Houston at Rice - 2023 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars at Rice OwlsRice logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Houston -7.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Rice 43 - Houston: 41

 
Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Rice -6.5   (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: HOU: 24 - RICE: 31 (55)
HOU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 4 miles
Owls (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (18 - 40)
Avg Score : 30 - 28 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Houston vs UTSA+2.559.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Houston at Rice-7.551.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 9/16 Houston vs TCU+7.564.0L 13 - 36UN
Sat 9/23 Houston vs Sam Houston-11.537.0W 38 - 7OY
Sat 9/30 Houston at Texas Tech+8.552.0L 28 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 Houston vs West Virginia+3.049.5W 41 - 39OY
Sat 10/21 Houston vs Texas+24.060.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/28 Houston at Kansas State+17.561.0L 0 - 41UN
Sat 11/4 Houston at Baylor+3.058.5W 25 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Houston vs Cincinnati-3.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Houston vs Oklahoma State+6.556.5L 30 - 43ON
Sat 11/25 Houston at UCF+15.561.5L 13 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Rice's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Rice at Texas+35.559.0L 10 - 37UY
Sat 9/9 Rice vs Houston+7.551.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 9/16 Rice vs Texas Southern-35.560.0W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Rice at South Florida-2.556.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 9/30 Rice vs East Carolina-3.547.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/7 Rice vs UConn-10.047.5L 31 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Rice at Tulsa+3.056.5W 42 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Rice vs Tulane+10.055.0L 28 - 30OY
Sat 11/4 Rice vs SMU+12.059.5L 31 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Rice at UTSA+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/18 Rice at Charlotte+0.546.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Rice vs Florida Atlantic-5.046.5W 24 - 21UN
Tue 12/26 Rice vs Texas State+3.558.5L 21 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rice's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#104 (.13)40% (97)23.739% (110)2.97 (96)11941% (75)2413.44 (100)#114 (.26)47% (126)31.547% (104)48% (130)4.26 (111)49.21.31.2
RICE#52 (.22)44% (49)29.543% (70)3.01 (87)11045% (32)2524.81 (9)#63 (.17)41% (57)28.144% (83)39% (33)3.61 (52)49.420.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
RICE#126 (.05)35% (127)36% (127)2.7 (118)11535% (121)2393.27 (119)#60 (.16)37% (11)40% (37)34% (4)3.72 (62)57.41.81



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1223.721.439.7%3.441.319360119241442%56%39%41%14%.13
RICE Defense1328.127.141.2%3.610.9 - - - - - 52%48%44%39%12%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1231.536.846.7%4.261.2 - - - - - 51%47%47%48%13%.26
RICE Offense1329.534.343.7%4.812193631102523.741%58%43%45%17%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1227:5619.236%26%5.749.21.31.251.9328.2
Rice1330:5918.838%67%5.849.420.93.81.3128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1242% (115)39% (110)29.9118.8410 (124).06 (116)2.97 (96)59% (129)9% (57)0.98 (82)
RICE Defense1352% (93)44% (83) - - - - .19 (99)3.15 (80)73% (66)7% (125)1.01 (79)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (89)47% (104) - - - - .23 (111)3.24 (101)75% (79)8% (110)1.05 (93)
RICE Offense1341% (120)43% (70)29.8110.53.721 (54).12 (86)3.01 (87)65% (118)10% (59)0.96 (89)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1256% (24)41% (75)21.733.9241.47.111.124 (41)13 (97).25 (77)1.5 (86)34% (94)25% (111).18 (107)5% (20)2.1 (56)
RICE Defense1348% (42)39% (33) - - - - - - 5 (126).21 (34)1.6 (53)33% (49)29% (44).24 (34)5% (109)2 (53)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1247% (40)48% (130) - - - - - - 9 (87).35 (108)1.5 (27)30% (98)38% (128).47 (125)4% (124)2.1 (91)
RICE Offense1358% (13)45% (32)20.633.2252.57.612.329 (18)16 (121).34 (45)1.6 (54)32% (74)32% (60).32 (71)7% (103)2.1 (47)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: -6.49   Rice: -1.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: -8.3   Rice: -8.3




Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Rice's Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Rice's Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Rice's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Rice's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Rice 31
Houston 24


Total Points: 55

Rice Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.3
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Rice's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Rice9Houston35HoustonHouston -13.5Houston38.5Over
202409/14Houston33Rice7HoustonHouston -3.5Houston43.5Under
202309/09Rice43Houston41RiceHouston -7.5Rice51.0Over
202209/24Houston34Rice27HoustonHouston -17.5Rice52.5Over
202109/11Rice7Houston44HoustonHouston -7.5Houston50.0Over
201809/01Rice27Houston45HoustonHouston -25.5Rice55.5Over
201709/16Houston38Rice3HoustonHouston -23Houston53.5Under
201309/21Rice26Houston31HoustonRice -4Houston0
201209/29Rice14Houston35Houston
201110/27Houston73Rice34Houston
201010/16Rice34Houston31Rice
200911/28Houston73Rice14Houston
200811/29Rice56Houston42Rice
200710/13Houston56Rice48Houston
200609/02Rice30Houston31Houston
200511/26Houston35Rice18Houston
200409/05Rice10Houston7Rice
200308/30Houston48Rice14Houston
200208/31Rice10Houston24Houston
200109/01Houston14Rice21Rice
200009/01Rice30Houston27Rice
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rice635 Overs
Houston1552 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 84 - 42 - 22 - 2
Road Teams8 - 134 - 42 - 22 - 2

(#97) Houston Info
Power Rating: -6.49 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20


Houston has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Houston Highlights

Houston Deficiencies
Houston Can Not Run the Ball (#32)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Houston has a bad defense (#8)
Houston has a bad defensive line (#26)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatRICEHOU
OverallOver#75#81
OffenseOff#86#65
DefenseDef#58#86
Special TeamsST#71#89
PassingPass#92#49
RushingRush#60#72
Run BlockRBLK#72#49
Pass BlockPBLK#110#39
Route RunningWR Rt#32#57
TacklingTkl#54#87
Run DefenseR Def#80#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#70#90
Coverage DefCov#37#93

Rematch from Week 2
Houston 7.5 (51.0)
Rice won vs Houston this year (43-41)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Rice last year (33-7)
Rice beat Houston in 2023 (43-41)
Houston beat Rice in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | RICE
Depth Chart: HOU | RICE
Rosters: HOU | RICE
(#57) Rice Info
Power Rating: -1.09 #57
Offense Rating: 21.53 #29
Defense Rating: 10.32 #76
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Rice has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 4 - 3 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Rice offense is good in red zone (#99)

Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice does not Sack the QB (#31)


  
Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)25539664%280022137.1
Ui Ale4850%69108.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Parker Jenkins9946434.731
Donovan Smith (Tr)13842963.135
Stacy Sneed4828215.958
Tony Mathis (Tr)4117004.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Brown61815313.453
Joseph Manjack46577612.549
Matthew Golden38404610.639
Stephon Johnson Jr.23269311.749

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Doug Belk
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy901012
Malik Robinson732021
Jamal Morris592025
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nelson Ceaser3610730
Jamaree Caldwell269700
David Ugwoegbu (Tr)416323
Anthony Holmes Jr.205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamal Morris592025
Malik Fleming (Tr)392005
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)462014

Rice's OC Marques Tuiasosopo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JT Daniels (Tr)18128763%24432178.5
AJ Padgett7111761%721866.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors12177176.457
Juma Otoviano9232643.524
Luke McCaffrey1511707.840
Ari Broussard299103.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke McCaffrey719921314.051
Dean Connors4340339.480
Boden Groen3938339.831
Landon Ransom-Goelz26380314.644

View Rice's Full Roster
Rice's DC Brian Smith
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myron Morrison683140
Plae Wyatt653125
Gabe Taylor461128
Chris Conti453110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chike Anigbogu183200
De'Braylon Carroll388250
Jonathan Jean344201
DJ Arkansas312220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre'Shon Devones382009
Gabe Taylor461128
Tyson Flowers232105