Houston at Colorado - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Folsom Field - Boulder, CO

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Houston -12 (SP+ HOU -15.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 32 - COLO: 20 (52)
HOU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
HOU Travel: 905 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Buffaloes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (16 - 21)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Houston vs Oregon State	-24.5
Sat 9/12	Houston vs Southern	-30
Sat 9/19	Houston at Texas Tech	+22.5
Sat 9/26	Houston at Georgia Southern	-14.5
Sat 10/3	Houston vs UCF	-11.5
Sat 10/10	Houston at Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Houston vs Oklahoma State	-17.5
Sat 10/24	Houston at Utah	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Houston vs Cincinnati	-5.5
Sat 11/14	Houston at Colorado	-12
Sat 11/21	Houston at West Virginia	-6.5
Sat 11/28	Houston vs Baylor	-7

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Colorado's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Colorado at Georgia Tech	+17
Sat 9/12	Colorado vs Weber State	-15.5
Sat 9/19	Colorado at Northwestern	+14
Sat 9/26	Colorado at Baylor	+12.5
Sat 10/3	Colorado vs Texas Tech	+32
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Colorado vs Utah	+22
Sat 10/24	Colorado at Oklahoma State	+2
Sat 10/31	Colorado vs Kansas State	+11.5
Sat 11/7	Colorado at Arizona State	+14
Sat 11/14	Colorado vs Houston	+12
Sat 11/21	Colorado at Cincinnati	+14
Sat 11/28	Colorado vs UCF	+3

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#102 (.12)	42% (74)	29.1	40% (99)	2.61 (125)	179	45% (35)	216	3.55 (83)	#44 (.11)	42% (65)	22.8	46% (104)	38% (35)	3.91 (94)	40.1	1.1	1.4
COLO	#99 (.12)	35% (131)	20.9	35% (131)	2.68 (116)	127	35% (122)	203	3.48 (95)	#106 (.21)	43% (87)	30.5	44% (88)	43% (78)	4.01 (102)	49.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	13	29.1	31	41.9%	3.55	1.1	22	395	179	216	4.3	57%	42%	40%	45%	13%	.12
COLO Defense	12	30.5	27	43%	4.01	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	44%	43%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	13	22.8	19.5	41.5%	3.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	46%	38%	16%	.11
COLO Offense	12	20.9	23.9	35.2%	3.48	1.4	17	329	127	203	3.6	49%	50%	35%	35%	20%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	13	32:18	22.1	41%	59%	4.6	40.1	1.1	1.4	4.7	2.2	2	30.6
Colorado	12	28:49	17.3	38%	33%	5.7	49.9	1.4	1.3	5	1.2	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	13	57% (17)	40% (99)	41.9	178.6	4.3	17 (78)	-.03 (132)	2.61 (125)	73% (61)	8% (40)	0.8 (130)
COLO Defense	12	60% (133)	44% (88)	-	-	-	-	.11 (72)	2.97 (81)	67% (37)	9% (80)	1.02 (97)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	13	49% (55)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.05 (41)	2.7 (32)	76% (104)	9% (84)	0.78 (5)
COLO Offense	12	49% (75)	35% (131)	35.3	126.7	3.6	15 (70)	.05 (103)	2.68 (116)	67% (97)	14% (133)	1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	13	42% (118)	45% (35)	18.6	29	216.4	7.5	11.6	26 (50)	10 (20)	.35 (35)	1.7 (16)	30% (43)	27% (105)	.21 (101)	5% (33)	2 (79)
COLO Defense	12	39% (4)	43% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (100)	.41 (127)	1.8 (132)	31% (77)	29% (70)	.32 (77)	6% (73)	2.2 (116)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	13	49% (80)	38% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.21 (56)	1.5 (53)	32% (60)	25% (14)	.23 (46)	7% (28)	2.1 (100)
COLO Offense	12	50% (59)	35% (122)	17.5	29.7	202.8	6.8	11.6	17 (50)	11 (88)	.22 (84)	1.8 (9)	38% (136)	30% (70)	.32 (62)	6% (72)	2.1 (27)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 5.68 #40
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.90 #43
Houston's Defense Rating: 13.22 #39
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #40
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 5.68 Colorado: -5.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.4 Colorado: -8.3

