UNLV at Houston - 2024 Matchup Preview
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
Houston -3.0 (56.0) (-130)  Open: -2.0 | 54.0
UNLV 27 - Houston: 7

 
Rebels (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: UNLV -11.5   (SP+ UNLV -17.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 31 - HOU: 19 (50)
HOU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UNLV Travel: 1229 miles, 2 hrs behind
Cougars (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (15 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UNLV at Houston+3.056.0W 27 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 UNLV vs Utah Tech-41.555.5W 72 - 14OY
Fri 9/13 UNLV vs Kansas+7.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UNLV vs Fresno State-2.551.0W 59 - 14OY
Fri 10/4 UNLV vs Syracuse-5.555.5L 41 - 44ON
Fri 10/11 UNLV at Utah State-19.067.5W 50 - 34ON
Sat 10/19 UNLV at Oregon State-6.561.0W 33 - 25UY
Fri 10/25 UNLV vs Boise State+4.064.0L 24 - 29UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UNLV at Hawai'i-12.051.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 11/16 UNLV vs San Diego State-22.055.5W 41 - 20ON
Fri 11/22 UNLV at San José State-7.559.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 11/30 UNLV vs Nevada-17.554.5W 38 - 14UY
Fri 12/6 UNLV at Boise State+3.557.5L 7 - 21UN
Wed 12/18 UNLV vs California-3.045.0W 24 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Houston's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Houston vs UNLV-3.056.0L 7 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 Houston at Oklahoma+27.548.5L 12 - 16UY
Sat 9/14 Houston vs Rice-3.543.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Houston at Cincinnati+4.047.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 9/28 Houston vs Iowa State+16.043.0L 0 - 20UN
Fri 10/4 Houston at TCU+16.552.0W 30 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Houston vs Kansas+4.545.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 10/26 Houston vs Utah+4.536.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/2 Houston vs Kansas State+12.546.5W 24 - 19UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Houston at Arizona+1.046.5L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 Houston vs Baylor+7.051.0L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/30 Houston at BYU+9.539.5L 18 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)35.443% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)21.340% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV#56 (.21)42% (84)43% (83)3.36 (16)24840% (90)1734.26 (33)#34 (.11)37% (14)40% (39)36% (14)4.05 (97)49.20.61.6
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1435.428.841.7%4.260.6214202481735.761%39%43%40%14%.21
HOU Defense1222.917.839.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1421.321.737.4%4.051.6 - - - - - 44%56%40%36%19%.11
HOU Offense121415.235.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1429:5921.140%70%5.649.20.61.66.32.6434.7
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1461% (8)43% (83)43.5247.85.729 (18).23 (23)3.36 (16)73% (71)9% (58)1.16 (9)
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1444% (8)40% (39) - - - - .11 (63)2.63 (19)73% (65)10% (55)1.08 (108)
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1439% (127)40% (90)12.722.1172.67.813.625 (31)6 (10).2 (94)1.7 (32)30% (43)29% (93).26 (97)5% (25)2.1 (58)
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1456% (128)36% (14) - - - - - - 17 (5).13 (25)1.5 (47)36% (17)25% (7).19 (24)8% (9)2.2 (106)
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: 4.14 #46
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
UNLV's Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
UNLV's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
UNLV's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 4.14   Houston: -4.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 9.3   Houston: -8.2




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: -4.585 #86
Houston's Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Houston's Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Houston's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Houston's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UNLV 31
Houston 19


Total Points: 50

Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.2
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.8

