Houston at Kansas State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Houston Cougars at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium - Manhattan, KS

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KSU coming off BYE
HOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -2.5 (SP+ HOU -0.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 26 - KSU: 28 (54)
KSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 659 miles

Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Collin Klein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Houston vs Oregon State	-24.5
Sat 9/12	Houston vs Southern	-30
Sat 9/19	Houston at Texas Tech	+22.5
Sat 9/26	Houston at Georgia Southern	-14.5
Sat 10/3	Houston vs UCF	-11.5
Sat 10/10	Houston at Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Houston vs Oklahoma State	-17.5
Sat 10/24	Houston at Utah	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Houston vs Cincinnati	-5.5
Sat 11/14	Houston at Colorado	-12
Sat 11/21	Houston at West Virginia	-6.5
Sat 11/28	Houston vs Baylor	-7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Kansas State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Kansas State vs Nicholls	-30
Sat 9/12	Kansas State vs Washington State	-9
Sat 9/19	Kansas State vs Tulane	-11
Sat 9/26	Kansas State at Cincinnati	-0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Kansas State vs Houston	-2.5
Sat 10/17	Kansas State vs Kansas	-7.5
Sat 10/24	Kansas State at Arizona State	+0
Sat 10/31	Kansas State at Colorado	-11.5
Sat 11/7	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-17
Sat 11/14	Kansas State at TCU	+4.5
Sat 11/21	Kansas State vs Arizona	-0.5
Sat 11/28	Kansas State at Iowa State	+0.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#102 (.12)	42% (74)	29.1	40% (99)	2.61 (125)	179	45% (35)	216	3.55 (83)	#44 (.11)	42% (65)	22.8	46% (104)	38% (35)	3.91 (94)	40.1	1.1	1.4
KSU	#45 (.2)	41% (92)	29.4	41% (94)	2.82 (93)	172	41% (82)	198	4.15 (32)	#56 (.13)	39% (45)	26.7	41% (61)	38% (30)	3.45 (49)	38.3	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	13	29.1	31	41.9%	3.55	1.1	22	395	179	216	4.3	57%	42%	40%	45%	13%	.12
KSU Defense	12	26.7	27.3	39.5%	3.45	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	13	22.8	19.5	41.5%	3.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	46%	38%	16%	.11
KSU Offense	12	29.4	29.7	40.8%	4.15	1.3	17	371	172	198	5.2	51%	47%	41%	41%	18%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	13	32:18	22.1	41%	59%	4.6	40.1	1.1	1.4	4.7	2.2	2	30.6
Kansas State	12	29:00	17.2	37%	56%	4.1	38.3	1.3	2.2	6	2.3	2	30.2

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	13	57% (17)	40% (99)	41.9	178.6	4.3	17 (78)	-.03 (132)	2.61 (125)	73% (61)	8% (40)	0.8 (130)
KSU Defense	12	52% (92)	41% (61)	-	-	-	-	.12 (81)	2.73 (38)	70% (56)	10% (49)	1.12 (129)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	13	49% (55)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.05 (41)	2.7 (32)	76% (104)	9% (84)	0.78 (5)
KSU Offense	12	51% (50)	41% (94)	33.2	172.3	5.2	23 (88)	.18 (40)	2.82 (93)	67% (101)	11% (114)	1.2 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	13	42% (118)	45% (35)	18.6	29	216.4	7.5	11.6	26 (50)	10 (20)	.35 (35)	1.7 (16)	30% (43)	27% (105)	.21 (101)	5% (33)	2 (79)
KSU Defense	12	47% (55)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (38)	.15 (27)	1.6 (87)	33% (37)	28% (53)	.24 (50)	7% (38)	2.1 (95)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	13	49% (80)	38% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.21 (56)	1.5 (53)	32% (60)	25% (14)	.23 (46)	7% (28)	2.1 (100)
KSU Offense	12	47% (86)	41% (82)	17	28.5	198.3	7	11.7	18 (42)	7 (20)	.25 (65)	1.6 (39)	34% (120)	31% (65)	.28 (79)	7% (92)	1.8 (121)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 5.68 #40
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.90 #43
Houston's Defense Rating: 13.22 #39
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #40
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 5.68 Kansas State: 8.805