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -5.315 #83
Colorado's Offense Rating: 6.87 #89
Colorado's Defense Rating: 19.20 #80
2026 Talent Rating: 694.00 #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #25
Colorado's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Colorado's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #96
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #88

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 32
Colorado 20

Projected Total Points: 52

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/12	Houston	36	Colorado	20	Houston -4	Houston	45.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	0	0	1 Overs
Houston	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#40) HOU at (#83) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#40	#83
SP+SP+	#40	#96
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#52	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	#46	#25

Houston Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#74	#87
ExplosiveExp	#85	#111
PPAPPA	#102	#106
PowerPwr	#43	#80
SP+SP+	#44	#88
Pts POPPO	#83	#102
HavocHav	#36	#80

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#88
Run ExplRExp	#130	#97
PPAExp	#132	#72
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#57
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#78
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#132
PPAExp	#35	#127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#40	#80
DB HavocDB	#33	#73

Colorado on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#131	#65
ExplosiveExp	#4	#9
PPAPPA	#99	#44
PowerPwr	#89	#39
SP+SP+	#103	#46
Pts POPPO	#95	#94
HavocHav	#129	#58

Colorado Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#131	#104
Run ExplRExp	#27	#5
PPAExp	#103	#41
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#116	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#113	#54
TackleTak	-	NR

Colorado Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	COLO Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#53
PPAExp	#84	#56
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#133	#84
DB HavocDB	#72	#28

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Colorado last year (36-20)

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Conner Weigman	232	356	65%	2705	25	9	7.6
Luke Carney (Tr)	5	7	71%	22	0	0	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Conner Weigman	170	703	11	4.1	50
DJ Butler	68	301	0	4.4	15
Makhi Hughes (Tr)	17	70	0	4.1	19
Luke Carney (Tr)	10	28	1	2.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	67	966	12	14.4	64
Trent Walker (Tr)	68	823	2	12.1	43
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)	27	344	5	12.7	45
Koby Young	12	191	0	15.9	43

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kentrell Webb	71	3	0	0	4
Jaden Yates (Tr)	55	2	1	0	0
Sione Fotu	53	1	1	2	0
Jordan Allen	48	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Mack	32	6	5	1	0
Khalil Laufau	34	3	2	2	1
Latreveon McCutchin	37	3	1	4	2
Carmycah Glass	24	1	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Javion White (Tr)	44	4	6
Will James	39	4	5
Kentrell Webb	71	3	4

COLO's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Julian Lewis	52	94	55%	589	4	0	6.3
Colton Allen	1	1	100%	4	0	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damian Henderson II (Tr)	91	565	5	6.2	85
Jaquail Smith (Tr)	76	511	5	6.7	45
Micah Welch	96	384	4	4.0	44
Dekalon Taylor	19	83	0	4.4	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Danny Scudero (Tr)	88	1297	10	14.7	72
Kamryn Perry	43	976	6	22.7	66
Ernest Campbell (Tr)	37	755	8	20.4	75
DeAndre Moore Jr. (Tr)	38	532	4	14.0	46

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	0	7
Liona Lefau (Tr)	68	2	0	0	3
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	0	5	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Christensen (Tr)	41	11	5	10	2
Santana Hopper (Tr)	25	9	5	4	0
Vili Taufatofua (Tr)	34	7	4	7	1
Dylan Manuel (Tr)	37	7	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Justin Eaglin (Tr)	35	0	0	8
Naeten Mitchell (Tr)	92	2	0	7
Randon Fontenette (Tr)	51	7	5	6