Houston's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Houston7UNLV27UNLVHouston -3.0UNLV56.0Under
201409/20Houston47UNLV14HoustonHouston -19.5Houston0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston110 Overs
UNLV111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#46) UNLV Info
Power Rating: 4.14 #46
Offense Rating: 18.48 #81
Defense Rating: 5.05 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #55
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.26 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record on Road: 6 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UNLV Notes
(12/12) Hired HC Dan Mullen? Feels like a lazy hire
(11/25) 3 str W's, beat Nevada = MWC title gm vs Boise
(11/18) Beat Haw,SDSU. Rgame/QB great, Def good
(10/26) Even w/ Boise, Run D good, TO and late D cost
(10/23) WR R White gets 44% of targets, #1 in CFB
(9/28) Killed Fresno, Rgame great, QB Williams eff
(9/25) QB Sluka no longer with team (redshirt/portal)
(9/13) 2-0 vs B12, great W at Kan. Outgained but TOs won
(9/1) Great W @ Houston, bullied lines, 195 (4.1) vs 38 (1.5)
(7/31) New QBs Sluka/Williams (FCS/mobiles) will be great

UNLV Highlights
UNLV has Really Good Running Game (#34)
UNLV offense is explosive (#84)
UNLV has a top Offensive Line (#56)
UNLV Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UNLV has a really good defense (#118)
UNLV has a good pass defense (#112)
UNLV Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#40)
UNLV Defensive Line is very good (#47)
UNLV Secondary is very good (#23)
UNLV has a great TO Margin (#28)
UNLV defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#2)

UNLV Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatHOUUNLV
OverallOver#90#13
OffenseOff#104#19
DefenseDef#79#21
Special TeamsST#89#41
PassingPass#103#51
RushingRush#100#14
Run BlockRBLK#78#36
Pass BlockPBLK#42#7
Route RunningWR Rt#99#35
TacklingTkl#64#69
Run DefenseR Def#59#37
Pass Rush DefPRush#111#50
Coverage DefCov#75#13

Rematch from Week 1
Houston -3.0 (56.0)
UNLV won at Houston this year (27-7)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Houston last year (27-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | HOU
Depth Chart: UNLV | HOU
Rosters: UNLV | HOU
(#86) Houston Info
Power Rating: -4.585 #86
Offense Rating: 9.85 #129
Defense Rating: 8.04 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #54
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Houston Notes
(12/14) Hired DC A. Armstrong (UF DC 23-24)
(12/5) Fired OC Kevin Barbay
(12/5) Hired OC Slade Nagle, ST/TE coach @ LSU
(11/25) 4 TOs, 3-10 on 3rd, 239 total yards in bad Bay L
(11/25) Def played great vs Bay, forced 3 INTs, Off sucks
(11/18) Regress vs Zona, Off abysmal, 3 TOs, Def OK
(11/2) Huge W over K St. Chris 11-11, Run D great
(10/27) 13 Passes, 230 ryds (4.7 ypc) in Utah upset. Big W
(10/18) QB Criss replacing Smith (should be an upgrade)
(9/22) Off abysmal. Can't run/pass. Def can't overcome

Houston Highlights
Houston Front 7 is disruptive (#69)

Houston Deficiencies
Houston has a really bad Offense
Houston has a really bad Offense at Home
Houston has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Houston Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Houston throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston offense is not Explosive (#16)
Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#93)
Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#86)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston pass game is really bad (#98)
Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)15025260%19411957.7
Matthew Sluka (Tr)214844%318616.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jai'Den Thomas16191575.754
Hajj-Malik Williams (Tr)16185195.371
Kylin James (Tr)8965357.386
Greg Burrell6637035.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Jacob De Jesus36512314.243
Jaden Bradley (Tr)9173119.242
Kaleo Ballungay1715268.929

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Jett Elad845126
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac4615815
Antonio Doyle Jr. (Tr)568743
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010

Houston's OC Kevin Barbay
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Donovan Smith8713365%867486.5
Zeon Chriss (Tr)8313064%824486.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss (Tr)11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
J'Marion Burnette4318204.254
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.32402212.644
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
Mekhi Mews (Tr)2925318.757
Maliq Carr (Tr)1918619.823

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jamal Morris635100
Kentrell Webb (Tr)541003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Cooper Jr.469472
Michael Batton (Tr)948330
Brandon Mack395320
Anthony Holmes Jr.359350
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Haulcy740007
Jeremiah Wilson (Tr)244004
Ajani Carter221103