UNLV at Houston - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Houston -3.0 (56.0) (-130) Open: -2.0 | 54.0
UNLV 27 - Houston: 7

Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: UNLV -11.5 (SP+ UNLV -17.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 32 - HOU: 21 (53)
HOU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UNLV Travel: 1229 miles, 2 hrs behind

Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
HOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	UNLV at Houston	+3.0	56.0	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	UNLV vs Utah Tech	-41.5	55.5	W 72 - 14	O	Y
Fri 9/13	UNLV vs Kansas	+7.0	57.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	UNLV vs Fresno State	-2.5	51.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Fri 10/4	UNLV vs Syracuse	-5.5	55.5	L 41 - 44	O	N
Fri 10/11	UNLV at Utah State	-19.0	67.5	W 50 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/19	UNLV at Oregon State	-6.5	61.0	W 33 - 25	U	Y
Fri 10/25	UNLV vs Boise State	+4.0	64.0	L 24 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	UNLV at Hawai'i	-12.0	51.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/16	UNLV vs San Diego State	-22.0	55.5	W 41 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/22	UNLV at San José State	-7.5	59.5	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/30	UNLV vs Nevada	-17.5	54.5	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Fri 12/6	UNLV at Boise State	+3.5	57.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Wed 12/18	UNLV vs California	-3.0	45.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Houston's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Houston vs UNLV	-3.0	56.0	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/7	Houston at Oklahoma	+27.5	48.5	L 12 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Houston vs Rice	-3.5	43.5	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Houston at Cincinnati	+4.0	47.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/28	Houston vs Iowa State	+16.0	43.0	L 0 - 20	U	N
Fri 10/4	Houston at TCU	+16.5	52.0	W 30 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Houston vs Kansas	+4.5	45.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/26	Houston vs Utah	+4.5	36.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Houston vs Kansas State	+12.5	46.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Houston at Arizona	+1.0	46.5	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	Houston vs Baylor	+7.0	51.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/30	Houston at BYU	+9.5	39.5	L 18 - 30	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)	35.4	43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)	21.3	40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)	14	35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)	22.9	40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	#56 (.21)	42% (84)		43% (83)	3.36 (16)	248	40% (90)	173	4.26 (33)	#34 (.11)	37% (14)		40% (39)	36% (14)	4.05 (97)	49.2	0.6	1.6
HOU	#133 (-)	35% (129)		35% (130)	2.52 (129)	137	37% (115)	153	2.57 (134)	#51 (.14)	40% (41)		40% (41)	39% (49)	3.52 (41)	51.9	2.3	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	14	35.4	28.8	41.7%	4.26	0.6	21	420	248	173	5.7	61%	39%	43%	40%	14%	.21
HOU Defense	12	22.9	17.8	39.6%	3.52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	14	21.3	21.7	37.4%	4.05	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	40%	36%	19%	.11
HOU Offense	12	14	15.2	35.3%	2.57	2.3	15	289	137	153	3.9	57%	42%	35%	37%	21%	-

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	14	29:59	21.1	40%	70%	5.6	49.2	0.6	1.6	6.3	2.6	4	34.7
Houston	12	30:10	15.1	28%	38%	5.5	51.9	2.3	1.6	5.6	1.8	2	27.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	14	61% (8)	43% (83)	43.5	247.8	5.7	29 (18)	.23 (23)	3.36 (16)	73% (71)	9% (58)	1.16 (9)
HOU Defense	12	51% (76)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.06 (34)	2.8 (35)	69% (41)	12% (27)	1 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	14	44% (8)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.11 (63)	2.63 (19)	73% (65)	10% (55)	1.08 (108)
HOU Offense	12	57% (22)	35% (130)	35.5	136.6	3.9	9 (125)	(122)	2.52 (129)	64% (119)	16% (132)	1.01 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	14	39% (127)	40% (90)	12.7	22.1	172.6	7.8	13.6	25 (31)	6 (10)	.2 (94)	1.7 (32)	30% (43)	29% (93)	.26 (97)	5% (25)	2.1 (58)
HOU Defense	12	49% (62)	39% (49)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.23 (68)	1.7 (95)	33% (54)	32% (96)	.32 (79)	6% (71)	2 (55)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	14	56% (128)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (5)	.13 (25)	1.5 (47)	36% (17)	25% (7)	.19 (24)	8% (9)	2.2 (106)
HOU Offense	12	42% (114)	37% (115)	15.2	23.3	152.7	6.5	10.1	9 (128)	17 (127)	.02 (131)	1.4 (122)	35% (120)	20% (133)	-.04 (134)	5% (45)	1.7 (130)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14 Houston: -4.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3 Houston: -8.2

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.585 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 32
Houston 21

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
UNLV 31
Houston 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
UNLV 26
Houston 18

Total Points: 44

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Houston	7	UNLV	27	Houston -3.0	UNLV	56.0	Under
2014	09/20	Houston	47	UNLV	14	Houston -19.5	Houston	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Houston	1	1	0 Overs
UNLV	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#46) UNLV at (#86) HOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	HOU
Power RatePwr	#46	#86
SP+SP+	#36	#101
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#125
OffenseOff	#20	#128
DefenseDef	#28	#99
Spec TeamsST	#47	#109
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#62

UNLV Notes(12/30) Hired DC Z Arnett (MSU HC)
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great
(7/31) Team is really good, sched is really rough
UNLV Injury Report

Houston Notes(12/27) Signed QB Weigman (A&M) & more
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome
(9/8) Close L @ OU. Run: D great, O bad, QB Smith good.
Houston Injury Report

UNLV on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	HOU Def
Perf GradePerf	#20	#99
SuccessSuc	#84	#41
ExplosiveExp	#23	#94
PPAPPA	#56	#51
PowerPwr	#81	#55
SP+SP+	#31	#54
Pts POPPO	#33	#41
HavocHav	#41	#46

UNLV Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#19	#74
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#41
Run ExplRExp	#9	#75
PPAExp	#23	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#35
Stuff RateStuff	#40	#38
TackleTak	-	#73

UNLV Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	UNLV Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#94
Pass SuccessPSuc	#90	#49
Pass ExplPExl	#32	#95
PPAExp	#94	#68
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#7	#132
F7 HavocF7	#58	#27
DB HavocDB	#25	#71

Houston on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	UNLV Def
Perf GradePerf	#128	#28
SuccessSuc	#129	#14
ExplosiveExp	#109	#93
PPAPPA	#133	#34
PowerPwr	#129	#27
SP+SP+	#118	#55
Pts POPPO	#134	#97
HavocHav	#130	#27

Houston Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#133	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#130	#39
Run ExplRExp	#49	#108
PPAExp	#122	#63
Run BlockR Blk	#101	-
OL YdsOLY	#129	#19
Stuff RateStuff	#116	#18
TackleTak	-	#79

Houston Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	HOU Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#16
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#14
Pass ExplPExl	#122	#47
PPAExp	#131	#25
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#42	#56
F7 HavocF7	#132	#55
DB HavocDB	#45	#9

Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84°( - Hum: 77%)
- Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Houston -3.0 (56.0)
UNLV won at Houston this year (27-7)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Houston last year (27-7)

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)	150	252	60%	1941	19	5	7.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)	21	48	44%	318	6	1	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jai'Den Thomas	161	915	7	5.7	54
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)	161	851	9	5.3	71
Kylin James (Tr)	89	653	5	7.3	86
Greg Burrell	66	370	3	5.6	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	79	1041	11	13.2	55
Jacob De Jesus	36	512	3	14.2	43
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	9	173	1	19.2	42
Kaleo Ballungay	17	152	6	8.9	29

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard	135	17	4	4	12
Jett Elad	84	5	1	2	6
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fisher Camac	46	15	8	1	5
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)	56	8	7	4	3
Jackson Woodard	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10

HOU's OC Kevin Barbay (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Donovan Smith	87	133	65%	867	4	8	6.5
Zeon Chriss (Tr)	83	130	64%	824	4	8	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II	94	444	1	4.7	38
Zeon Chriss (Tr)	113	381	4	3.4	71
Stacy Sneed	60	308	1	5.1	65
J'Marion Burnette	43	182	0	4.2	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.	32	402	2	12.6	44
Joseph Manjack	22	351	3	16.0	57
Mekhi Mews (Tr)	29	253	1	8.7	57
Maliq Carr (Tr)	19	186	1	9.8	23

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Batton (Tr)	94	8	3	3	0
A.J. Haulcy	74	0	0	0	7
Jamal Morris	63	5	1	0	0
Kentrell Webb (Tr)	54	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keith Cooper Jr.	46	9	4	7	2
Michael Batton (Tr)	94	8	3	3	0
Brandon Mack	39	5	3	2	0
Anthony Holmes Jr.	35	9	3	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
A.J. Haulcy	74	0	0	7
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)	24	4	0	4
Ajani Carter	22	1	1	3