Oregon State at Houston - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 5th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium - Houston, TX

Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach JaMarcus Shephard (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Houston -24.5 (SP+ HOU -23)
Projected Score: ORST: 12 - HOU: 37 (49)
HOU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
ORST Travel: 1834 miles, 2 hrs behind

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#29)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oregon State at Houston	+24.5
Sat 9/12	Oregon State vs Texas Tech	+39.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Houston's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Houston vs Oregon State	-24.5
Sat 9/12	Houston vs Southern	-30
Sat 9/19	Houston at Texas Tech	+22.5
Sat 9/26	Houston at Georgia Southern	-14.5
Sat 10/3	Houston vs UCF	-11.5
Sat 10/10	Houston at Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Houston vs Oklahoma State	-17.5
Sat 10/24	Houston at Utah	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Houston vs Cincinnati	-5.5
Sat 11/14	Houston at Colorado	-12
Sat 11/21	Houston at West Virginia	-6.5
Sat 11/28	Houston vs Baylor	-7

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#124 (.05)	42% (68)	17.6	44% (67)	2.82 (89)	127	42% (68)	225	2.89 (128)	#77 (.18)	38% (25)	29.4	41% (51)	36% (18)	3.41 (46)	49.9	1.7	0.8
HOU	#102 (.12)	42% (74)	29.1	40% (99)	2.61 (125)	179	45% (35)	216	3.55 (83)	#44 (.11)	42% (65)	22.8	46% (104)	38% (35)	3.91 (94)	40.1	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	17.6	11.8	42.3%	2.89	1.7	20	353	127	225	3.8	46%	52%	44%	42%	16%	.05
HOU Defense	13	22.8	24.2	41.5%	3.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	46%	38%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.4	35.2	38.3%	3.41	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	41%	36%	17%	.18
HOU Offense	13	29.1	25.7	41.9%	3.55	1.1	22	395	179	216	4.3	57%	42%	40%	45%	13%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	31:52	20.4	36%	40%	5.9	49.9	1.7	0.8	5.3	1.3	0	28.3
Houston	13	32:18	22.1	41%	59%	4.6	40.1	1.1	1.4	4.7	2.2	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	46% (98)	44% (67)	33.9	127.3	3.8	15 (60)	.01 (120)	2.82 (89)	77% (30)	9% (61)	0.73 (135)
HOU Defense	13	49% (55)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.05 (41)	2.7 (32)	76% (104)	9% (84)	0.78 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	49% (59)	41% (51)	-	-	-	-	.07 (52)	2.6 (17)	68% (43)	10% (57)	0.94 (57)
HOU Offense	13	57% (17)	40% (99)	41.9	178.6	4.3	17 (78)	-.03 (132)	2.61 (125)	73% (61)	8% (40)	0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	52% (36)	42% (68)	21.7	35.9	225.4	6.3	10.4	14 (61)	13 (127)	.11 (123)	1.3 (133)	31% (68)	28% (96)	.05 (131)	7% (110)	1.7 (134)
HOU Defense	13	49% (80)	38% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.21 (56)	1.5 (53)	32% (60)	25% (14)	.23 (46)	7% (28)	2.1 (100)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	49% (81)	36% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.31 (98)	2 (136)	33% (44)	29% (69)	.44 (126)	7% (15)	2.5 (136)
HOU Offense	13	42% (118)	45% (35)	18.6	29	216.4	7.5	11.6	26 (50)	10 (20)	.35 (35)	1.7 (16)	30% (43)	27% (105)	.21 (101)	5% (33)	2 (79)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.53 #116
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 0.49 #129
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.02 #84
2026 Talent Rating: 552.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 619.25
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.53 Houston: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -15.9 Houston: 7.4

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 9.04 #40
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.90 #43
Houston's Defense Rating: 13.22 #39
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 9.3 - 3.7
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #40
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 37
Oregon State 12

Projected Total Points: 49

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/26	Oregon State	24	Houston	27	Houston -11.5	Oregon State	48.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	1	0	1 Overs
Oregon State	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#116) ORST at (#40) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#116	#40
SP+SP+	#126	#40
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#97	#52
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#46

Oregon State Injury Report

Houston Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#68	#65
ExplosiveExp	#135	#9
PPAPPA	#124	#44
PowerPwr	#129	#39
SP+SP+	#125	#46
Pts POPPO	#128	#94
HavocHav	#89	#58

Oregon State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#104
Run ExplRExp	#135	#5
PPAExp	#120	#41
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#54
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#53
PPAExp	#123	#56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#61	#84
DB HavocDB	#110	#28

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	ORST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#74	#25
ExplosiveExp	#85	#133
PPAPPA	#102	#77
PowerPwr	#43	#84
SP+SP+	#44	#96
Pts POPPO	#83	#46
HavocHav	#36	#36

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#51
Run ExplRExp	#130	#57
PPAExp	#132	#52
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#22
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#136
PPAExp	#35	#98
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#40	#57
DB HavocDB	#33	#15

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Oregon State last year (27-24)

ORST's OC Mitch Dahlen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy	160	276	58%	1802	9	8	6.5
Brady Jones (Tr)	19	40	48%	136	1	3	3.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cornell Hatcher Jr.	52	292	2	5.6	42
AJ Newberry (Tr)	18	57	3	3.2	16
Kourdey Glass	2	7	0	3.5	7
Jake Reichle	3	6	1	2.0	3

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
D.C. Temple	17	143	2	8.4	19
Eddie Freauff	12	139	1	11.6	30
Karson Boschma	4	89	1	22.3	28
Malachi Durant	3	27	1	9.0	11

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	0	1	5
Tyree Blake	29	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Jaylen Hill	2	1	1	0	1
Malachi Durant	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	1	5
Trey Glasper	23	2	0	5
Mason White	28	1	0	2

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Conner Weigman	232	356	65%	2705	25	9	7.6
Luke Carney (Tr)	5	7	71%	22	0	0	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Conner Weigman	170	703	11	4.1	50
DJ Butler	68	301	0	4.4	15
Makhi Hughes (Tr)	17	70	0	4.1	19
Luke Carney (Tr)	10	28	1	2.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	67	966	12	14.4	64
Trent Walker (Tr)	68	823	2	12.1	43
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)	27	344	5	12.7	45
Koby Young	12	191	0	15.9	43

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kentrell Webb	71	3	0	0	4
Jaden Yates (Tr)	55	2	1	0	0
Sione Fotu	53	1	1	2	0
Jordan Allen	48	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Mack	32	6	5	1	0
Khalil Laufau	34	3	2	2	1
Latreveon McCutchin	37	3	1	4	2
Carmycah Glass	24	1	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Javion White (Tr)	44	4	6
Will James	39	4	5
Kentrell Webb	71	3	4