Houston at Oklahoma State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Houston Cougars at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Boone Pickens Stadium - Stillwater, OK (Big 12)

Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)

OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma State -0.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: HOU: 25 - OKST: 26 (50)
OKST Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
HOU Travel: 454 miles

Cowboys (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (169 - 88)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 7.2 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Houston vs Stephen F. Austin	-24
Sat 9/6	Houston at Rice	-15
Sat 9/13	Houston vs Colorado	+1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Houston at Oregon State	-1.5
Sat 10/4	Houston vs Texas Tech	+9
Sat 10/11	Houston at Oklahoma State	+0.5
Sat 10/18	Houston vs Arizona	-5.5
Sat 10/25	Houston at Arizona State	+16.5
Sat 11/1	Houston vs West Virginia	-4
Sat 11/8	Houston at UCF	+0.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Houston vs TCU	+8
Sat 11/29	Houston at Baylor	+11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Oklahoma State vs UT Martin	-22
Sat 9/6	Oklahoma State at Oregon	+30.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-19
Sat 9/27	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	+8.5
Sat 10/4	Oklahoma State at Arizona	+1.5
Sat 10/11	Oklahoma State vs Houston	-0.5
Sat 10/18	Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati	+3
Sat 10/25	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	+16
Sat 11/1	Oklahoma State at Kansas	+7.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	+14
Sat 11/22	Oklahoma State at UCF	+2.5
Sat 11/29	Oklahoma State vs Iowa State	+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)	14	35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)	22.9	40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)	27.2	43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)	35.6	47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	12	14	12.6	35.3%	2.57	2.3	15	289	137	153	3.9	57%	42%	35%	37%	21%	-
OKST Defense	12	35.6	34.8	45.6%	3.93	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	44%	15%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	12	22.9	25.2	39.6%	3.52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	18%	.14
OKST Offense	12	27.2	30.8	43.1%	4.22	1.8	20	379	114	265	3.9	42%	58%	43%	44%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	12	30:10	15.1	28%	38%	5.5	51.9	2.3	1.6	5.6	1.8	2	27.7
Oklahoma State	12	27:03	20.4	35%	65%	5	43.2	1.8	1.3	5.5	2.1	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	12	57% (22)	35% (130)	35.5	136.6	3.9	9 (125)	(122)	2.52 (129)	64% (119)	16% (132)	1.01 (49)
OKST Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.31 (133)	3.43 (126)	73% (68)	8% (112)	1.25 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	12	51% (76)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.06 (34)	2.8 (35)	69% (41)	12% (27)	1 (75)
OKST Offense	12	42% (117)	43% (86)	29.4	114.2	3.9	18 (78)	.04 (109)	2.79 (107)	74% (61)	7% (19)	0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	12	42% (114)	37% (115)	15.2	23.3	152.7	6.5	10.1	9 (128)	17 (127)	.02 (131)	1.4 (122)	35% (120)	20% (133)	-.04 (134)	5% (45)	1.7 (130)
OKST Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.37 (123)	1.8 (124)	32% (56)	36% (119)	.46 (120)	6% (53)	2.1 (88)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	12	49% (62)	39% (49)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.23 (68)	1.7 (95)	33% (54)	32% (96)	.32 (79)	6% (71)	2 (55)
OKST Offense	12	58% (17)	44% (47)	22.3	37.5	264.7	7.1	11.9	22 (46)	17 (127)	.34 (30)	1.6 (67)	31% (66)	31% (82)	.32 (77)	7% (109)	1.9 (99)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 0.52 #65
Houston's Offense Rating: 10.75 #89
Houston's Defense Rating: 10.23 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 748.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 0.52 Oklahoma State: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 0.9 Oklahoma State: 0.9

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.15 #76
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 814.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Oklahoma State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2
Oklahoma State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma State 26
Houston 25

Projected Total Points: 50

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Houston	30	Oklahoma State	43	Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State -6.5	Oklahoma State	56.5	Over
2009	09/12	Oklahoma State	35	Houston	45	Houston
2008	09/06	Oklahoma State	56	Houston	37	Oklahoma State
2006	09/23	Houston	34	Oklahoma State	25	Houston

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	2	1	1 Overs
Houston	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#65) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.52 #65
Offense Rating: 10.75 #89
Defense Rating: 10.23 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36
Talent Rating: 748.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Houston Notes
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
(3/21) RB bad LY. Connors (Rice) good add. Some depth
(3/21) WR bad LY. Broussard/Thomas portals help

Houston Ratings Matchup Oklahoma State

Power #65

#76

Off #89

#68

Def #38

#83

Talent #61

#43

SP+ #58

#58

SP+ Off #91

#39

SP+ Def #36

#84

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma State beat Houston in 2023 (43-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | OKST
Depth Chart: HOU | OKST
Rosters: HOU | OKST

(#76) Oklahoma State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.15 #76
Offense Rating: 13.89 #68
Defense Rating: 17.49 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9 #39
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #84
Talent Rating: 814.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #70
Expected Record: 4.8 - 7.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.93 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oklahoma State Notes
(5/23) Def added 18 portals, 9 DL, 3 LB, 6 DB. Improve?
(5/23) Need to see Off because it looks bad on paper
(5/23) RB bad LY. Can Brock (Ga St)/Hicks (OU) help?
(5/23) WR rebuild. Took 5 portals. Some talent
(5/23) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 7 not so great portals
(5/11) OL exp ranked #60 & 94% of that is from portals
(3/22) QBs Hejny (TCU)? came w/ OC Meacham
(3/19) 3rd & Grantham comes to Stillwater
(3/19) Not sure Gundy survives this roster

Houston's OC Slade Nagle

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zeon Chriss	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3
Conner Weigman (Tr)	64	114	56%	819	3	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dean Connors (Tr)	159	780	9	4.9	71
Re'Shaun Sanford II	94	444	1	4.7	38
Zeon Chriss	113	381	4	3.4	71
Stacy Sneed	60	308	1	5.1	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Koziol (Tr)	94	839	8	8.9	33
Amare Thomas (Tr)	62	670	8	10.8	73
Harvey Broussard (Tr)	31	486	3	15.7	50
Dean Connors (Tr)	61	472	2	7.7	69

View Houston's Full Roster

Houston's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carmycah Glass (Tr)	75	4	1	3	0
Blake Thompson (Tr)	60	3	0	0	3
Kentrell Webb	54	1	0	0	3
Wrook Brown (Tr)	48	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)	30	6	5	3	1
Khalil Laufau (Tr)	15	4	3	0	1
Joshua Donald (Tr)	31	6	3	1	0
Brandon Mack	39	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Keany Parks (Tr)	41	1	0	7
Marc Stampley II (Tr)	42	2	2	7
Will James (Tr)	35	2	0	7

Oklahoma State's OC Doug Meacham

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shamar Rigby (Tr)	1	1	100%	8	0	0	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Freddie Brock (Tr)	151	819	8	5.4	57
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Lloyd (Tr)	13	255	0	19.6	59
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78
Oscar Hammond (Tr)	19	238	1	12.5	38
Freddie Brock (Tr)	21	166	1	7.9	31

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

Oklahoma State's DC Todd Grantham

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan McCoy (Tr)	120	3	0	3	2
Darius Thomas (Tr)	54	7	4	3	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1
Kyran Duhon (Tr)	43	7	7	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyran Duhon (Tr)	43	7	7	0	2
Darius Thomas (Tr)	54	7	4	3	0
Taje Mccoy (Tr)	24	4	4	2	0
Iman Oates	25	3	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7
Kale Smith	31	0	0	0	5
Mordecai McDaniel (Tr)	42	2	1	1	3