Houston at San Diego State - 2016 Matchup Preview
Houston logo (#21)Houston Cougars vs San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State logo
Saturday, December 17th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Houston -3 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
San Diego State 34 - Houston: 10  (LAS VEGAS BOWL PRESENTED BY GEICO)

 
Cougars (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (41 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ SDSU -1)

Projected Score: HOU: 25 - SDSU: 30 (55)
HOU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
HOU Travel: 1220 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Aztecs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (40 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Houston vs Oklahoma+10.065.5W 33 - 23UY
Sat 9/10 Houston vs Lamar-48.0
Thu 9/15 Houston at Cincinnati-7.563.0W 40 - 16UY
Sat 9/24 Houston at Texas State-33.063.5W 64 - 3OY
Thu 9/29 Houston vs UConn-24.549.0W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/8 Houston at Navy-17.052.0L 40 - 46ON
Sat 10/15 Houston vs Tulsa-23.568.0W 38 - 31ON
Sat 10/22 Houston at SMU-24.060.0L 16 - 38UN
Sat 10/29 Houston vs UCF-12.559.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12 Houston vs Tulane-22.049.0W 30 - 18UN
Thu 11/17 Houston vs Louisville+16.068.0W 36 - 10UY
Fri 11/25 Houston at Memphis-3.060.5L 44 - 48ON
Sat 12/17 Houston vs San Diego State-3.051.0L 10 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
San Diego State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 San Diego State vs New Hampshire-34.0
Sat 9/10 San Diego State vs California-7.059.5W 45 - 40ON
Sat 9/17 San Diego State at Northern Illinois-8.048.0W 42 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 San Diego State at South Alabama-17.549.0L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/8 San Diego State vs UNLV-17.553.5W 26 - 7UY
Fri 10/14 San Diego State at Fresno State-17.551.0W 17 - 3UN
Fri 10/21 San Diego State vs San José State-22.548.0W 42 - 3UY
Fri 10/28 San Diego State at Utah State-3.045.0W 40 - 13OY
Sat 11/5 San Diego State vs Hawai'i-19.550.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 11/12 San Diego State at Nevada-20.550.5W 46 - 16OY
Sat 11/19 San Diego State at Wyoming-7.554.5L 33 - 34ON
Sat 11/26 San Diego State vs Colorado State-12.553.5L 31 - 63ON
Sat 12/3 San Diego State at Wyoming-7.057.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 12/17 San Diego State vs Houston+3.051.0W 34 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San Diego State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.1845%35.842%2.6514746%2963.77.0738%23.535%38%3.642.61.91.4
SDSU.2245%35.244%2.8426342%1453.91.0737%20.237%36%3.2660.21.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
SDSU#108 (.12)37% (120)37% (124)3 (78)12938% (109)2063.44 (107)#103 (.23)46% (113)49% (117)43% (98)4.28 (111)81.80.81



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1335.840.845%3.771.9244431472963.446%53%42%46%16%.18
SDSU Defense1420.222.637.1%3.262.1 - - - - - 48%51%37%36%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1323.530.237.6%3.61.4 - - - - - 47%50%35%38%21%.07
SDSU Offense1435.239.845.1%3.911.1204072631455.866%31%44%42%15%.22

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1333:032447%63%4.542.61.91.47.83335.4
San Diego State1431:2219.940%46%760.21.12.15.42.7833.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1346%42%43.2147.13.429.072.6565%11%0.94
SDSU Defense1448%37% - - - - -2.576%9%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1347%35% - - - - -.022.2670%14%1
SDSU Offense1466%44%45.4262.95.834.212.8482%12%1.16

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1353%46%27.140.2296.37.410.92415.291.634%38%.375%1.7
SDSU Defense1451%36% - - - - - - 27.151.736%28%.199%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 7.181.738%28%.197%1.9
SDSU Offense1431%42%11.118.3144.57.913.1206.281.631%34%.294%1.6

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2016 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #39
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #56
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    San Diego State: 5.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 10.1   San Diego State: 11.4




San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: 5.7 NR
San Diego State's Offense Rating: NR
San Diego State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San Diego State's 2016 Expected Record: -
San Diego State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #31
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #50
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.5  #29

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Houston Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Houston's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
San Diego State 30
Houston 25


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
San Diego State 28
Houston 19

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
San Diego State 32
Houston 30

Total Points: 62
San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 35.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.6

San Diego State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/17San Diego State34Houston10Houston -3San Diego State51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San Diego State110 Overs
Houston001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

Houston Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Vegas Bowl Houston vs San Diego State-3.051.0L 10 - 34
2015N/A Houston vs Florida State+6.5W 38 - 24
2014Forces Bowl Houston vs Pittsburgh+5.554.0W 35 - 34
2013Compass Bowl Houston vs Vanderbilt+1.553.0L 24 - 41
2011Ticketcity Bowl Houston vs Penn State  W 30 - 14
San Diego State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Vegas Bowl San Diego State vs Houston+3.051.0W 34 - 10
2015I Bowl San Diego State vs Cincinnati+2.5W 42 - 7
2014Poinsettia Bowl San Diego State vs Navy-3.551.0L 16 - 17
2013Potato Bowl San Diego State vs Buffalo+1.049.5W 49 - 24
2012Poinsettia Bowl San Diego State vs BYU  L 6 - 23
2011Orleans Bowl San Diego State vs Louisiana  L 30 - 32
2010Poinsettia Bowl San Diego State vs Navy  W 35 - 14
  
(#) HOU at (#) SDSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUSDSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #31
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #52 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffSDSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffSDSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffSDSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
San Diego State on Offense
CategoryCatSDSU OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #50 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San Diego State Run Game
CategoryCat
SDSU OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
San Diego State Pass Game
CategoryCatSDSU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SDSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sam Boyd Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 46° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Houston 3.0 (51.0)
San Diego State won vs Houston this year (34-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
HOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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HOU's DC ()
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SDSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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SDSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD