Houston at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 10 (35 - 9 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
HOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -12.5   (SP+ ASU -1)

Projected Score: HOU: 17 - ASU: 30 (47)
ASU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
HOU Travel: 1008 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (36 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin-24.554.5W 27 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice-13.538.5W 35 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Houston vs Colorado-4.045.5W 36 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Houston at Oregon State-5.5
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech+16
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State-8
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona+1.5
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State+12.5
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia-0.5
Sat 11/8 Houston at UCF+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU+10.5
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor+9.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-29.552.5W 38 - 19ON
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-6.058.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-18.561.5W 34 - 15UY
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor+2.560.5
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah+8
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech+6
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-12.5
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State+2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-10.5
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-9
Sat 11/29 Arizona State vs Arizona-8.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#95 (.13)36% (120)32.734% (120)2.69 (98)20239% (98)1873.67 (86)#18 (-.04)29% (8)9.736% (47)23% (4)5.17 (125)4102
ASU#43 (.3)46% (54)30.752% (29)3.62 (19)23338% (99)1764.17 (61)#52 (.08)43% (90)19.344% (96)42% (81)2.86 (46)60.711
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense332.73535.9%3.670183902021874.561%39%34%39%11%.13
ASU Defense319.31742.7%2.861 - - - - - 43%57%44%42%21%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense39.7929.1%5.172 - - - - - 51%47%36%23%18%-.04
ASU Offense330.73645.7%4.171224092331766.154%46%52%38%15%.3

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston332:5617.745%40%4.741025.32.7136.5
Arizona State332:2221.724%67%8.360.71183.7028.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense361% (17)34% (120)45.3202.34.56 (49)-.03 (116)2.69 (98)65% (95)7% (32)1.07 (47)
ASU Defense343% (22)44% (96) - - - - .02 (55)2.32 (29)69% (63)12% (38)0.88 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense351% (80)36% (47) - - - - -.04 (38)2.28 (26)78% (100)10% (69)0.87 (52)
ASU Offense354% (49)52% (29)382336.16 (49).37 (17)3.62 (19)71% (67)8% (66)1.21 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense339% (122)39% (98)15.324.3187.37.712.24 (72)0 (1).38 (51)2.1 (4)36% (117)34% (52).46 (49)4% (39)2.2 (36)
ASU Defense357% (116)42% (81) - - - - - - 1 (87).15 (52)1.4 (36)32% (75)28% (68).3 (76)9% (20)2.1 (91)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense347% (40)23% (4) - - - - - - 5 (6).01 (22)1.4 (49)39% (13)14% (11).05 (26)8% (30)2.2 (101)
ASU Offense346% (87)38% (99)16.729175.76.110.55 (54)3 (92).23 (80)1.6 (62)33% (98)30% (77).33 (73)6% (100)2 (71)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Houston's Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Houston's Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 3.11   Arizona State: 17.91

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 7.8   Arizona State: 9.0




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Houston Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 9.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 9

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 30
Houston 17


Total Points: 47

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State000 Overs
Houston000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#72) Houston Info
Power Rating: 3.11 #72
Offense Rating: 5.45 #100
Defense Rating: 2.34 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #24
Talent Rating: 786.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #46
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 61%, Pass: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.17 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 23%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Houston has lost 4 straight
Houston has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Houston Notes
(9/13) Determined to run but bad success, pop expl
(6/14) QB, RB, WR, TE + 3 OL upgrades via portals
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit

Houston Highlights
Houston is Undefeated vs Spread
Houston in Undefeated

Houston offense is explosive (#16)
Houston offense is good on 3rd downs
Houston has a really good defense (#8)
Houston defense does not give up big plays (#27)
Houston has a good pass defense (#4)
Houston Defensive Line is very good (#26)
Houston Secondary is very good (#30)
Houston has a great TO Margin (#1)
Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Houston Deficiencies
Houston offense is really bad (#120)
Houston run game is really bad (#120)
Houston has a bad red zone defense (#125)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatASUHOU
OverallOver#52#29
OffenseOff#54#72
DefenseDef#66#8
Special TeamsST#13#8
PassingPass#80#92
RushingRush#14#62
Run BlockRBLK#51#27
Pass BlockPBLK#17#116
Route RunningWR Rt#81#52
TacklingTkl#36#4
Run DefenseR Def#57#16
Pass Rush DefPRush#56#84
Coverage DefCov#68#2

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | ASU
Depth Chart: HOU | ASU
Rosters: HOU | ASU
(#27) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 17.91 #27
Offense Rating: 22.18 #27
Defense Rating: 0.36 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Good Run Success 52%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Arizona State has lost 4 straight
Arizona State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State is Undefeated at Home

Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Arizona State Defensive Line is very good (#29)
Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Houston's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Weigman (Tr)457064%569408.1
Zeon Chriss1333%-700-2.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors (Tr)5027135.454
Conner Weigman (Tr)3314534.449
Stacy Sneed2510104.016
J'Marion Burnette104004.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephon Johnson Jr.6191131.874
Tanner Koziol (Tr)1714818.723
Amare Thomas (Tr)8110113.822
J'Marion Burnette139139.039

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Garner201010
Carlos Allen172001
Latrell McCutchin162001
Kentrell Webb132000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)135211
Corey Platt Jr.72200
Brandon Mack72210
Khalil Laufau (Tr)81111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Latreveon McCutchin80002
Zelmar Vedder (Tr)50002
Khalil Laufau (Tr)81111

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt508658%527536.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raleek Brown3529228.375
Sam Leavitt2715735.852
Kanye Udoh (Tr)3213814.321
Kyson Brown98409.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson24314413.136
Chamon Metayer780111.427
Kyson Brown672012.022
Raleek Brown73404.911

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Crook245200
Keyshaun Elliott203220
Myles Rowser191001
Martell Hughes140000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clayton Smith125310
Jordan Crook245200
Keyshaun Elliott203220
Albert Smith III21101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney111103
Montana Warren121013
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)60002