SMU at Houston - 2021 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars  Houston logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
SMU -1 (61.5)
Houston 44 - SMU: 37  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ HOU -2)
Projected Score: SMU: 28 - HOU: 25 (53)
SMU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SMU Travel: 231 miles
Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 SMU vs Abilene Christian-32.066.0W 56 - 9UY
Sat 9/11 SMU vs North Texas-22.575.5W 35 - 12UY
Sat 9/18 SMU at Louisiana Tech-11.065.0W 39 - 37ON
Sat 9/25 SMU at TCU+8.066.0W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/2 SMU vs South Florida-21.568.5W 41 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 SMU at Navy-13.557.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 SMU vs Tulane-14.070.5W 55 - 26OY
Sat 10/30 SMU at Houston-1.061.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 11/6 SMU at Memphis-3.572.0L 25 - 28UN
Sat 11/13 SMU vs UCF-7.061.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 11/20 SMU at Cincinnati+9.565.5L 14 - 48UN
Sat 11/27 SMU vs Tulsa-6.063.0L 31 - 34ON
Wed 12/29 SMU vs Virginia+2.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Houston's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Houston vs Texas Tech-2.563.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 9/11 Houston at Rice-7.550.0W 44 - 7OY
Sat 9/18 Houston vs Grambling-41.051.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Houston vs Navy-20.047.0W 28 - 20ON
Fri 10/1 Houston at Tulsa+3.054.0W 45 - 10OY
Thu 10/7 Houston at Tulane-6.560.0W 40 - 22OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Houston vs East Carolina-13.556.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Houston vs SMU+1.061.5W 44 - 37OY
Sat 11/6 Houston at South Florida-13.553.0W 54 - 42ON
Sat 11/13 Houston at Temple-26.052.5W 37 - 8UY
Fri 11/19 Houston vs Memphis-9.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 11/27 Houston at UConn-32.054.5W 45 - 17ON
Sat 12/4 Houston at Cincinnati+10.552.5L 20 - 35ON
Tue 12/28 Houston vs Auburn+2.051.5W 17 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.2645%32.246%3.0317844%3183.75.2443%20.543%43%4.6861.71.21.6
HOU.1642%29.142%2.9714343%2663.5.2141%22.839%42%3.6266.420.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1032.229.845.3%3.751.2254961783184.746%54%46%44%14%.26
HOU Defense822.824.240.7%3.620.8 - - - - - 52%48%39%42%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1020.522.243%4.681.6 - - - - - 53%47%43%43%18%.24
HOU Offense829.125.742.4%3.52234081432663.947%53%42%43%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1029:222547%41%6.961.71.21.67.52.5131.2
Houston831:1322.640%74%7.566.420.87.43228.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1046%46%37.6177.84.724.143.0383%9%0.98
HOU Defense852%39% - - - - .132.5666%12%1.2
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1053%43% - - - - .172.967%12%1.09
HOU Offense847%42%36.5142.53.912.092.9771%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1054%44%24.637.63188.512.9236.361.733%37%.496%2.3
HOU Defense848%42% - - - - - - 3.31.734%30%.246%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1047%43% - - - - - - 7.311.734%36%.416%2
HOU Offense853%43%21.937.1265.87.212.21510.221.634%36%.46%1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2021 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #18
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Houston: 7.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 8.9   Houston: 10.9




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 7.95 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9  #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 28
Houston 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05SMU77Houston63SMU -3.5SMU66.0Over
202110/30Houston44SMU37SMU -1Houston61.5Over
201910/24Houston31SMU34SMU -12Houston65.5Under
201811/03SMU45Houston31Houston -14SMU71.0Over
201710/07Houston35SMU22Houston -10Houston60.5Under
201610/22SMU38Houston16Houston -24SMU60.0Under
201510/08Houston49SMU28Houston -21Push70.0Over
201411/28SMU9Houston35Houston -22.5Houston0
201311/29Houston34SMU0Houston -10Houston0
201210/18SMU72Houston42
201111/19Houston37SMU7
201010/23SMU20Houston45
200910/24Houston38SMU15
200810/18SMU38Houston44
200711/04Houston38SMU28
200611/11SMU27Houston37
200511/19Houston24SMU29
200009/29Houston17SMU15
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston1254 Overs
SMU633 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 67 - 13 - 04 - 1
Road Teams6 - 121 - 71 - 40 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #31
Perf GradeGrade #40 #5
OffenseOff #43 #28
DefenseDef #73 #6
Spec TeamsST #15 #30
TalentTal #63 #66
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #43 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffHOU Def
Run GameRun #34 #11
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #102 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #61
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffHOU Def
Pass GamePass #18 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #2
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #28 #73
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffSMU Def
Run GameRun #90 #23
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #62 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePass #5 #129
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #15
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
SMU 1.0 (61.5)
Houston won vs SMU this year (44-37)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC Garrett Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Jim Leavitt (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD