Houston at Cincinnati - 2021 Matchup Preview
Houston logo   Houston Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats  Cincinnati logo
Saturday, December 4th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
Cincinnati -10.5 (52.5)
Cincinnati 35 - Houston: 20  (American Athletic)

 
Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU 2nd straight Road Game
CIN is playing their 10th straight game
HOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ CIN -10)
Projected Score: HOU: 26 - CIN: 27 (53)
CIN Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
HOU Travel: 895 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Houston vs Texas Tech-2.563.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/11 Houston at Rice-7.550.0W 44 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Houston vs Grambling-41.051.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Houston vs Navy-20.047.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 10/1 Houston at Tulsa+3.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Thu 10/7 Houston at Tulane-6.560.0W 40 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Houston vs East Carolina-13.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Houston vs SMU+1.061.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 11/6 Houston at South Florida-13.553.0W 54 - 42ON
Sat 11/13 Houston at Temple-26.052.5W 37 - 8UY
Fri 11/19 Houston vs Memphis-9.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/27 Houston at UConn-32.054.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 12/4 Houston at Cincinnati+10.552.5L 20 - 35ON
Tue 12/28 Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-22.549.0W 49 - 14OY
Sat 9/11 Cincinnati vs Murray State-36.551.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 Cincinnati at Indiana-4.050.0W 38 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Cincinnati at Notre Dame-2.550.0W 24 - 13UY
Fri 10/8 Cincinnati vs Temple-30.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/16 Cincinnati vs UCF-21.556.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 10/23 Cincinnati at Navy-28.549.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Cincinnati at Tulane-27.561.5W 31 - 12UN
Sat 11/6 Cincinnati vs Tulsa-22.556.0W 28 - 20UN
Fri 11/12 Cincinnati at South Florida-24.558.5W 45 - 28ON
Sat 11/20 Cincinnati vs SMU-9.565.5W 48 - 14UY
Fri 11/26 Cincinnati at East Carolina-14.556.5W 35 - 13UY
Sat 12/4 Cincinnati vs Houston-10.552.5W 35 - 20OY
Fri 12/31 Cincinnati vs Alabama+13.057.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.1642%29.142%2.9714343%2663.5.2141%22.839%42%3.6266.420.8
CIN.2546%30.342%2.8821351%2394.01.0134%25.638%31%1.9876.21.62
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense829.13142.4%3.52234081432663.947%53%42%43%17%.16
CIN Defense1025.619.634.2%1.982 - - - - - 46%54%38%31%20%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense822.819.540.7%3.620.8 - - - - - 52%48%39%42%18%.21
CIN Offense1030.334.446.2%4.011.6224512132395.653%47%42%51%16%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston831:1322.640%74%7.566.420.87.43228.7
Cincinnati1032:0021.945%67%8.776.21.627.22.9236.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense847%42%36.5142.53.912.092.9771%10%0.93
CIN Defense1046%38% - - - - .022.5781%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense852%39% - - - - .132.5666%12%1.2
CIN Offense1053%42%38.1212.65.629.132.8860%11%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense853%43%21.937.1265.87.212.21510.221.634%36%.46%1.9
CIN Defense1054%31% - - - - - - 16-1.635%25%.148%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense848%42% - - - - - - 3.31.734%30%.246%2
CIN Offense1047%51%19.729.5238.68.112.1206.391.529%38%.435%1.8

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    Cincinnati: 13.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 10.9   Cincinnati: 21.2




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 13.1 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2  #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 27
Houston 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Cincinnati34Houston0Cincinnati -4Cincinnati47.5Under
202311/11Houston14Cincinnati24Houston -3.5Cincinnati53.5Under
202112/04Cincinnati35Houston20Cincinnati -10.5Cincinnati52.5Over
202011/07Cincinnati38Houston10Cincinnati -12.5Cincinnati51.5Under
201910/12Houston23Cincinnati38Cincinnati -10Cincinnati50.5Over
201609/15Cincinnati16Houston40Houston -7.5Houston63.0Under
201511/07Houston33Cincinnati30Houston -9Cincinnati70.5Under
201412/06Cincinnati38Houston31Cincinnati -7Push0
201311/23Houston17Cincinnati24Houston -2.5Cincinnati0
200211/16Cincinnati47Houston14
200110/20Houston28Cincinnati29
200010/06Cincinnati48Houston31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1072 Overs
Houston215 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 53 - 53 - 30 - 2
Road Teams5 - 75 - 32 - 03 - 3

(#) HOU at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #5
Perf GradeGrade #5 #11
OffenseOff #28 #32
DefenseDef #6 #5
Spec TeamsST #30 #9
TalentTal #66 #52
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #5
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffCIN Def
Run GameRun #90 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #13
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePass #5 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #4
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #8 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #13 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #81 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Cincinnati -10.5 (52.5)
Cincinnati won vs Houston this year (35-20)

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Houston in 2024 (34-0)
Cincinnati beat Houston in 2023 (24-14)

  
HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD