Texas Tech at Houston - 2021 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo   Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Houston Cougars  Houston logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Houston -2.5 (63.0)
Texas Tech 38 - Houston: 21

 
Red Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 14)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (37 - 13 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ HOU -1)
Projected Score: TTU: 31 - HOU: 20 (51)
HOU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TTU Travel: 466 miles
Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Texas Tech vs Houston+2.563.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Texas Tech vs Stephen F. Austin-31.551.5W 28 - 22UN
Sat 9/18 Texas Tech vs Florida International-20.554.0W 54 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 Texas Tech at Texas+9.063.0L 35 - 70ON
Sat 10/2 Texas Tech at West Virginia+7.555.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 Texas Tech vs TCU+2.560.0L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Texas Tech at Kansas-18.567.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 10/23 Texas Tech vs Kansas State+1.060.5L 24 - 25UY
Sat 10/30 Texas Tech at Oklahoma+18.567.0L 21 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Texas Tech vs Iowa State+13.055.5W 41 - 38OY
Sat 11/20 Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State+10.055.0L 0 - 23UN
Sat 11/27 Texas Tech at Baylor+14.051.5L 24 - 27UY
Tue 12/28 Texas Tech vs Mississippi State+10.058.5W 34 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Houston's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Houston vs Texas Tech-2.563.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/11 Houston at Rice-7.550.0W 44 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Houston vs Grambling-41.051.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Houston vs Navy-20.047.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 10/1 Houston at Tulsa+3.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Thu 10/7 Houston at Tulane-6.560.0W 40 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Houston vs East Carolina-13.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Houston vs SMU+1.061.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 11/6 Houston at South Florida-13.553.0W 54 - 42ON
Sat 11/13 Houston at Temple-26.052.5W 37 - 8UY
Fri 11/19 Houston vs Memphis-9.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/27 Houston at UConn-32.054.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 12/4 Houston at Cincinnati+10.552.5L 20 - 35ON
Tue 12/28 Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU.1543%39.446%2.8816440%2653.08.1944%11.345%43%4.2357.41.81
HOU.1642%29.142%2.9714343%2663.5.2141%22.839%42%3.6266.420.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1039.436.642.5%3.081.8224291642654.945%55%46%40%17%.15
HOU Defense822.824.240.7%3.620.8 - - - - - 52%48%39%42%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1011.313.444.1%4.231 - - - - - 52%48%45%43%15%.19
HOU Offense829.125.742.4%3.52234081432663.947%53%42%43%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1027:0421.537%55%6.657.41.815.81.7132.6
Houston831:1322.640%74%7.566.420.87.43228.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1045%46%33.7163.74.917.152.8869%9%0.96
HOU Defense852%39% - - - - .132.5666%12%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1052%45% - - - - .12.9871%9%0.95
HOU Offense847%42%36.5142.53.912.092.9771%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1055%40%25.739.5264.96.710.31811.171.432%31%.238%1.8
HOU Defense848%42% - - - - - - 3.31.734%30%.246%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1048%43% - - - - - - 5.291.529%31%.316%2
HOU Offense853%43%21.937.1265.87.212.21510.221.634%36%.46%1.9

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.8  #40
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #28
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech:    Houston: 5.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 9.8   Houston: 10.9




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 5.45 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.6
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.4

Texas Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 31
Houston 20


Projected Total Points: 51
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Houston11Texas Tech35Texas Tech -13.5Texas Tech51.5Under
202309/30Texas Tech49Houston28Texas Tech -8.5Texas Tech52.0Over
202209/10Texas Tech33Houston30Texas Tech -3.5Houston62.5Over
202109/04Houston21Texas Tech38Houston -2.5Texas Tech63.0Under
201809/15Texas Tech63Houston49Texas Tech -1Texas Tech68.0Over
201709/23Houston24Texas Tech27Houston -7Texas Tech68.0Under
201011/27Texas Tech35Houston20
200909/26Houston29Texas Tech28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston113 Overs
Texas Tech753 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 32 - 42 - 30 - 1
Road Teams3 - 54 - 21 - 03 - 2

(#) TTU at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #31
Perf GradeGrade #74 #5
OffenseOff #56 #28
DefenseDef #91 #6
Spec TeamsST #86 #30
TalentTal #59 #66
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
TTU OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #68 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
Texas Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
TTU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #30 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #62 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffTTU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #91
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #90 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #5 #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #118
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Houston -2.5 (63.0)
Texas Tech won at Houston this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Texas Tech beat Houston last year (35-11)
Texas Tech beat Houston in 2023 (49-28)

  
TTU's OC Sonny Cumbie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Keith Patterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD