Cincinnati at Houston - 2026 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats at Houston Cougars

Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium - Houston, TX (Big 12)

Bearcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#69)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

HOU coming off BYE
CIN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Houston -7.5 (SP+ HOU -3)
Projected Score: CIN: 24 - HOU: 32 (56)
HOU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 895 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (26 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 4.1 (#34)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-8
Sat 9/12	Cincinnati vs Western Carolina	-26
Sat 9/19	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-8
Sat 9/26	Cincinnati vs Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/3	Cincinnati at Arizona	+9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+0
Sat 10/24	Cincinnati vs Texas Tech	+22
Sat 10/31	Cincinnati vs Utah	+12.5
Sat 11/7	Cincinnati at Houston	+7.5
Sat 11/14	Cincinnati at Iowa State	+7
Sat 11/21	Cincinnati vs Colorado	-6.5
Sat 11/28	Cincinnati at BYU	+17

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Houston's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Houston vs Oregon State	-21
Sat 9/12	Houston vs Southern	-31.5
Sat 9/19	Houston at Texas Tech	+22
Sat 9/26	Houston at Georgia Southern	-13.5
Sat 10/3	Houston vs UCF	-6
Sat 10/10	Houston at Kansas State	+2.5
Sat 10/17	Houston vs Oklahoma State	-13
Sat 10/24	Houston at Utah	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Houston vs Cincinnati	-7.5
Sat 11/14	Houston at Colorado	-6.5
Sat 11/21	Houston at West Virginia	-5
Sat 11/28	Houston vs Baylor	-6

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#17 (.29)	46% (25)	30.3	48% (14)	3.47 (4)	177	46% (30)	230	4.6 (11)	#105 (.21)	45% (112)	25.6	47% (120)	43% (85)	3.93 (96)	65.1	1.1	0.8
HOU	#102 (.12)	42% (74)	29.1	40% (99)	2.61 (125)	179	45% (35)	216	3.55 (83)	#44 (.11)	42% (65)	22.8	46% (104)	38% (35)	3.91 (94)	40.1	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	13	30.3	30.8	46.3%	4.6	1.1	20	408	177	230	5.8	49%	48%	48%	46%	12%	.29
HOU Defense	13	22.8	24.2	41.5%	3.91	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	46%	38%	16%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	13	25.6	35.3	45.2%	3.93	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	43%	12%	.21
HOU Offense	13	29.1	25.7	41.9%	3.55	1.1	22	395	179	216	4.3	57%	42%	40%	45%	13%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	13	24:16	19.6	39%	72%	7.1	65.1	1.1	0.8	4.2	1.7	1	29.1
Houston	13	32:18	22.1	41%	59%	4.6	40.1	1.1	1.4	4.7	2.2	2	30.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	13	49% (72)	48% (14)	30.8	177.5	5.8	21 (40)	.24 (14)	3.47 (4)	76% (37)	7% (7)	1.05 (35)
HOU Defense	13	49% (55)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.05 (41)	2.7 (32)	76% (104)	9% (84)	0.78 (5)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	13	54% (114)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	.17 (106)	3.3 (126)	79% (117)	8% (116)	0.91 (43)
HOU Offense	13	57% (17)	40% (99)	41.9	178.6	4.3	17 (78)	-.03 (132)	2.61 (125)	73% (61)	8% (40)	0.8 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	13	48% (75)	46% (30)	17.2	27.9	230.2	8.2	13.4	29 (6)	6 (3)	.42 (14)	1.6 (41)	29% (38)	32% (45)	.43 (24)	5% (42)	2.2 (19)
HOU Defense	13	49% (80)	38% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (38)	.21 (56)	1.5 (53)	32% (60)	25% (14)	.23 (46)	7% (28)	2.1 (100)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	13	45% (31)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.27 (79)	1.5 (45)	28% (121)	33% (113)	.35 (98)	4% (128)	1.9 (45)
HOU Offense	13	42% (118)	45% (35)	18.6	29	216.4	7.5	11.6	26 (50)	10 (20)	.35 (35)	1.7 (16)	30% (43)	27% (105)	.21 (101)	5% (33)	2 (79)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 0.91 #75
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 14.84 #58
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 18.93 #92
2026 Talent Rating: 812.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Cincinnati's 2026 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Cincinnati's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #56
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 0.91 Houston: 10.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 4.5 Houston: 7.4

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 10.4 #46
Houston's Offense Rating: 15.17 #55
Houston's Defense Rating: 11.77 #40
2026 Talent Rating: 824.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 7.9 - 4.1
Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #40
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #44
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #46

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Houston 32
Cincinnati 24

Projected Total Points: 56

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Cincinnati	34	Houston	0	Cincinnati -4	Cincinnati	47.5	Under
2023	11/11	Houston	14	Cincinnati	24	Houston -3.5	Cincinnati	53.5	Under
2021	12/04	Cincinnati	35	Houston	20	Cincinnati -10.5	Cincinnati	52.5	Over
2020	11/07	Cincinnati	38	Houston	10	Cincinnati -12.5	Cincinnati	51.5	Under
2019	10/12	Houston	23	Cincinnati	38	Cincinnati -10	Cincinnati	50.5	Over
2016	09/15	Cincinnati	16	Houston	40	Houston -7.5	Houston	63.0	Under
2015	11/07	Houston	33	Cincinnati	30	Houston -9	Cincinnati	70.5	Under
2014	12/06	Cincinnati	38	Houston	31	Cincinnati -7	Push	0
2013	11/23	Houston	17	Cincinnati	24	Houston -2.5	Cincinnati	0
2002	11/16	Cincinnati	47	Houston	14
2001	10/20	Houston	28	Cincinnati	29
2000	10/06	Cincinnati	48	Houston	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	2	1	2 Overs
Cincinnati	10	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	3 - 5	3 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 7	5 - 3	2 - 0	3 - 3

