Oklahoma State at Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Houston Cougars

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Oklahoma State -6.5 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma State 43 - Houston: 30 (Big 12)

Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (30 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OKST 2nd straight Road Game
HOU 2nd straight Home Game
HOU is playing their 6th straight game
OKST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -7.5 (SP+ OKST -14)
Projected Score: OKST: 32 - HOU: 25 (57)
OKST Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
OKST Travel: 454 miles

Cougars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (28 - 22)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas	-25.5	59.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma State at Arizona State	-2.5	53.5	W 27 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma State vs South Alabama	-7.0	49.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+3.5	36.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+11.5	53.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	+3.0	54.0	W 39 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	+3.0	48.0	W 48 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	53.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	+6.0	61.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma State at UCF	-2.5	63.5	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma State at Houston	-6.5	56.5	W 43 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Oklahoma State vs BYU	-15.5	55.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 12/2	Oklahoma State vs Texas	+14.0	55.0	L 21 - 49	O	N
Wed 12/27	Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	56.0	W 31 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Houston vs UTSA	+2.5	59.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Houston at Rice	-7.5	51.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 9/16	Houston vs TCU	+7.5	64.0	L 13 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/23	Houston vs Sam Houston	-11.5	37.0	W 38 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Houston at Texas Tech	+8.5	52.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	Houston vs West Virginia	+3.0	49.5	W 41 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Houston vs Texas	+24.0	60.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Houston at Kansas State	+17.5	61.0	L 0 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/4	Houston at Baylor	+3.0	58.5	W 25 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Houston vs Cincinnati	-3.5	53.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Houston vs Oklahoma State	+6.5	56.5	L 30 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/25	Houston at UCF	+15.5	61.5	L 13 - 27	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	#69 (.19)	43% (53)	29.6	42% (78)	2.84 (115)	155	45% (33)	277	3.92 (63)	#116 (.26)	40% (43)	28.6	39% (33)	42% (71)	4.22 (107)	41.4	1.6	1.6
HOU	#104 (.13)	40% (97)	23.7	39% (110)	2.97 (96)	119	41% (75)	241	3.44 (100)	#114 (.26)	47% (126)	31.5	47% (104)	48% (130)	4.26 (111)	49.2	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)		35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)		40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	14	29.6	29.6	43.3%	3.92	1.6	22	432	155	277	4.8	42%	57%	42%	45%	14%	.19
HOU Defense	12	31.5	27.7	46.7%	4.26	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	47%	48%	13%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	14	28.6	31.6	40.1%	4.22	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	42%	15%	.26
HOU Offense	12	23.7	25.3	39.7%	3.44	1.3	19	360	119	241	4	42%	56%	39%	41%	14%	.13

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	14	29:56	21.6	38%	55%	5	41.4	1.6	1.6	5.7	1.8	1	30.3
Houston	12	27:56	19.2	36%	26%	5.7	49.2	1.3	1.2	5	1.9	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	14	42% (118)	42% (78)	32.1	155.2	4.8	29 (22)	.14 (78)	2.84 (115)	65% (120)	7% (9)	1.1 (22)
HOU Defense	12	51% (89)	47% (104)	-	-	-	-	.23 (111)	3.24 (101)	75% (79)	8% (110)	1.05 (93)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	14	50% (63)	39% (33)	-	-	-	-	.15 (74)	3 (49)	76% (87)	11% (48)	1.17 (123)
HOU Offense	12	42% (115)	39% (110)	29.9	118.8	4	10 (124)	.06 (116)	2.97 (96)	59% (129)	9% (57)	0.98 (82)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	14	57% (15)	45% (33)	24.6	40.7	276.5	6.8	11.3	18 (81)	16 (121)	.27 (71)	1.5 (113)	31% (55)	34% (36)	.34 (66)	7% (101)	1.9 (114)
HOU Defense	12	47% (40)	48% (130)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.35 (108)	1.5 (27)	30% (98)	38% (128)	.47 (125)	4% (124)	2.1 (91)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	14	50% (74)	42% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.4 (119)	1.9 (131)	36% (11)	28% (32)	.29 (52)	4% (127)	2.3 (122)
HOU Offense	12	56% (24)	41% (75)	21.7	33.9	241.4	7.1	11.1	24 (41)	13 (97)	.25 (77)	1.5 (86)	34% (94)	25% (111)	.18 (107)	5% (20)	2.1 (56)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -0.67 Houston: -4.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 5.9 Houston: -8.3

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Houston's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Houston's Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 32
Houston 25

Total Points: 57

Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Houston	30	Oklahoma State	43	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -6.5	Oklahoma State	56.5	Over
2009	09/12	Oklahoma State	35	Houston	45	Houston
2008	09/06	Oklahoma State	56	Houston	37	Oklahoma State
2006	09/23	Houston	34	Oklahoma State	25	Houston

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	2	0	1 Overs
Oklahoma State	2	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#67) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40

Oklahoma State has lost 1 straight
Oklahoma State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma State Highlights

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Oklahoma State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#97)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	HOU	OKST
OverallOver	#81	#48
OffenseOff	#65	#39
DefenseDef	#86	#75
Special TeamsST	#89	#16
PassingPass	#49	#40
RushingRush	#72	#23
Run BlockRBLK	#49	#78
Pass BlockPBLK	#39	#31
Route RunningWR Rt	#57	#34
TacklingTkl	#87	#69
Run DefenseR Def	#78	#73
Pass Rush DefPRush	#90	#49
Coverage DefCov	#93	#86

Rematch from Week 12
Oklahoma State 6.5 (56.5)
Oklahoma State won at Houston this year (43-30)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Houston in 2023 (43-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | HOU
Depth Chart: OKST | HOU
Rosters: OKST | HOU

(#97) Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.895 #97
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.57 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3 #95
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.5 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20

Houston has lost 1 straight
Houston has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Houston Highlights

Houston Deficiencies
Houston Can Not Run the Ball (#32)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Houston has a bad defense (#8)
Houston has a bad defensive line (#26)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)

Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)	304	501	61%	3460	15	14	6.9
Gunnar Gundy	21	34	62%	202	1	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	285	1731	21	6.1	75
Jaden Nixon	50	197	1	3.9	34
Elijah Collins (Tr)	30	142	2	4.7	26
Gunnar Gundy	15	49	1	3.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brennan Presley	100	988	6	9.9	29
Rashod Owens	63	895	5	14.2	45
Leon Johnson III (Tr)	33	539	1	16.3	67
Jaden Bray	30	382	2	12.7	45

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Kendal Daniels	105	6	2	0	1
Trey Rucker	100	4	0	0	1
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nickolas Martin	140	16	6	8	0
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)	42	7	3	1	0
Nathan Latu	31	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Collin Oliver	73	16	6	9	5
Dylahn McKinney	38	0	0	0	5
Korie Black	17	1	0	0	5

Houston's OC Dana Holgorsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith (Tr)	255	396	64%	2800	22	13	7.1
Ui Ale	4	8	50%	69	1	0	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Parker Jenkins	99	464	3	4.7	31
Donovan Smith (Tr)	138	429	6	3.1	35
Stacy Sneed	48	282	1	5.9	58
Tony Mathis (Tr)	41	170	0	4.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Brown	61	815	3	13.4	53
Joseph Manjack	46	577	6	12.5	49
Matthew Golden	38	404	6	10.6	39
Stephon Johnson Jr.	23	269	3	11.7	49

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Doug Belk

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
A.J. Haulcy	90	1	1	2
Malik Robinson	73	2	2	1
Jamal Morris	59	2	2	5
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	46	2	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nelson Ceaser	36	10	7	3	0
Jamaree Caldwell	26	9	7	0	0
David Ugwoegbu (Tr)	41	6	3	2	3
Anthony Holmes Jr.	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jamal Morris	59	2	2	5
Malik Fleming (Tr)	39	2	0	5
Isaiah Hamilton (Tr)	46	2	1	4