394005
Kentrell Webb713004