(#75) CIN at (#46) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	HOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#75	#46
SP+SP+	#56	#40
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#59	#53
Blue ChipsBC%	#73	#53

Cincinnati Notes(2/17) Vibes: Uneven, HC ?, lot of grad & portal losses
(2/23) RB Z Perry decent, other #2 guys LY. Good stable
(2/12) New OC Dardwell was Cincy's OL coach (4 yrs)
(2/12) New DC Nate Woody was Army's DC past 6 yrs
(2/9) QB JC French is a good one, has good mobility
(2/9) WR top 4 are portals, 2 FCS, 1 G5. Solid unit though
(2/9) OL has 3 starters back but were really bad LY
(2/9) DBs built from portals, good looking G5 adds
(2/9) LB/DEs strongest unit? 6 w starting exp & prod
(2/9) Def should be decent but Off is a big step back
Cincinnati Injury Report

Houston Notes(2/17) Vibes: Great, HC Fritz cookin here, high hopes
(3/3) DBs really good, CB duo looks great, good at S
(2/6) 247 has Hou portal class #46, On3 top ten?
(2/4) HC Fritz great job 10 wins in year 2. Big jump
(2/4) OC Nagle has a lot to prove this year
(2/4) QB Weigman good, somehow back again. Depth?
(2/4) RB big ? Hughes (OU) great in '24 w Tulane
(2/4) WR duo of Thomas/Walker really good. Have depth
(2/4) OL relying on G5 jump ups. IOL solid, OT has ?
(2/4) DL has good parts, DE/LB mixed, lots of options
(2/4) Pass rush a big concern on paper, v low grades
Houston Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	HOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#25	#65
ExplosiveExp	#37	#9
PPAPPA	#17	#44
PowerPwr	#58	#40
SP+SP+	#50	#46
Pts POPPO	#11	#94
HavocHav	#12	#58

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#104
Run ExplRExp	#35	#5
PPAExp	#14	#41
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#32
Stuff RateStuff	#38	#54
TackleTak	-	NR

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#53
PPAExp	#14	#56
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#7	#84
DB HavocDB	#42	#28

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#74	#112
ExplosiveExp	#85	#17
PPAPPA	#102	#105
PowerPwr	#55	#92
SP+SP+	#44	#67
Pts POPPO	#83	#96
HavocHav	#36	#128

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	#120
Run ExplRExp	#130	#43
PPAExp	#132	#106
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#124
TackleTak	-	NR

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#35	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#45
PPAExp	#35	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#40	#116
DB HavocDB	#33	#128

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Cincinnati beat Houston in 2024 (34-0)
Cincinnati beat Houston in 2023 (24-14)

CIN's OC Nic Dardwell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	249	390	64%	2924	20	8	7.5
Liam O'Brien (Tr)	211	314	67%	2376	19	6	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zylan Perry (Tr)	138	689	8	5.0	84
Liam O'Brien (Tr)	138	548	7	4.0	25
Cole Tabb (Tr)	114	445	3	3.9	28
JC French	133	315	6	2.4	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Larenzo Fenner (Tr)	41	961	15	23.4	70
Malachi Henry (Tr)	69	889	10	12.9	56
Cade Wolford (Tr)	19	509	7	26.8	79
Isaiah Johnson	14	222	3	15.9	42

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Jasper Beeler (Tr)	74	1	1	0	2
Jonathan Thompson	67	9	1	2	0
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Filip Maciorowski (Tr)	76	6	3	0	2
Chidera Otutu (Tr)	28	3	3	0	0
Mark Cannon Jr.	57	6	2	1	1
Montay Weedon	27	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Ty Goodwill (Tr)	35	5	7
Jacob Finley (Tr)	57	1	7
KK Meier (Tr)	25	0	5

HOU's OC Slade Nagle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Conner Weigman	232	356	65%	2705	25	9	7.6
Luke Carney (Tr)	5	7	71%	22	0	0	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Conner Weigman	170	703	11	4.1	50
DJ Butler	68	301	0	4.4	15
Makhi Hughes (Tr)	17	70	0	4.1	19
Luke Carney (Tr)	10	28	1	2.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amare Thomas	67	966	12	14.4	64
Trent Walker (Tr)	68	823	2	12.1	43
Patrick Overmyer (Tr)	27	344	5	12.7	45
Koby Young	12	191	0	15.9	43

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Austin Armstrong (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kentrell Webb	71	3	0	0	4
Jaden Yates (Tr)	55	2	1	0	0
Sione Fotu	53	1	1	2	0
Jordan Allen	48	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Mack	32	6	5	1	0
Khalil Laufau	34	3	2	2	1
Latreveon McCutchin	37	3	1	4	2
Carmycah Glass	24	1	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Javion White (Tr)	44	4	6
Will James	39	4	5
Kentrell Webb	71	3	4