Houston at Navy - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Houston -3 (51.0)
Houston 38 - Navy: 20 (American Athletic)

Cougars (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (19 - 15)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

HOU coming off BYE
NAVY is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ HOU -11.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 27 - NAVY: 28 (55)
HOU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
HOU Travel: 1247 miles, 1 hrs behind

Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (104 - 74)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Houston at UTSA	-3.5	61.5	W 37 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Houston at Texas Tech	+3.5	62.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Houston vs Kansas	-8.5	58.0	L 30 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/24	Houston vs Rice	-17.5	52.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/30	Houston vs Tulane	-5.0	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Fri 10/7	Houston at Memphis	+1.5	57.5	W 33 - 32	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Houston at Navy	-3.0	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Houston vs South Florida	-17.0	59.0	W 42 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/5	Houston at SMU	+3.5	66.0	L 63 - 77	O	N
Sat 11/12	Houston vs Temple	-20.0	56.0	W 43 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/19	Houston at East Carolina	+6.0	66.5	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Houston vs Tulsa	-13.0	66.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/23	Houston vs Louisiana	-5.5	56.5	W 23 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Navy's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Navy vs Delaware	-13.0	48.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/10	Navy vs Memphis	+4.5	47.5	L 13 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Navy at East Carolina	+16.5	48.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Navy at Air Force	+14.0	38.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Navy vs Tulsa	+4.5	45.5	W 53 - 21	O	Y
Fri 10/14	Navy at SMU	+12.5	59.0	L 34 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Navy vs Houston	+3.0	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/29	Navy vs Temple	-14.5	41.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/5	Navy at Cincinnati	+18.5	43.5	L 10 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Navy vs Notre Dame	+17.0	40.5	L 32 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Navy at UCF	+14.5	53.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10	Navy vs Army	-2.5	32.0	L 17 - 20	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.23	43%	29.1	39%	2.8	143	46%	272	4.45	.06	35%	22.8	37%	33%	3.35	61.4	1	1.8
NAVY	.12	37%	31.5	38%	2.89	226	27%	57	3.87	.21	42%	25	41%	44%	3.87	35.2	0.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	14	29.1	31	42.8%	4.45	1	22	415	143	272	3.9	48%	52%	39%	46%	17%	.23
NAVY Defense	12	25	24.2	42.4%	3.87	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	44%	16%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	14	22.8	19.5	35.1%	3.35	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	37%	33%	21%	.06
NAVY Offense	12	31.5	38	36.6%	3.87	0.7	17	283	226	57	3.9	84%	15%	38%	27%	14%	.12

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	14	33:35	21.6	42%	68%	6.5	61.4	1	1.8	7.1	3.2	6	33.3
Navy	12	34:47	16.7	37%	69%	4.4	35.2	0.7	1.3	5.1	1.3	2	30.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	14	48%	39%	36.8	143.1	3.9	27	.12	2.8	68%	12%	1.09
NAVY Defense	12	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.68	71%	11%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	14	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.65	63%	14%	1.07
NAVY Offense	12	84%	38%	58.1	226	3.9	19	.15	2.89	78%	13%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	14	52%	46%	21.9	32.8	271.6	8.3	12.4	32	12	.34	1.6	32%	34%	.54	5%	2.4
NAVY Defense	12	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.32	1.6	32%	34%	.44	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	14	54%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.06	1.6	35%	24%	.18	7%	2.2
NAVY Offense	12	15%	27%	4	8.1	56.8	7	14.2	6	3	-.03	1.8	30%	23%	.13	1%	1.9

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2022 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #57
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #9
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #113

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: Navy: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 4.5 Navy: -7.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #233
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2022 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #94
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #106
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Navy 28
Houston 27

Projected Total Points: 55

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/22	Navy	20	Houston	38	Houston -3	Houston	51.0	Over
2021	09/25	Houston	28	Navy	20	Houston -20	Navy	47.0	Over
2020	10/24	Navy	21	Houston	37	Houston -14.5	Houston	56.0	Over
2019	11/30	Houston	41	Navy	56	Navy -9	Navy	56.5	Over
2018	10/20	Navy	36	Houston	49	Houston -11	Houston	59.5	Over
2017	11/24	Houston	24	Navy	14	Houston -6.5	Houston	55.0	Under
2016	10/08	Navy	46	Houston	40	Houston -17	Navy	52.0	Over
2015	11/27	Houston	52	Navy	31	Houston -1.5	Houston	59.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	2	3	7 Overs
Houston	6	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	3 - 5	2 - 1	1 - 4
Road Teams	4 - 4	5 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 2

(#) HOU at (#) NAVY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	NAVY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#94
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#109
OffenseOff	#17	#87
DefenseDef	#24	#121
Spec TeamsST	#39	#30
TalentTal	#58	#233
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Houston Injury Report

Navy Injury Report

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	NAVY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#107	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#42	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#2	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#24
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#128	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#117

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#136	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Houston 3.0 (51.0)
Houston won at Navy this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD