Houston at Arizona State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Sun Devil Stadium - Tempe, AZ  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 14 - 23 (13 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#73)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
HOU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -16.5   (SP+ ASU -11)
Projected Score: HOU: 15 - ASU: 32 (46)
ASU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
HOU Travel: 1008 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
Houston's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Houston vs Stephen F. Austin-24
Sat 9/6 Houston at Rice-15
Sat 9/13 Houston vs Colorado+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Houston at Oregon State-1.5
Sat 10/4 Houston vs Texas Tech+9
Sat 10/11 Houston at Oklahoma State+0.5
Sat 10/18 Houston vs Arizona-5.5
Sat 10/25 Houston at Arizona State+16.5
Sat 11/1 Houston vs West Virginia-4
Sat 11/8 Houston at UCF+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs TCU+8
Sat 11/29 Houston at Baylor+11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Arizona State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-38
Sat 9/6 Arizona State at Mississippi State-11
Sat 9/13 Arizona State vs Texas State-22
Sat 9/20 Arizona State at Baylor-3
Fri 9/26 Arizona State vs TCU-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Arizona State at Utah-1.5
Sat 10/18 Arizona State vs Texas Tech-5
Sat 10/25 Arizona State vs Houston-16.5
Sat 11/1 Arizona State at Iowa State-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Arizona State vs West Virginia-18
Sat 11/22 Arizona State at Colorado-8
Sat 11/29 Arizona State vs Arizona-19.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)1435% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)22.940% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense121412.635.3%2.572.3152891371533.957%42%35%37%21%-
ASU Defense1422.622.342.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1222.925.239.6%3.521.6 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%18%.14
ASU Offense1432.933.849.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1230:1015.128%38%5.551.92.31.65.61.8227.7
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1257% (22)35% (130)35.5136.63.99 (125) (122)2.52 (129)64% (119)16% (132)1.01 (49)
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1251% (76)40% (41) - - - - .06 (34)2.8 (35)69% (41)12% (27)1 (75)
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1242% (114)37% (115)15.223.3152.76.510.19 (128)17 (127).02 (131)1.4 (122)35% (120)20% (133)-.04 (134)5% (45)1.7 (130)
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1249% (62)39% (49) - - - - - - 12 (39).23 (68)1.7 (95)33% (54)32% (96).32 (79)6% (71)2 (55)
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 0.52 #65
Houston's Offense Rating: 10.75 #89
Houston's Defense Rating: 10.23 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 748.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: 0.52   Arizona State: 17.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 0.9   Arizona State: 12.2




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 17.21 #16
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 24.56 #13
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.34 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Arizona State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Arizona State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 769.5
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.68


Houston Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 32
Houston 15

Projected Total Points: 46
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State000 Overs
Houston000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#65) Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.52 #65
Offense Rating: 10.75 #89
Defense Rating: 10.23 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4 #36
Talent Rating: 748.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #44
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.57 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Houston Notes
(6/14) RB Connors pot. big add, workhorse w/ hands
(6/14) OL added 3 starters & depth, much better TY
(5/23) New OC Nagle great w/ Fritz @ Tulane
(5/23) New DC Armstrong downgrade from Shiel Wood
(5/15) DE/Pass Rush looks like a big ? Walls (FIU) key
(5/13) TE Koziol (Ball St) huge add, @ Wisc in spring
(4/4) CB Jeremiah Wilson a top 10 CB via PFF
(3/21) QB Weigman is talented. Could be great fit
(3/21) RB bad LY. Connors (Rice) good add. Some depth
(3/21) WR bad LY. Broussard/Thomas portals help
Houston     Ratings Matchup     Arizona State
Power #65
#16
Off #89
#13
Def #38
#26
Talent #61
#35
SP+ #58
#22
SP+ Off #91
#26
SP+ Def #36
#27

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: HOU | ASU
Depth Chart: HOU | ASU
Rosters: HOU | ASU
(#16) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.21 #16
Offense Rating: 24.56 #13
Defense Rating: 7.34 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #27
Talent Rating: 828.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #51
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Arizona State Notes
(6/15) Expecting improved pass rush, 2nd year DLC
(5/23) ASU was 6-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) Least exp'd B12 OL, almost no exp from portals
(5/2) TE Metayer a good reliable target, underrated
(3/20) RBs Udoh (Army) or K. Brown fill in for Skat?
(3/18) QB Leavitt a top QB in CFB, mobile. Depth?
(3/18) WRs Tyson a weapon, who's #2/depth?
(3/18) OL rebuilding with only 2/5 back
(3/18) Def returns a ton, improved a ton LY
(1/1) HC Dillingham new 5 yr deal, top tier B12 #'s


  
Houston's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zeon Chriss8313064%824486.3
Conner Weigman (Tr)6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dean Connors (Tr)15978094.971
Re'Shaun Sanford II9444414.738
Zeon Chriss11338143.471
Stacy Sneed6030815.165
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Koziol (Tr)9483988.933
Amare Thomas (Tr)62670810.873
Harvey Broussard (Tr)31486315.750
Dean Connors (Tr)6147227.769

View Houston's Full Roster
Houston's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass (Tr)754130
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Kentrell Webb541003
Wrook Brown (Tr)481006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Walls III (Tr)306531
Khalil Laufau (Tr)154301
Joshua Donald (Tr)316310
Brandon Mack395320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keany Parks (Tr)411007
Marc Stampley II (Tr)422207
Will James (Tr)352007

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt21635062%28852468.2
Kanyon Floyd22100%470023.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kanye Udoh (Tr)1791117106.272
Sam Leavitt11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
Raleek Brown94204.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Jalen Moss (Tr)49582411.949
Chamon Metayer3230659.629
Kyson Brown13189114.568

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser984124
Xavion Alford850015
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Jordan Crook574002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Xavion Alford850015