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.4 Kansas State: 7.0

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 8.805 #41
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 13.71 #46
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 13.10 #38
2026 Talent Rating: 838.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Kansas State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #42
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #46
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 28
Houston 26

Projected Total Points: 54

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Houston	24	Kansas State	19	Kansas State -12.5	Houston	46.5	Under
2023	10/28	Kansas State	41	Houston	0	Kansas State -17.5	Kansas State	61.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	1	0 Overs
Houston	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#40) HOU at (#41) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	KSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#40	#41
SP+SP+	#40	#42
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#52	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#56

Houston Injury Report

Kansas State Injury Report

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	KSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#74	#45
ExplosiveExp	#85	#113
PPAPPA	#102	#56
PowerPwr	#43	#38
SP+SP+	#44	#58
Pts POPPO	#83	#49
HavocHav	#36	#46

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#61
Run ExplRExp	#130	#129
PPAExp	#132	#81
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#56
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#30
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#87
PPAExp	#35	#27
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#40	#49
DB HavocDB	#33	#38

Kansas State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#92	#65
ExplosiveExp	#8	#9
PPAPPA	#45	#44
PowerPwr	#46	#39
SP+SP+	#46	#46
Pts POPPO	#32	#94
HavocHav	#108	#58

Kansas State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#94	#104
Run ExplRExp	#3	#5
PPAExp	#40	#41
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#93	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#54
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#82	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#39	#53
PPAExp	#65	#56
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#114	#84
DB HavocDB	#92	#28

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Kansas State in 2024 (24-19)
Kansas State beat Houston in 2023 (41-0)

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Conner Weigman	232	356	65%	2705	25	9	7.6
Luke Carney (Tr)	5	7	71%	22	0	0	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Conner Weigman	170	703	11	4.1	50
DJ Butler	68	301	0	4.4	15
Makhi Hughes (Tr)	17	70	0	4.1	19
Luke Carney (Tr)	10	28	1	2.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	67	966	12	14.4	64
Trent Walker (Tr)	68	823	2	12.1	43
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)	27	344	5	12.7	45
Koby Young	12	191	0	15.9	43

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kentrell Webb	71	3	0	0	4
Jaden Yates (Tr)	55	2	1	0	0
Sione Fotu	53	1	1	2	0
Jordan Allen	48	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Mack	32	6	5	1	0
Khalil Laufau	34	3	2	2	1
Latreveon McCutchin	37	3	1	4	2
Carmycah Glass	24	1	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Javion White (Tr)	44	4	6
Will James	39	4	5
Kentrell Webb	71	3	4

KSU's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	204	341	60%	2380	18	6	7.0
Linkon Cure	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joe Jackson	169	911	8	5.4	80
Rodney Fields Jr. (Tr)	124	614	1	5.0	41
Avery Johnson	109	477	8	4.4	58
Jay Harris (Tr)	42	151	2	3.6	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaron Tibbs	47	595	3	12.7	38
Brandon White (Tr)	38	399	2	10.5	46
Garrett Oakley	38	389	6	10.2	35
Joshua Manning (Tr)	29	318	2	11.0	34

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Jordan Peterson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mekhi Mason (Tr)	62	15	4	3	4
Zashon Rich	57	3	1	0	10
Koy Beasley (Tr)	40	2	0	0	6
Wesley Fair	36	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Hill (Tr)	22	12	9	6	0
Wendell Gregory (Tr)	27	12	4	7	1
Mekhi Mason (Tr)	62	15	4	3	4
Jordan Allen	16	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zashon Rich	57	3	1	0	10
Koy Beasley (Tr)	40	2	0	0	6
Ja'Son Prevard (Tr)	24	1	0	1	5